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  1. #476
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Mike Pompeo Shifts Rationale for Soleimani Killing From ‘Imminent’ Threat to Deterrence Strategy

    "The Trump administration’s initial justification for the 3 January strike that killed Iran’s Soleimani was the threat of “imminent” attacks against American interests. That rationale proved shaky over the past two weeks, with government officials contradicting one another and even themselves.

    US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said that the assassination of Qassem Soleimani was part of a “bigger strategy” to deter Iran and other US rivals, including Russia and China, in what marked a significant departure from Washington’s original account.


    “President Trump and those of us in his national security team are re-establishing deterrents – real deterrents – against the Islamic Republic,” Pompeo said in a speech at Stanford’s Hoover Institute on Monday (full transcript available here).

    “Your adversary must understand not only that you have the capacity to impose cost but that you’re in fact willing to do so,” Pompeo said, adding that the US is now in “the greatest position of strength regarding Iran” ever because of the stringent sanctions that Trump re-imposed on the Islamic Republic following his withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal.

    “The importance of deterrence isn’t confined to Iran,” Pompeo said. “In all cases, we must deter foes to defend freedom. That’s the whole point of President Trump’s work to make our military the strongest it’s ever been.”


    He went on to cite the much-criticised withdrawal from the INF treaty and naval exercises in the contested South China Sea as examples of America’s “deterrence” policy toward Russia and China, respectively.


    An unconfirmed ‘imminent’ threat


    Notably, one of the main US architects of the new Iran policy repeated the accusation that Soleimani had planned the 27 Dec. strike on an Iraqi base that killed an American contractor and the 31 Dec. attack on the US embassy in Baghdad, but made no mention of the future attacks Soleimani was allegedly plotting.

    This was Donald Trump and Mike Pompeo’s justification for the drone strike that killed Soleimani in Iraq on 3 January, prompting what appeared to be a retaliatory strike from Iran and triggering fears of an armed conflict.

    “There is no doubt that there were a series of imminent attacks that were being plotted by Qassem Soleimani,” Pompeo said on Thursday in a Fox News interview. “We don't know precisely when, and we don't know precisely where, but it was real.”

    Why does it matter if there was such a threat?


    Donald Trump ordered the strike without seeking the approval of Congress, which is normally required in such cases. National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien said the administration had the legal authority to order the killing under the 2002 Authorisation for the Use of Military Force Against Iraq, which does indeed allow the president to use military force to prevent a “continuing threat” posed by Iraq, but not Iran.

    Both Trump and Pompeo have claimed, citing undisclosed intelligence, that Soleimani was planning attacks on US embassies, creating the impression that he was posing a threat to US security. Defence Secretary Mark Esper contradicted that claim on Sunday, saying he had seen no evidence to back it up.


    Trump added up to the confusion on Monday when he tweeted it “doesn’t really” matter whether Soleimani was posing an immediate threat because he had a “horrible past”.


    "Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

    The Fake News Media and their Democrat Partners are working hard to determine whether or not the future attack by terrorist Soleimani was “imminent” or not, & was my team in agreement. The answer to both is a strong YES., but it doesn’t really matter because of his horrible past!

    11:09 PM - Jan 13, 2020"

    Meanwhile, reports surfaced that Trump had actually authorised the assassination in June 2019 – something that means the US had long planned the strike and further undermines Trump’s rationale of pre-emptive action against “imminent” attacks."

    https://sputniknews.com/world/202001141078029878-mike-pompeo-shifts-rationale-for-soleimani-killing-
    from-imminent-threat-to-deterrence-strategy/



    Original justifications for illegal attacks on Iraq and Iran "modified".

    Deterrence now includes illegal acts of war.

    No time frame defined for any " horrible past". Possibly Russia and France can be overlooked, due to their assistance during a certain countries "War of Independence".

    Ignoring previous adopted UN agreements.

    An unexceptional bully accepted by their citizens, applauded even.The vassal countries must be examining all their misdeeds they committed during their own " horrible past" and likewise all the misdeeds of other countries " horrible past".

