Mike Pompeo Shifts Rationale for Soleimani Killing From ‘Imminent’ Threat to Deterrence Strategy
"The Trump administration’s initial justification for the 3 January strike that killed Iran’s Soleimani was the threat of “imminent” attacks against American interests. That rationale proved shaky over the past two weeks, with government officials contradicting one another and even themselves.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said that the assassination of Qassem Soleimani was part of a “bigger strategy” to deter Iran and other US rivals, including Russia and China, in what marked a significant departure from Washington’s original account.
“President Trump and those of us in his national security team are re-establishing deterrents – real deterrents – against the Islamic Republic,” Pompeo said in a speech at Stanford’s Hoover Institute on Monday (full transcript available here).
“Your adversary must understand not only that you have the capacity to impose cost but that you’re in fact willing to do so,” Pompeo said, adding that the US is now in “the greatest position of strength regarding Iran” ever because of the stringent sanctions that Trump re-imposed on the Islamic Republic following his withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal.
“The importance of deterrence isn’t confined to Iran,” Pompeo said. “In all cases, we must deter foes to defend freedom. That’s the whole point of President Trump’s work to make our military the strongest it’s ever been.”
He went on to cite the much-criticised withdrawal from the INF treaty and naval exercises in the contested South China Sea as examples of America’s “deterrence” policy toward Russia and China, respectively.
An unconfirmed ‘imminent’ threat
Notably, one of the main US architects of the new Iran policy repeated the accusation that Soleimani had planned the 27 Dec. strike on an Iraqi base that killed an American contractor and the 31 Dec. attack on the US embassy in Baghdad, but made no mention of the future attacks Soleimani was allegedly plotting.
This was Donald Trump and Mike Pompeo’s justification for the drone strike that killed Soleimani in Iraq on 3 January, prompting what appeared to be a retaliatory strike from Iran and triggering fears of an armed conflict.
“There is no doubt that there were a series of imminent attacks that were being plotted by Qassem Soleimani,” Pompeo said on Thursday in a Fox News interview. “We don't know precisely when, and we don't know precisely where, but it was real.”
Why does it matter if there was such a threat?
Donald Trump ordered the strike without seeking the approval of Congress, which is normally required in such cases. National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien said the administration had the legal authority to order the killing under the 2002 Authorisation for the Use of Military Force Against Iraq, which does indeed allow the president to use military force to prevent a “continuing threat” posed by Iraq, but not Iran.
Both Trump and Pompeo have claimed, citing undisclosed intelligence, that Soleimani was planning attacks on US embassies, creating the impression that he was posing a threat to US security. Defence Secretary Mark Esper contradicted that claim on Sunday, saying he had seen no evidence to back it up.
Trump added up to the confusion on Monday when he tweeted it “doesn’t really” matter whether Soleimani was posing an immediate threat because he had a “horrible past”.
"Donald J. Trump ✔ @realDonaldTrump
The Fake News Media and their Democrat Partners are working hard to determine whether or not the future attack by terrorist Soleimani was “imminent” or not, & was my team in agreement. The answer to both is a strong YES., but it doesn’t really matter because of his horrible past!
11:09 PM - Jan 13, 2020"
Meanwhile, reports surfaced that Trump had actually authorised the assassination in June 2019 – something that means the US had long planned the strike and further undermines Trump’s rationale of pre-emptive action against “imminent” attacks."
https://sputniknews.com/world/202001141078029878-mike-pompeo-shifts-rationale-for-soleimani-killing-
from-imminent-threat-to-deterrence-strategy/
Original justifications for illegal attacks on Iraq and Iran "modified".
Deterrence now includes illegal acts of war.
No time frame defined for any " horrible past". Possibly Russia and France can be overlooked, due to their assistance during a certain countries "War of Independence".
Ignoring previous adopted UN agreements.
An unexceptional bully accepted by their citizens, applauded even.The vassal countries must be examining all their misdeeds they committed during their own " horrible past" and likewise all the misdeeds of other countries " horrible past".
One hopes the UNSC pass a binding agreement allowing all countries either to state;
A. They are free to take similar action, after their Government has gained an affirmative vote in it's Parliament
or
B. Any unexceptional countries adopting such actions will be "reminded" of previous agreements signed in their countries name. Their bank accounts, assets and legal adoptions being seized, wherever they are around the world. To be managed on behalf of the Developing Countries until all have been disbursed.
Once the original assets are gone the unexceptional countries citizens will be forced to "tighten their belts" until they are reduced to the same standard of living as the average Developing Country's citizens.
Although goldilocks land have adopted similar Political, Military and Judicial methods for decades, I suspect the more civilised countries may have doubts as to adopting them locally.
Pandora's gonna need a bigger box.