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  1. #1
    Thailand Expat misskit's Avatar
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    Germany ends nuclear era as last reactors power down

    Germany will switch off its last three nuclear reactors on Saturday, exiting atomic power even as it seeks to wean itself off fossil fuels and manage an energy crisis caused by the war in Ukraine.


    While many Western countries are upping their investments in atomic energy to reduce their emissions, Germany is bringing an early end to its nuclear age.


    Europe’s largest economy has been looking to leave behind nuclear power since 2002, but the phase-out was accelerated by former chancellor Angela Merkel in 2011 after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan.


    The exit decision was popular in a country with a powerful anti-nuclear movement, stoked by lingering fears of a Cold War conflict and atomic disasters such as Chernobyl in Ukraine.


    “The risks of nuclear power are ultimately unmanageable,” said Environment Minister Steffi Lemke, who this week made a pilgrimage to the ill-fated Japanese plant ahead of a G7 meeting in the country.


    But the challenge caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which put an end to cheap gas imports, and the need to quickly cut emissions has upped calls in Germany to delay the withdrawal from nuclear power.


    Greenpeace, at the heart of the anti-nuclear movement, organised a celebratory party at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin to mark the occasion.


    “Finally, nuclear energy belongs to history! Let’s make this April 15 a day to remember,” the organisation said.


    In contrast, conservative daily FAZ headlined its Saturday edition “Thanks, nuclear energy,” as it listed benefits it said nuclear had brought the country over the years.



    ‘A mistake’


    Initially planned for the end of 2022, Germany’s nuclear exit had already been pushed back once.


    As Russian gas supplies dwindled last year, officials in Berlin were left scrambling to find a way to keep the lights on, with a short extension agreed until mid-April.


    Germany, the largest emitter in the European Union, also powered up some of its mothballed coal-fuelled plants to cover the potential gap left by gas.


    The challenging energy situation had increased calls domestically for the exit from nuclear to be delayed.


    Germany had to “expand the supply of energy and not restrict it any further” in light of potential shortages and high prices, the president of the German chambers of commerce Peter Adrian told the Rheinische Post daily.


    The conservative leader of Bavaria Markus Soeder meanwhile told the Focus Online website that he wanted the plants to stay online and three more to be kept “in reserve”.


    Outside observers have been similarly irked by Germany’s insistence on exiting nuclear while ramping up its coal usage, with climate activist Greta Thunberg in October slamming the move as “a mistake”.


    Sooner or later


    At the Isar 2 complex in Bavaria, technicians will progressively shut down the reactor from 10:00 pm (2000 GMT) on Saturday, severing it from the grid for good.


    “It will be a very moving moment for colleagues to shut down the power plant for the last time,” said Guido Knott, CEO of PreussenElektra, which operates Isar 2, a few hours before the deadline.


    By the end of the day, operators at the other two facilities, in northern Emsland and southwestern Neckarwestheim, will have taken their facilities offline as well.


    The three final plants provided just six percent of Germany’s energy last year, compared with 30.8 percent from all nuclear plants in 1997.


    “Sooner or later” the reactors will start being dismantled, Economy Minister Robert Habeck told the Funke group ahead of the scheduled decommissioning, brushing aside the idea of an extension.


    The government has the energy situation “under control”, Habeck assured, having filled gas stores and built new infrastructure for the import of liquefied natural gas to bridge the gap left by Russian supplies.


    Instead, the minister from the Green party, which was founded on opposition to nuclear power, is focused on getting Germany to produce 80 percent of its energy from renewables by 2030.


    To this end, Chancellor Olaf Scholz has called for the installation of “four to five wind turbines a day” over the next few years — a tall order given that just 551 were installed last year.


    But the current rate of progress on renewables could well be too slow for Germany to meet its climate protection goals.


    Despite planning to exit nuclear, Germany has not “pushed ahead enough with the expansion of renewables in the last 10 years”, Simon Mueller from the Agora Energiewende think tank told AFP.