    One hopes the UNSC pass a binding agreement allowing all countries either to state;

    A. They are free to take similar action, after their Government has gained an affirmative vote in it's Parliament

    or

    B. Any unexceptional countries adopting such actions will be "reminded" of previous agreements signed in their countries name. Their bank accounts, assets and legal adoptions being seized, wherever they are around the world. To be managed on behalf of the Developing Countries until all have been disbursed.

    Once the original assets are gone the unexceptional countries citizens will be forced to "tighten their belts" until they are reduced to the same standard of living as the average Developing Country's citizens.

    Although goldilocks land have adopted similar Political, Military and Judicial methods for decades, I suspect the more civilised countries may have doubts as to adopting them locally.

    Pandora's gonna need a bigger box.
    Last edited by OhOh; 14-01-2020 at 02:57 PM.
    A tray full of GOLD is not worth a moment in time.

  2. #477
    Thailand Expat HermantheGerman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post

    The law has been endorsed by the Guardian Council of the Constitution, the highest legislative body in Iran.
    I thought this is worth a better read:

    with all eyes on Iran’s elections, RFI looks at one of the core elements of the country’s political-religious system. In an exclusive interview, we talked to Abbas Ali Cadkhodai, spokesperson of the Guardian Council who sat down with us after a rare press conference.

    The Guardian Council of the Constitution [GC], or Shora-ye Negahban-e Qanun-e Assassi is a crucial body which, according to the official "General Presentation", a colorful leaflet handed out during the press conference, "monitors the elections of the presidency."

    It also acts as the "oversight on the eligibility of the elections" which in practice means deciding which candidate is allowed to run as well as scrutinizing ballot papers.

    The GC, together with Iran’s supreme leader the Grand Ayatolla Ali Khamenei, forms the core of a system know as "vilayat–e Faqih", or "Guardianship by the Islamic Jurist".

    Iran is the first country in history to apply this to government. The system was introduced in 1980 by the Ayatollah Khomeini, thus consolidating his control.

    The GC consists of 12 people, 6 of whom are appointed by the Supreme Leader, the other six selected by the legislature.
    The system is completed by an Assembly of Experts, a 230 member advisory body whose members are directly elected by the public.
    This system operates independently from the regular government that is responsible to parliament.
    In a non-transparent process, its twelve GC members vote on each presidential candidate, and in the end selected 6 out of more than 1600, including more than 100 women. To be successful, a candidate needs 7 out of 12 votes, a 6-6 stand-off means disqualification.
    According to Cadkhodai, a "massive debate" had taken place within the GC about the eligibility of women candidates, but "it is a complicated process," and no one has managed to get through the vetting.
    He expressed hope that a group consisting of female candidates would be formed to study the constitution’s article 115 that defines criteria for who can take part in Iran’s presidential elections (and virtually excludes the participation of women).
    During the ongoing election period (which apart from the presidential elections also includes local council elections), the GC says it monitors behavior surrounding the campaigns.
    Cadkhodai said the GC had received 200 reports of "misbehavior" of candidates who misused public funds for campaign purposes, and officials who got involved in the process but face a conflict of interests.

    Cadkhokai rejected reports that people in remote areas were threatened with the taking away their pensions if they would vote for pro-government candidates in local elections.
    RFI:One of the criticisms of [conservative candidate Ebrahim] Raisi is that he doesn’t have a background in economy while the country has large economic problems and is in need of someone who is experienced in dealing with economic problems. Why is his background as an Attorney, his legal background, enough to be approved?
    Cadkhodai: A person can be a manager or have experience in many fields. We consider other conditions. For example, do they have enough experience to run the country or do they have strong management skills?
    RFI:Why isn’t there more transparency as to, for example, how many votes which candidate got and why?

    Cadkhodai: Because of personal issues and personal information, we cannot publish this, it is […] information based on candidate’s character and personality. We only publish their experience and their backgrounds in this matter. We are not allowed to publish negative experiences or background of the candidates. We are neutral and impartial and doing so would be unconstitutional.

    RFI: But if a person is elected and becomes president, is the public then not entitled to know everything about him, after all he is going to make major decisions that may influence the life of every individual?

