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Originally Posted by Milkman So, the majority vote favors Obama. I think by 1 million votes or so, correct? The remaining states won't mean much at all. Even Pennsylvania. To help Hillary. Am I correct in this, Norton? |
By majority vote, for clarification I should have said "pledged delegates" which "approximately" reflect the overall majority of votes.
Pledged delegates to date - Obama 1,553, Clinton, 1,438. Obama ahead by 115. If my math is right, there are 410 available delegates in the 7 states remaining.
For Clinton to pass Obama she would have to win on average 65% to 35%. This just ain't gonna happen as I expect will be more like 50/50 so Obama will go into the convention with the most pledged delegates! Clinton is lobbying to have both Florida and Michigan have their delegates counted where she would probably win albeit by a small margin but very low likelihood redo will happen. Just not enough money or time to redo.