The treatment of Ukraine may help Europens realize they cannot rely on US taxpayers to underwrite their security.
This could provoke some to go nuclear. The Baltics would be hard to resupply esp if the Twngste/Sulwaki corridor between Putin's puppet Belarus and Russian enclave Kaliningrad aka Koenigsberg aka Twanste, barely 100 miles away.
EU would take years to produce enough own kit even assuming the will and the cash.
The Poles and Baltics know this as Fico and Orban undermine EU taking pro Russian anti Ukrainian positions.
A nuclear armed Germany with AfD goverment in 2039, what could possibly go wrong?