    Cadkhodai: Like other countries, including France, we have other bodies that can observe the elections. Perhaps we introduce and approve a candidate who is not a favorite with the people. But finally it is the people who elect their favorite candidate.
    RFI:Yet the final decision to decide who can run is with the Guardian Council. Would the GC be open to public scrutiny.would it be open to having its members directly elected?
    Cadkhodai:All the elections of different candidates in different organizations are different in every country. We have different elections for presidential elections, or city councils, or even the Islamic Consultative Assembly, some of them are direct, others indirect.

    Iran presidential candidates: the Guardian Council is watching you

  3. #478
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    ^

    Doesn't every country have some version of "Law Lords", by whatever name, who listen too and proclaim judgements on issues handed to them by lower courts. I'm certain many have unbelievable ways and means which can be brought to certain peoples notice, to comment on, well or not so well.

    Some examples:

    The EU has it's Court Of Justice:

    "According to its Court of Justice, the EU represents "a new legal order of international law".[2]

    The EU's legal foundations are the Treaty on European Union and the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, unanimously agreed by the governments of 28 member states.

    New states may join the EU, if they agree to operate by the rules of the organisation, and existing members may leave according to their "own constitutional requirements"

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_law

    Many countries have followed their previous "Ruler's" systems.

    Others have had them for millennia and modify them to suit present day requirements.

    China;

    Socialist legal system

    "Chinese law is one of the oldest legal traditions in the world. The core of modern Chinese law is based on Germanic-style civil law, socialist law, and traditional Chinese approaches. For most of the history of China, its legal system has been based on the Confucian philosophy of social control through moral education, as well as the Legalist emphasis on codified law and criminal sanction. Following the Xinhai Revolution, the Republic of China adopted a largely Western-style legal code[citation needed] in the civil law tradition (specifically German-influenced). The establishment of the People's Republic of China in 1949 brought with it a more Soviet-influenced system of socialist law. However, earlier traditions from Chinese history have retained their influence.

    Law in the People's Republic of China is currently undergoing gradual reform, as many elements inside and outside the country emphasize the need to strengthen the rule of law in China, and international trade and globalization spur transformations in various areas of Chinese domestic law."

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_law


    Russia;
    Constitutionism


    Adopted by national referendum on 12 December 1993 with 54.5% of the vote, the Constitution took effect on the day it was published – 25 December of the same year. It set out the fundamentals of government as well as proclaiming the rule of law, the ideological neutrality of the state, political pluralism, competitive elections and a separation of power, guaranteeing fundamental human rights to the Russian people. The Constitution establishes a semi-presidential system that encompasses strong executive power and increased independence for the president. Since its adoption in a 1993 referendum the Russian Constitution is considered to be the supreme law of the land. Article 15 of the Constitution reads that it “shall have supreme legal force and have direct effect, and shall be applicable throughout the entire territory of the Russian Federation.” Courts are guided by the Constitution and it trumps federal and local laws."

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of...supreme_courts


    Appellate jurisdiction

    "The Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS)[2] is the highest court in the federal judiciary of the United States. It has ultimate (and largely discretionary) appellate jurisdiction over all federal and state court cases that involve a point of federal law, and original jurisdiction over a narrow range of cases, specifically "all Cases affecting Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, and those in which a State shall be Party".[3] The Court holds the power of judicial review, the ability to invalidate a statute for violating a provision of the U.S. Constitution. It is also able to strike down presidential directives for violating either the Constitution or statutory law.[4] However, it may act only within the context of a case in an area of law over which it has jurisdiction. The Court may decide cases having political overtones, but it has ruled that it does not have power to decide non-justiciable political questions."

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suprem..._United_States
    Last edited by OhOh; 14-01-2020 at 03:37 PM.

  4. #479
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Oh HoHo, fuck off trying to compare the Chinkies and the Russians with the USA.

    Their entire legal systems operate on the principle of "Whatever you say, dear leader".

  5. #480
    Thailand Expat helge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    Iranian president orders implementation of law blacklisting Pentagon as ‘terrorist organization’
    Some would agree that he has a point there.

  6. #481
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    Their entire legal systems operate on the principle of "Whatever you say, dear leader".
    Who chooses the Supreme Court "judges"?

    My reply was to our TD poster HermantheGerman. To illustrate most versions are ultimately controlled by politicians, worldwide. Possibly excluding the Vatican.

