2016 Democratic US Presidential Candidates

**S Landreth** · 23-03-2016, 12:05 PM

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

I don't there are any winner-take-all states in the remaining Dem race, and last I heard Bernie needed to win something like 60% of all remaining delegates, and that was before tonight.

From a science blog I’ll read (he supports a Sanders win),….

So, what does the future look like? There are several states coming up where Sanders is likely to do well. But is it enough to make it likely for him to overtake Clinton? With a 20% spread and half the votes counted, Sanders would have to take an average of 60% of the delegates from here on. That is very unlikely.

The total number of delegates required to lock the nomination is 2,383. There are 717 uncommitted delegates (aka “Super Delegates”). If we assume that all of those uncommitted delegates will simply vote for the majority candidate, then the number of delegates required to have a likely lock on the nomination is 1669. This is not a fully supportable assumption because some of the uncommitted delegates may chose a different path, but it is a reasonable approximation.

The part of the table above marked in yellow indicates the approximate point in time when the leading candidate, Clinton, will get somewhere around 1669 delegates. So, if this model is reasonably accurate, Clinton will achieve a lock about mid May.

___________

Delegate count as of March 22nd finish,….

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 12:09 PM

I just heard of this story for the first time.

Hillary claimed Chelsea erased her server.

But....

Postpartum Deletion

Chelsea Clinton did not claim she scrubbed controversial e-mail messages from her mother's private server due to postpartum depression.

FACT CHECK: Did Chelsea Clinton say that she erased her mother Hillary Clinton's e-mails due to postpartum depression?

Claim: Chelsea Clinton said that she erased her mother Hillary Clinton's emails due to postpartum depression.

FALSE

Example: [Collected via e-mail, August 2015]

Chelsea Clinton erased her mom's emails due to post partum depression. Is this true?

Origins: On 19 August 2015, the web site The Daily Rash published the transcript of a purported interview with MSNBC host Chris Matthews, Democratic presidential candidate (and former secretary of state) Hillary Clinton, and Hillary's daughter Chelsea Clinton, in the course of which Chelsea supposedly took responsibility for the controversy over the "scrubbing" of some potentially sensitive government-related e-mail messages from her mother's private server:

HILLARY: Yes, we are, Chris. We have decided to be candid and inform the American people that Chelsea is the one who scrubbed my computer drives clean.

CHRIS MATTHEWS: And you also claim she removed all the classified markings from sensitive emails?

HILLARY: Yes, that is true. (looks at Chelsea) Isn’t that true, honey?

CHELSEA: (swallowing hard) Yes, I did it. I’m the one who erased the servers and I also removed all classified markings.

CHRIS MATTHEWS: So it makes sense now, Madam Secretary, that you could not have known you had all those classified emails.

HILLARY: That’s correct, Chris.

CHRIS MATTHEWS: Unfortunately there’s a heart wrenching part to this confession, isn’t there?

HILLARY: Yes there is, Chris. Chelsea was suffering from postpartum depression at the time.

CHRIS MATTHEWS: Oh no.

HILLARY: As you are aware, Chris, postpartum depression is an awful affliction for millions of women following a pregnancy. The costs to the poor mother are devastating. Those of us who’ve never experienced it cannot imagine the anguish.

Postpartum Deletion : snopes.com

**AntRobertson** · 23-03-2016, 12:41 PM

So you heard a story that has been proven factually incorrect and without merit...

And you posted it here because??

**Humbert** · 23-03-2016, 12:45 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

I just heard of this story for the first time.
Hillary claimed Chelsea erased her server.
But....

Are you on Prozac? The orange is a nice touch though.

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 12:45 PM

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

So you heard a story that has been proven factually incorrect and without merit...

And you posted it here because??

You tell me.

**AntRobertson** · 23-03-2016, 12:46 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

So you heard a story that has been proven factually incorrect and without merit...

And you posted it here because??

You tell me.

Because you're a vapid and obtuse moron?

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 12:57 PM

Originally Posted by Humbert

Originally Posted by Black Heart

I just heard of this story for the first time.
Hillary claimed Chelsea erased her server.
But....

Are you on Prozac? The orange is a nice touch though.

I don't take any "psho-tropic" drugs or whatever. Not even an aspirin.

Is this story true or not?

**AntRobertson** · 23-03-2016, 01:01 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Is this story true or not?

...

Are you asking whether the story that you posted the Snopes link to declaring it as "FALSE" is true or not??

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 01:06 PM

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Is this story true or not?

...

Are you asking whether the story that you posted the Snopes link to declaring it as "FALSE" is true or not??

Yes.

(Did I stutter?)

**AntRobertson** · 23-03-2016, 01:10 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

(Did I stutter?)

No, you just posted a ridiculously stupid question.

**harrybarracuda** · 23-03-2016, 01:19 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Is this story true or not?

...

Are you asking whether the story that you posted the Snopes link to declaring it as "FALSE" is true or not??

Yes.

(Did I stutter?)

Just to make it clear, no, the story was bollocks.

So what you've actually posted is proof that a story you'd never heard was actually bollocks.

So why did you post it?

Fucking hell, are you going to cut and paste the entire Snopes website you moron?

