Norton is calling it well. The Independents are a large part of the electorate. And Palin and McCain's slide is happening. How far, we don't know. Will the Independents change their minds? My hunch is that at this point in such a long campaign, they won't go back to McCain Palin.

And CMN, as of now, Obama can lose Florida or Ohio and still get the 270 electoral votes he needs.

I also saw the recent polling data about the first Obama-McCain debate, and Obama had strong numbers over McCain, as did Biden.

And yes, The Virginia stats, if correct, are telling.

Next debate is Wednesday morning Thailand time.