    Not having studied legal history, I am unable to comment on the various versions.

    If you have a copy of your research paper and would be so good as to post a link, we might all understand your principles reinforcing your allegations.

    Every little helps those unwashed, illiterate posters here on TD to grasp the baton you fumble with, every time some reach out to continue the relay race to enlightenment.

    (CodeRed, English Grammar clean-up required, Intensive Care, Bangkok Asylum)

    Hospital Codes: What Do Code Black, Code Blue & Code Red Mean?

  7. #482
    Thailand Expat
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    ...trying to compare the Chinkies and the Russians with the USA.

    Their entire legal systems operate on the principle of "Whatever you say, dear leader".
    They still have to learn and improve a lot, something like this:

    "I will never apologize for the United States — I don't care what the facts are... I'm not an apologize-for-America kind of guy." - George H. W. Bush, Aug 2 1988

  8. #483
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    ^ except that your example has no relevance to the legal system

  9. #484
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    Every little helps those unwashed, illiterate posters here on TD
    So basically you and Klondyke then.

  10. #485
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    So basically you and Klondyke then.
    To be fair, they are the leading contenders

  11. #486
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    Quote Originally Posted by panama hat View Post
    ^ except that your example has no relevance to the legal system
    Of course, sorry, does the "legal system" you prefer - and are a fan of - care about the facts?

  12. #487
    Thailand Expat HermantheGerman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Klondyke View Post
    Of course, sorry, does the "legal system" you prefer - and are a fan of - care about the facts?

    The facts are:

    YOU and OhOh are able to type your GARBAGE here on TD!
    If you would be living in YOUR loving countries (CHINA, IRAN, RUSSIA) you would be typing "Jack Shit".
    I think/hope even you two Numb-Brains should be able to grasp this piece of reality.

    And please stop lecturing us about our countries. We know dam well what's wrong with them. It just sounds totally absurd coming from you two "BOZOS" mouth.

  13. #488
    Thailand Expat HermantheGerman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by panama hat View Post
    To be fair, they are the leading contenders

    Well, look who's here

    There is hope for TD after all.

  14. #489
    Thailand Expat HermantheGerman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post

    My reply was to our TD poster HermantheGerman. To illustrate most versions are ultimately controlled by politicians, worldwide. Possibly excluding the Vatican.
    Trump might be gone this year. If not, definitely in 4 years.
    Salami was here to stay for how many years ? (Thank God he got blown up)
    Putin is going to stick around for how many more years? ((Russia.....the richest country and nothing changes)
    Xing Ping just another communist bastard. (he just elected himself to another 20 years)
    Kim of Korea (only cancer can get rid of him)

    Now, who is in control ? Your beloved countries.

  15. #490
    Thailand Expat
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    Iran says 25 million people attended Qassem Soleimani’s funeral



    BEIRUT, LEBANON (3:30 P.M.) – The Spokesman of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corp (IRGC) Brigadier General Ramezan Sharif said on Tuesday that approximately 25 million people attended the three-day-long funeral procession of Major-General Qassem Soleimani.

    “When the body of the late General was repatriated, in five cities of Ahvaz, Mashhad, Tehran, Qom and Kerman, 25 million people took part in massive street funeral processions,” Sharif said on Tuesday.

    The IRGC commander added that the large turnout was a strong message to the U.S. administration regarding the magnitude of their assassination.

    The Quds Force commander and the Popular Mobilization Units Deputy Commander Abu Mahdi Al-Mohandes were assassinated on January 3rd after leaving Damascus for Baghdad that night.

    On the last day of Soleimani’s funeral procession in his home city of Kernaz, the IRGC launched several missiles towards the U.S. Armed Forces in Iraq.

    In total, the IRGC fired 22 missiles towards the U.S. Armed Forces, with at least 17 of them targeting the ‘Ayn Al-Assad Base in Iraq’s Al-Anbar Governorate.

