One presumes the regime bases are adequately protected with their AD systems.
The "Iranians" have apparently upgraded their missiles accuracy, normally they are alleged to fire 10's of missiles of which one lands harmlessly in the regime base killing one well paid ex-pat.
But remember, an unexceptional country's military and politicians have previous with regard to "False Flags".
One hopes a more qualified team are doing the "monitoring", hasn't the regime leader got a trade ware agreement to finalise?
In a year or two evidence will be ignored that it was a blue on blue "unacceptable mistake".