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  1. #576
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bsnub View Post
    The US economy is already contracting.
    Not enough for them to try a $4.2Trn tax cut evidently.

  2. #577
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Let the trade war begin...

    "Should American tariffs come into effect tonight, Canada will, effective 12:01 a.m. EST tomorrow, respond with 25 per cent tariffs against $155 billion of American goods – starting with tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods immediately, and tariffs on the remaining $125 billion on American products in 21 days’ time. Our tariffs will remain in place until the U.S. trade action is withdrawn, and should U.S. tariffs not cease, we are in active and ongoing discussions with provinces and territories to pursue several non-tariff measures. While we urge the U.S. administration to reconsider their tariffs, Canada remains firm in standing up for our economy, our jobs, our workers, and for a fair deal.
    “Because of the tariffs imposed by the U.S., Americans will pay more for groceries, gas, and cars, and potentially lose thousands of jobs. Tariffs will disrupt an incredibly successful trading relationship. They will violate the very trade agreement that was negotiated by President Trump in his last term.”

  3. #578
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    Quote Originally Posted by Norton View Post
    Europe has essentially told Frump to fuck off and now taken over peace negotiations.
    Hmm not sure about that.

    You have France with Micron, I think he sees this as his opportunity to reinvigorate his ratings. He also has pushed dor an EU army and to rearm but with France front and center on this so really its more self interest personally and fir his country before helping Ukr.

    Germany which holds the EU purse strings has been fairly quiet and with change in Govt and a loose alliance of centre left parties I'm not sure they have the mandate or desire for head on conflict with either the US or taking an active role in Ukr.

    The UK is trying to form up a coalition to find a plan to put to the US but there is already a tension with France who see themselves as the lead country in the EU and Micron has already gone off script.

    The US is not taking the EU/UK pact seriously. Why because they know the EU/UK pact doesn't have the arms or sufficient willpower to take an active role and behind it all is the Orange Child who wants 2 things. A shot at the Nobel Peace Prize and wringing as much out of Ukr as he can get.

    We are a long way off the EU/UK being able to take the lead role on this and I fear the US will tighten the screws and force Ukr into a deal whilst Russia jump on the current weakness of the allies

  4. #579
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    I think you've summed up the situation well malmo

  5. #580
    Thailand Expat david44's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    Germany which holds the EU purse strings has been fairly quiet and with change in Govt and a loose alliance of centre left parties
    I may be corrected by Troy but I would say the CDS-CSU Budeskanzler Merz is of the traditional conservative pro market right, his very junior partner is the defeated leader of the not very socialist SDP 3rs placed which trailed the AfD by a fair distance.

    As to the difficulties for Ukraine , it will be hard to help Ukraine without USA.
    Assuming they are willing to pay in money and blood , I doubt neither.

    IMHO I fear Zelensky who has stood up to Putin's aggression may either be forced to sell/give repay his nations minerals, settle for loss of 4 provinces and Crimea or be removed .

    The only winner from the golden pissing contest seems Russia and its few but equally violent, repressive dictatorial allies N Kore Iran etc

    I am not sure the AFU can hold out the 44 months until a new POTUS elected and of course that could be Vance or similar not a pro Ukraine democrat.

    UK while willing and talking the talk could only likley supply 10k infantry plus ltd Intel, France about same , larger states like Germany won't pay the price of conscription now.

    The only possible savior bar inviting Chinese peacekeepers is if some of it's 1/3 million Turkish army can be convinced and wiley Erdogan may demand not just customs union but full membership of the EU , whereby most of 45million rural Turks will buy a one way ticket to Germany .

    While the direct neaighbours of the conflict and Belarus and Russia like Poland and Baltics obviously keen Finland Sweden Denmark are also supportive. Spain Portugal Italy seem less concerned and whether leaders always looking over their shoulder prepared to send troops let alone take casualties,aside from minimal peace keeping and desert contributions 2 decades ago the Benelux, Czech have little combat experience nor training,

    If the temp increases the pro Putin bloc Serbia Hungary and Slovakia may veto or hinder some measures. Few nations would wish to rely on the Italians who may change sides, sell their kit then run away to USA as happened in WW2.