    Iran says 25 million people attended Qassem Soleimani's funeral

  16. #491
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    Quote Originally Posted by HermantheGerman View Post
    And please stop lecturing us about our countries. We know dam well what's wrong with them
    And isn't it wonderful that we can change our leadership every few years, unlike:
    Quote Originally Posted by HermantheGerman View Post
    Putin is going to stick around for how many more years? ((Russia.....the richest country and nothing changes)
    Xing Ping just another communist bastard. (he just elected himself to another 20 years)
    Kim of Korea (only cancer can get rid of him)
    Quote Originally Posted by HermantheGerman View Post
    Well, look who's here

    There is hope for TD after all.

  17. #492
    Thailand Expat HermantheGerman's Avatar
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    Good shot ! Can't trust those Mullahs

    Three pro-Iranian militia fighters killed in strike on T4

    Alleged Israeli strike comes hours after IDF intel assessment finds Soleimani killing a window of opportunity for Israel to act against Iran.


    ......The alleged Israeli airstrikes marked the first time this year that IAF jets carried out airstrikes on military targets belonging to Iran west of Syria’s Deir Ezzor, coming several hours after two Syrian Air Force cargo flights from Tehran landed at the base........
    Three pro-Iranian militia fighters killed in strike on T4 - The Jerusalem Post

  18. #493
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    ^These rockets?

    Update: At least one rocket hits Iraqi base hosting US forces

    BEIRUT, LEBANON (9:00 P.M.) – At least one rocket struck an Iraqi military base that is hosting the U.S. Armed Forces this evening, the Iraqi security forces announced this evening.

    According to the Iraqi security forces, the rocket targeted Camp Taiji in the Salaheddine Governorate; this base is located just north of Baghdad and east of the Samarra-Baghdad Highway.

    No casualties were reported.
    Update: At least one rocket hits Iraqi base hosting US forces


    or these?

    Update: Suspected Israeli missiles hit Syrian airbase that houses Iranian troops
    BEIRUT, LEBANON (10:45 P.M.) – Several missiles targeted the T-4 Military Airport in the eastern countryside of the Homs Governorate, a source told Al-Masdar News from Damascus.

    According to the source, a number of explosions were heard at the airbase after some of the missiles managed to hit their intended targets.

    He would add that while some of the missiles did hit the base, the Syrian air defenses were able to intercept a number of the projectiles after they were fired from a suspected Israeli aircraft.

    While there is no confirmation about who is behind the attack, field reporters are claiming the missiles were fired from an aircraft that entered the government areas from the SDF-held territories.

    The T-4 Airbase houses both Iranian and Russian soldiers; it has been targeted by the Israeli Armed Forces on a number of occasions in the past.

    The Iranian S-300 system is believed to be active at this base; however, there is no confirmation that it has been used in tonight’s attack.
    Update: Suspected Israeli missiles hit Syrian airbase that houses Iranian troops

  19. #494
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Don't forget the Ronettes?



    Although their message was, "For every kiss you give me, I'll give you three."

    Those were the days.

  20. #495
    Thailand Expat
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    (Won't you fetch up one more dozen?)

    Ukraine volunteered to send two dozen of its troops to help NATO in Iraq
    January 14, 2020

    Ukraine notified NATO of readiness to become the Alliance's operating partner in Iraq, photo - www.kmu.gov.ua
    Ukraine is ready to become an operational partner of the North Atlantic Alliance and send the military to Iraq.

    Kuleba noted that 20 Ukrainian troops are planned to be sent in support of the alliance mission in Iraq after the restoration of its work.

    The Deputy Prime Minister also emphasized that the invitation to become an operational partner of the mission testifies to NATO’s recognition of Ukraine’s military experience and professionalism. At the same time, the deputy secretary general of the alliance noted the importance of Ukrainian participation in the mission.

    Earlier it was reported that at the end of last year, Kuleba claimed that the United States could allot $ 1 billion to Europe and Ukraine to reduce dependence on Russian gas.

    It was also said that the United States threatens Iraq to block access to its money if it requires the withdrawal of American troops.

    Украина вызвалась отправить два десятка своих военных на помощь НАТО в Ирак


  21. #496
    Thailand Expat helge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by HermantheGerman View Post
    The facts are:

    YOU and OhOh are able to type your GARBAGE here on TD!
    Freedom of Speech
    Quote Originally Posted by HermantheGerman View Post
    And please stop lecturing us about our countries
    But please do not use it

    Please forward a list of allowed topics.

