Thread: Why Obama will Win

Originally Posted by Lorenzo

The real reason Obama will win with a landslide:

Obama gets close to all of the black vote. Since 13% are black this is 13% of the total vote to Obama as a head start. That leaves the non-black vote, 87% for McCain and Obama to fight over.

Obama needs 37 / 87 = 42.5% of the 87%

McCain needs 50 / 87 = 57.5% of the 87%

So McCain needs about 6 of every 10 non-black votes to win and Obama needs only 4 in 10. McCain needs almost 50% more than Obama to win.

NOTA GONNA HAPPEN

Do you mean, McCAin needs 6 out of every 10 non-black votes in the electoral colleges of the states?

How can we calculate the black-non-black voting blocks in the states?

Included in this non-white vote are:

Hillary supporters that are hesitant to vote for, or won't vote for Obama

White women

Hispanics