    Putin seems to be receiving enough to survive , the real game changer may be if China sends more help to either side , A few million PLA soldiers could help Putin over run E Europe unless France and Uk want to take bold nuclear moves without US backstop

    With Trump in his pocket Putin is winning, a lesson to all those who were slow to support Ukraine, folks in all of E Europe may flee or buy a Russian dictionary and language course ...again.

    Shame on Trump.his lackeys apologists and all who voted for this vile cheat.
    Last edited by david44; 04-03-2025 at 05:06 PM.
    Russia went from being 2nd strongest army in the world to being the 2nd strongest in Ukraine

  6. #581
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    Re Turikyieyie, you are correct, inclusion on their part is an obvious play to strengthen their hand in EU membership.

  7. #582
    Heading down to Dino's
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    The US is not taking the EU/UK pact seriously. Why because they know the EU/UK pact doesn't have the arms or sufficient willpower to take an active role and behind it all is the Orange Child who wants 2 things. A shot at the Nobel Peace Prize and wringing as much out of Ukr as he can get.
    We must be reading and listening to the same sources. I agree with what you are saying 100%. He wants to humiliate Obama. It is all about him and he does not care if the entire world burns down around him.

    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    We are a long way off the EU/UK being able to take the lead role on this and I fear the US will tighten the screws and force Ukr into a deal whilst Russia jump on the current weakness of the allies
    This is 100% what is happening. The new axis of evil is NK, ruzzia, CCP and the US. FFS.

  8. #583
    I am not a cat
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    If you sat and planned how to break America in short order, you would not be far off what Trump has done to date. The impact of his actions will linger for many, many years after he is gone.

  9. #584

  10. #585
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    So how many of the orange turd's cabal do you reckon shorted stocks yesterday then?

  11. #586
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  12. #587
    Thailand Expat david44's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    So how many of the orange turd's cabal do you reckon shorted stocks yesterday then?
    All+plus their brokers,friends,families and mia nois.

    When you realize its just sleaze like the gangs that run many 3rd world places, As many women discovered Trump is a sleazeball and tragically while sacking health and safety specialists has appointed amateurs to the CIA and Defence.

  13. #588
    Days Work Done! Norton's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    We are a long way off the EU/UK being able to take the lead role on this and I fear the US will tighten the screws and force Ukr into a deal whilst Russia jump on the current weakness of the allies
    A very long way. 3 years optimistically, 5 most likely. First a consolidation of their defense industries so each nation specializes in a defense aspect and others leave them to that sector. For example, Germany air defense, UK military aircraft, France command and control, etc. A "NATO" without the US would have to develop functions the US currently provides. Some real biggies including a large increase in Nuclear arsenals and the means to effectively deploy them. Global satellite coverage and intelligence.

    Then, and only then will Europe be able to stare down Putin.
    "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect,"

  14. #589
    Thailand Expat david44's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Norton View Post
    Then, and only then will Europe be able to stare down Putin.
    Indeed of course Putin may not wait that long and once swallowed Odessa may try for Moldova of which he controls Trnsdniestra part already.

    The young gifted and mobile left in Europe will be eyeing Oz, Canada and NZ as a better place ro raise a family. At many pay grade it's Zubia, Bolivia or the last resort thret LOS Pajama game.A pal of mine is heading to Bangers to have canine conversion as I woof.

  15. #590
    I am not a cat
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    Russia's military is fucked and has been shown to be a paper tiger. They are deploying t55's for fuck sake. Their economy is fucked, over 30% of their economy is being spent on the Ukraine war. Never mind Europe, just the addition of the Poles would have the Russians driven back to Moscow.

    And that fucker Trump throws them a life line. He is an object traitor and history will judge him so.

  16. #591
    A Cockless Wonder
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    Quite a good summary of the fallout from the Friday showdown from Konstantin Kisin



    I don't think I would disagree with anything that he says here except to add that maybe that the press conference could have been shorter and the deal would then have been signed and the US would then have skin in the game in terms of resources investment and an end to the war would almost certainly have been in sight.