  22. #497
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Reading Sun Tzu in Tehran


    "Iran is not done. General Hajizadeh, Commander of the IRGC Aerospace Force, said in a briefing yesterday that the strike “was the starting point of a great operation”. He also underlined that “the strikes were not meant to cause fatalities: We intended [rather] to deliver a blow to the enemy’s military machine”. And the Pentagon is saying, too, that Iran intentionally missed US troops at the bases. This is tantamount to the Pentagon admitting that Iran can land missiles with extreme accuracy over a distance of several hundred miles – and further, this occurred with not one missile being intercepted by the US forces. To completely avoid targeting soldiers at a large military base is no mean feat – it suggests an accuracy within a meter or two – not ten meters – for Iranian missiles.

    Isn’t this the point? It suggests that advances in Iran’s guidance systems can land missiles with extreme precision. Haven’t we seen something similar happen recently in Saudi Arabia (Abqaiq)? And was it not clear from Abqaiq that highly expensive US air defence systems do not work? The IRGC satisfactorily have demonstrated that they and their allies can penetrate US manufactured air defence systems, using domestically produced ‘smart’ missiles, and by using their electronic warfare systems.

    The US bases around the region – in short – now represent vulnerable US infrastructure – and not strength. Ditto for those expensive carrier battle fleets. The Iranian message was clear and very pertinent to those who understand (or want to understand). To others, less strategically aware, it might seem that Iran pulled its military punch, and showed weakness. Actually, when you have just demonstrated the ability to upend the military status quo, there is no need for a hail of trumpets. The landing of the message itself is the ‘blow’ to a ‘military machine’. Neatly calibrated: it avoided head to head-on war. Trump stood down (and claimed success).

    So then, is it all over – all done and dusted? Finished with? Not at all. Both the Supreme Leader and Gen. Hajizadeh said (effectively) that the strike represented an outset – ‘a beginning’. But much of the MSM – both in the West and some in Israel – lend a cultural ‘tin ear’ towards how Iran manages asymmetric war – even when it is spelled out explicitly.

    Asymmetric warfare is not a ‘dick swinging’ exercise. It is more David and Goliath. Goliath can crush David with a blow from his clenched fist, but the latter is nimble; quick on his feet, dancing around the giant – just out of his reach. David has stamina, but the giant lumbers heavily around, and is easily angered and exhausted. Eventually, even a well-aimed pebble – not even a Howitzer – brings him down.

    Listen closely to the Iranian message: Should the US withdraw from Iraq, as requested by the Iraqi Parliament, and in accordance with its agreement with the government of Baghdad, and then ‘go’ from the region, the military situation will ease. However, should US insist on staying in Iraq, US forces will come under political and military pressure to quit – but not from the state of Iran. It will come from the inhabitants of those states in which the US forces presently are deployed. At this point, US soldiers may be killed (though not by Iranian missiles). It is America’s choice. Iran holds the initiative.

    Iranian leaders have been very explicit: The ‘slap’ of the strike at the Ain al-Assad base is not the pay-back for General Soleimani’s targeted assassination. Rather, it is the campaign consisting of the amorphous, quasi-political, quasi-military, asymmetrical war on America’s presence in the Middle East that has been dedicated as fitting to his memory.

    This is David dancing around Goliath. Soleimani’s assassination has energised and mobilised millions in a new fervour of resistance (and not just the Shi’a, by the way). And the trashing of Iraq’s sovereignty by President Trump’s response to the vote in the Iraqi parliament (calling for foreign forces to leave Iraq), has created a new political paradigm which even the most pro-American of Iraqis cannot easily ignore. It is – notably – a non-sectarian mission (removing foreign forces).
    And Israel, after initial self-congratulation (amongst the Netanyahuists) has understood that Iran has ‘stepped-up’, and not ‘stepped back’. Veteran Israeli security corresponded Ben Caspit writes:

    “The letter of Gen. William H. Sili, commander of US military operations in Iraq, was leaked and then rapidly disseminated among Israel’s most senior security figures on Jan 6 … The content of the letter — that the Americans were preparing to withdraw from Iraq immediately — turned on all the alarm systems throughout the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv. More so, the publication was about to set in motion an Israeli “nightmare scenario” in which ahead of the upcoming US elections, President Donald Trump would rapidly evacuate all US forces from Iraq and Syria.