**Humbert** · 23-03-2016, 01:36 PM

Barbaro, is Obama a Muslim? I bet you have a lot of 'research' on that topic.

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 01:48 PM

Originally Posted by Humbert

Barbaro, is Obama a Muslim? I bet you have a lot of 'research' on that topic.

NO, IMO.

And I know your being facetious and flippant.

Is he a muslim sympathizer?

Yes.

He's been importing muslims into the US and dumping their in cities and towns are over.

He noted the "holy quran" in his Egyptian speech after getting into office.

He's just another charlatan shill promoting globalism and Keynesian policies.

And here are the voters of the United States:

**AntRobertson** · 23-03-2016, 01:49 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

And I know your being facetious and flippant.

Is he a muslim sympathizer?

Yes.

And you're advertising what a complete idiot you are.

**harrybarracuda** · 23-03-2016, 02:32 PM

After today's efforts, Clinton got another 76 delegates and Sanders 32.

**Black Heart** · 23-03-2016, 02:33 PM

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

After today's efforts, Clinton got another 76 delegates and Sanders 32.

Thanks for getting things back on track, Harry.

I notice the MSM has been quiet about Sanders.

**harrybarracuda** · 23-03-2016, 03:32 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

After today's efforts, Clinton got another 76 delegates and Sanders 32.

Thanks for getting things back on track, Harry.

I notice the MSM has been quiet about Sanders.

So has Snubby.

**Black Heart** · 25-03-2016, 09:47 AM

There are some negative to democracy (obviously).

Most people (meaning more than 50%) are ignorant and shouldn't really vote. Not to sound condescending but data has suggested this since the 1930s.

Some examples here:

**hazz** · 25-03-2016, 10:12 AM

glad to hear youve decided not to vote

**Black Heart** · 25-03-2016, 11:54 AM

It's early. It's a lifetime in politics until the election.

But here is the current polling. The amalgamated polling puts HRC up by just over 11%

2016 Presidential Race

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
Poll Date Sample MoE
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)

Spread

RCP Average 3/16 - 3/22 -- -- 50.0 38.8 Clinton +11.2

FOX News 3/20 - 3/22 1016 RV 3.0 49 38 Clinton +11
Bloomberg 3/19 - 3/22 815 LV 3.4 54 36 Clinton +18
Quinnipiac 3/16 - 3/21 1451 RV 2.6 46 40 Clinton +6
CBS News/NY Times 3/17 - 3/20 1058 RV 4.0 50 40 Clinton +10
CNN/ORC 3/17 - 3/20 925 RV 3.0 53 41 Clinton +12
Monmouth 3/17 - 3/20 848 RV 3.4 48 38 Clinton +10

All General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Presidential Race

**Humbert** · 25-03-2016, 03:02 PM

Nothing better than giving Longway a case of the ass over Hillary.

Words of warning from the conservative Washington Examiner:

A new survey of women voters suggests a general election contest between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could be disastrous for the Republican Party.

Compare the numbers:

In a hypothetical [Trump-Hillary] matchup, just 31 percent of women said they would chose Trump, while 58 percent said they would chose Clinton. That’s a net advantage of 27 points for Clinton. In 2012, Barack Obama bested Mitt Romney by far less — 55 percent to 44 percent — among female voters.

POLL: Women Would Overwhelmingly Favor Hillary in a Contest with Trump - Blue Nation Review

**Black Heart** · 25-03-2016, 03:04 PM

Originally Posted by Humbert

Nothing better than giving Longway a case of the ass over Hillary.

Words of warning from the conservative Washington Examiner:

A new survey of women voters suggests a general election contest between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could be disastrous for the Republican Party.

Compare the numbers:

In a hypothetical [Trump-Hillary] matchup, just 31 percent of women said they would chose Trump, while 58 percent said they would chose Clinton. That’s a net advantage of 27 points for Clinton. In 2012, Barack Obama bested Mitt Romney by far less — 55 percent to 44 percent — among female voters.

POLL: Women Would Overwhelmingly Favor Hillary in a Contest with Trump - Blue Nation Review

The female vote / woman vote will be critical.

Romney lost the woman vote by a record margin in 2012. I expect Trump to lose it by a wider margin (if he's the nominee).

**harrybarracuda** · 25-03-2016, 08:05 PM

Originally Posted by Black Heart

The female vote / woman vote will be critical.

What the fuck is this nonsense?

Have you not had that MRI yet?

**MrG** · 25-03-2016, 09:52 PM

Originally Posted by Humbert

In a hypothetical [Trump-Hillary] matchup, just 31 percent of women said they would chose Trump, while 58 percent said they would chose Clinton. That’s a net advantage of 27 points for Clinton. In 2012, Barack Obama bested Mitt Romney by far less — 55 percent to 44 percent — among female voters.

Little Donny gonna get pussy whipped.

**Black Heart** · 25-03-2016, 10:09 PM

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

Originally Posted by Black Heart

The female vote / woman vote will be critical.

What the fuck is this nonsense?

Have you not had that MRI yet?

Be specific.

You know little about American election history.

Re-read most posts above.

Thread: 2016 Democratic US Presidential Candidates

Thread Tools

Display

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

Posting Permissions