    To build enough onshore wind capacity, according to Mueller, Germany now has to “pull out all the stops”.


    Greenpeace organised a protest at the Brandenburg Gate Saturday, with a model dinosaur symbolising atomic power dead on its back, vanquished by the anti-nuclear movement, surrounded by replica barrels of radioactive waste.


    “Finally, nuclear energy belongs to history!”, the group said. In Munich, a “nuclear exit festival” saw several hundred people gather to mark the milestone.


    https://www.thaipbsworld.com/germany...rs-power-down/

  2. #2
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    Just pure madness.

    While France goes full bore nuclear right beside them.

    France to build up to 14 new nuclear reactors by 2050, says Macron | France | The Guardian

  3. #3
    Thailand Expat VocalNeal's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by misskit View Post
    Germany has not “pushed ahead enough with the expansion of renewables
    Isn't nuclear renewable? Just stick more fuel in?

  4. #4
    hangin' around cyrille's Avatar
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    No.

    The materials used to generate nuclear power, most often uranium, are a finite resource.

  5. #5
    Guest Member S Landreth's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by misskit View Post
    Germany will switch off its last three nuclear reactors on Saturday,........
    Good move in the right direction

  6. #6
    last farang standing
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    There is an estimated 6 tons of uranium fuel left with an estimated 10 tons as yet undiscovered according to the IAEA. 1 gram of u235 fuel is roughly equivalent to 3 tons of coal. At current consumption rates there is about 200 years of reserves. There is another fuel called ANEEL(acronym) that combines thorium with low grade uranium which is more efficient and produces 80% less waste, currently being tested in the USA which will be suitable for existing reactors. Then there is the development of Thorium Molten salt reactors. All of which will greatly increase the amount of available fuel.
    Every CO2 fuel alternative has its downside be it lack of water for hydro or the pollution in manufacturing and disposal of solar panels and wind turbines. I cant see how Germany will be able to match supply to the usage increase as fossil fuels are ditched and electric vehicles become the norm putting further strain on electrical supply, without severely curtailing their industrial output. IMO they are making a huge mistake as their competitors move towards nuclear energy while they move away. It is a furphy to think of Germany as a green power country they use huge amounts of gas and coal and are one of the largest emitters. The most likely outcome is increased emissions over the short and medium term.

  7. #7
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    ^


  8. #8
    Guest Member S Landreth's Avatar
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    ^Bit dated. You drinkin’ again?

    Learning curve

    U.S. electric capacity mix shifts from fossil fuels to renewables in AEO2023





  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by VocalNeal View Post
    Isn't nuclear renewable? Just stick more fuel in?
    There is a huge ongoing problem with toxic waste from nuclear power sources. The issue has lacked a suitable permanent solution since the 1940s. Some of the source material can be recycled but only a very small proportion.
    No matter how it is stored, or treated, the toxicity eventually leaks, and remains dangerous for hundreds of years.
    Philosophy is questions that may never be answered. Religion is answers that may never be questioned.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by S Landreth View Post
    ^Bit dated. You drinkin’ again?
    its all looking a bit fossil there dumbo

  11. #11
    Heading down to Dino's
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    its all looking a bit fossil there dumbo
    I hate to side with you whingy, but ya, he is coming off as a bit of a nutter here. Lots of coal is being burned in the shithole red states of the US.

  12. #12
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    ^ shhh don't let the negatives get in the way of yet another dreary Landreth crusade thread.

  13. #13
    hangin' around cyrille's Avatar
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    Is there something that can get in the way of the forum's worst polluter by far?

    Anything?!

  14. #14
    Guest Member S Landreth's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    its all looking a bit fossil there dumbo
    Did you miss the link?

    Quote Originally Posted by S Landreth View Post
    The U.S. power grid nearly doubles in capacity from 2022 to 2050 to meet increasing demand for electric power, and most newly built capacity will be from renewable energy technologies, according to most cases in our Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023). Declining capital costs for solar panels, wind turbines, and battery storage, as well as government subsidies such as those included in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), result in renewables becoming increasingly cost effective compared with the alternatives when building new power capacity. Economic growth, paired with rising electrification in end-use sectors, results in stable growth in U.S. electric power demand through 2050.