    “Simultaneously, Iran announced that it is immediately halting its various commitments regarding its nuclear agreement with the superpowers, returning to high-level uranium enrichment of unlimited amounts and renewing its accelerated push for achieving military nuclear abilities. “Under such circumstances,” a senior Israeli defense source told [Caspit], “We truly remain alone at this most critical period. There is no worse scenario than this, for Israel’s national security … It is not clear how this letter was written, it is not clear why it was leaked, it is not clear why it was ever written to begin with. In general, nothing is clear with regard to American conduct in the Middle East. We get up every morning to new uncertainty.””

    The impeachment of the US President launched by the House, has left Trump very vulnerable to the Zionist and Evangelical rump in the US Senate, whose votes nonetheless will be essential to Trump’s bid to remain in office when the articles of impeachment move to the Senate. And to a trial where Trump must block the Democrats allying with any Republican rebels in order to achieve a two-thirds ‘guilty’ vote. The Impeachment leverage has been used several times to push Trump to act in the Middle-East directly contrary to his electoral interest – which remains contingent on keeping soaring markets – and in talk of a China Trade deal.

    What Trump needs most now (in electoral campaign terms) is a de-escalation with Iran – one that would mitigate political pressure from the neo-con and Evangelical quarters, and allow him to show-case the inflated asset markets.
    But this is precisely what he will not get.

    Trumps’ attempts to contain the Iranian response to the Soleimani killing were unreservedly rebuffed by Tehran. The missives were never opened, nor allowed for them to be spoken by the mediators. There is no room for talks, unless Trump lifts sanctions and the US re-commits to the JCPOA. This will never happen. There will now be immense pressure from all the Israel lobbies for America to remain in Iraq and Syria (pace Caspit’s comments). And the ghost of Soleimani’s ‘revenge’ will haunt America’s forces in the region for months, if not years, to come.

    Iran – wisely – has eschewed direct, state-to-state military conflict, for a more subtle, and pernicious war on the US presence in the Middle East – a war, which if successful, will re-cast the region.
    No, it’s not over. Its set to escalate (but in an asymmetrical way). Trump will remain squeezed in the rogue Senators’ vice."

    https://www.strategic-culture.org/ne...tzu-in-tehran/

  23. #498
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Only HoHo could post an article trying to gin up the Iranians military capabilities just after they've blown a civilian airliner out of the sky.

    What a dumb c u n t.


  24. #499
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    military capabilities just after they've blown a civilian airliner out of the sky
    In one case the military is praised and rewarded - in other case punished... (Perhaps because of only 180 dead, 290 is good for a reward?)

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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    Reading Sun Tzu in Tehran
    "Iran is not done. General Hajizadeh, Commander of the IRGC Aerospace Force, said in a briefing yesterday that the strike “was the starting point of a great operation”. He also underlined that “the strikes were not meant to cause fatalities: We intended [rather] to deliver a blow to the enemy’s military machine”. And the Pentagon is saying, too, that Iran intentionally missed US troops at the bases.
    Isn’t this the point?


    Boy Oh Boy Oh Boy, where do you get this garbage from. Now comes the part with the comon sense. So please pay attention.
    Did Iran not claim in the beginnining that 40 U.S. military personal got killed by the strike. Sounded like boasting to me.





    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    It suggests that advances in Iran’s guidance systems can land missiles with extreme precision. Haven’t we seen something similar happen recently in Saudi Arabia (Abqaiq)? And was it not clear from Abqaiq that highly expensive US air defence systems do not work? The IRGC satisfactorily have demonstrated that they and their allies can penetrate US manufactured air defence systems, using domestically produced ‘smart’ missiles, and by using their electronic warfare systems.


    Boy Oh Boy Oh Boy, it took 2x missiles to take down a civilan plane. What precision? And it was not even a direct hit! If that plane would have been way up in the sky, who knows where the Lego build missile might have landed.

    Do you actually believe the garbage that you post?

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