    A wiser Zelenskyy would have kept schtum and just got the deal done.

  17. #592
    I am not a cat
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    Yeah. Because selling out your country, your people and their resources for nothing is always a good move. Twat.

    Everyone, except Trump knows that any Russian "agreement" is worth squat. Basically, all zelinsky was saying was "if you want to fuck me, at least use a condom".

  18. #593
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    ^
    “ The rationale for the argument, he (Zelensky) instigated with JD Vance….”

    No need to watch any more, after that bullshit comment.

  19. #594
    A Cockless Wonder
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    Quote Originally Posted by beachbound View Post
    The rationale for the argument, he (Zelensky) instigated with JD Vance
    I would say it was pretty much 50/50 who 'started it'

    But this was not a meeting of allies on an equal footing. Zelensky was meeting with a new administration who have made their more limited sympathies with further financing of the war abundantly clear and he is seeking significant further US military commitment from them. His goal in the short term should have been to get through the press conference without drama and get the deal signed. I did not like Vance poking him but Vance's views on the war were clear beforehand so Z should have rolled with the punch (or more gentle jab)

  20. #595
    . Neverna's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by beachbound View Post
    A translator might have helped him get his point across, and may have defused the situation.
    There was somebody right behind him on his right shoulder that he briefly talked to once. I assumed he was a translator but he might not have been.

  21. #596
    Thailand Expat
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    Zalensky being highly charged and passionate about his country is the reason why Ukraine is still able to resist Russia, albeit with the help of US and European weapons and intelligence.

    He took the bait, as anyone would with such passion.

    Either JD Vance is too inexperienced to understand this, or it was deliberate provocation on his part.

    ...and now Zalensky has had to resign himself to the deal anyway because the USA has removed its support. Might as well have Al Capone heading the USA...

  22. #597
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    Quote Originally Posted by david44 View Post
    UK while willing and talking the talk could only likley supply 10k infantry plus ltd Intel, France about same , larger states like Germany won't pay the price of conscription now.

    The only possible savior bar inviting Chinese peacekeepers is if some of it's 1/3 million Turkish army can be convinced and wiley Erdogan may demand not just customs union but full membership of the EU , whereby most of 45million rural Turks will buy a one way ticket to Germany .
    Peacekeepers will only be present if the UN mandates it and as Russia has a veto at the UN, it's highly unlikely the UK, France, or any NATO country, will be allowed to be part of that force. There are other countries that often supply soldiers to undertake peacekeeping for the UN; India, Bangladesh and Nepal, for example. Peacekeepers from neutral countries are more likely to be acceptable to both sides.

  23. #598
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    Quote Originally Posted by Loopy View Post
    I would say it was pretty much 50/50 who 'started it'
    Shocking.
    Zelensky did himself no favors, but the attack by Dumb and Dumber was preplanned, and scripted. The minute that Zelinski expressed an opinion, and it was apparent he wasn’t going to bow, and kiss the ring, they pounced. And the audacity to belittle the man about his attire, shows just how petty, and vindictive these fuckers are.

    Quote Originally Posted by Loopy
    vance’s view on the war were clear
    You mean, that he doesn’t give a fuck what happens to Ukraine? Yeah, they were crystal clear.

  24. #599
    Excommunicated baldrick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Looper View Post
    and an end to the war would almost certainly have been in sight.
    it would not be an end to the war - putin needs a stoppage to firm up his attack strategy because his stormtroopers and equipment and logistics are in a bad way - and trump is looking at lifting sanctions

    russian online manipulation has been ramping up and will never stop

    the biggest issue for NATO is they have bought so much american weaponry that can be basically rendered useless by america

    this meeting in the whitehouse is going to cause the american military industrial complex to lose many of its customers - their lifeline will be selling to russia
    If you torture data for enough time , you can get it to say what you want.

  25. #600
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Is anyone watching this embarrassing tirade?

    "The days of rule by unelected bureaucrats are over"?

    Musk must have been pissing himself at that one.

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