    In our AEO2023, we explore long-term energy trends in the United States and present an outlook for energy markets through 2050. We use different scenarios, called cases, to understand how varying assumptions affect energy trends. These cases include:

    The Reference case, which serves as a baseline, or benchmark, case. It reflects laws and regulations adopted through mid-November 2022, including the IRA. It assumes capital costs for power generating technologies decline over time from learning by doing as commercialization expands and construction and manufacturing experience accelerates. It also assumes the U.S. GDP annual growth rate is 1.9% over the projection period.

    The Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost case, which assumes faster technology-cost declines for zero-carbon technologies, resulting in about a 40% cost reduction by 2050 compared with the Reference case. Zero-carbon technologies in AEO2023 include renewables, nuclear, and energy storage.

    The High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost case, which assumes no technology-cost declines for zero-carbon technologies, which maintain their 2022 costs through 2050.

    The Low Economic Growth case, which assumes the compound annual growth rate for U.S. GDP is 1.4%

    The High Economic Growth case, which assumes the compound annual growth rate for U.S. GDP is 2.3%

    The economic growth and zero-carbon technology cost combination cases, which simultaneously vary high and low economic growth with high and low zero-carbon technology costs.

    In the Reference case, we project a large increase in renewable capacity of about 380% from 2022 through 2050. By comparison, fossil fuel generating capacity, which includes coal and natural gas-fired power plants, increases about 11%.

    The economic growth and zero-carbon technology cost combination cases show the most extreme outcomes for growth of renewable and fossil fuel generating capacity out of all AEO2023 cases. The High Economic Growth and Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost combination case has the highest projected growth in renewable capacity, increasing nearly 600% between 2022 and 2050.

    Even in the Low Economic Growth and High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost combination case, which assumes the lowest growth in renewable technologies out of the AEO2023 cases, projected growth in renewable capacity approaches 230%.

    The projected outcomes for both fossil fuel and renewable power plants are sensitive to the assumed cost of renewable technologies.

    The projected outcomes for fossil fuel generating capacity also vary across AEO2023 cases. In the High Economic Growth and High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost combination case, fossil fuel capacity increases 36% between 2022 and 2050. In the Low Economic Growth and Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost combination case, fossil fuel capacity decreases by 14% because more fossil fuel generators are retired than built over the projection period.

    One point and one question……….

    One point - Little if any new growth in nuclear energy, because it’s unsafe and ‘Nuclear power is now the most expensive form of generation, except for gas peaking plants’ .

    Question – Do you share your hat with Hugh Cow?
    Keep your friends close and your enemies closer.

  15. #15
    Thailand Expat david44's Avatar
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    In addition we need to consider the global picture in evaluating whole life recycling impacts and decommissioning , pollution and hazards .

    Of course no one will ever steal hydro or even coal to build a weapon.

    Fusion is the grail and tokamak research is making great strides, while not imminent it is so attractive every effort will be made.

    When I was bor there were still survivors of the US Civil War , I expect fusion to to be the default fuel inside a century.

    Some oils may still be used as lubricants and recycling , plus solar, biomass, hydrogen will yield enough power

    Part of the equation is reducing consumer demand or using energy better, like hoe design insulation etc

    We know from history that big forms will lie and lobby schlonky pollies to get their own way as long as there is profit.

    No private cars, leisure flights or meat seem the alternative unpalatable to the wobbling masses of the nations who consume most if the planets resources.
    Russia went from being 2nd strongest army in the world to being the 2nd strongest in Ukraine

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by VocalNeal View Post
    Isn't nuclear renewable? Just stick more fuel in?
    It is 100% renewable and produces zero C02. But it isn't Malthusian.

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyrille View Post
    No.

    The materials used to generate nuclear power, most often uranium, are a finite resource.
    Windmills wear out and have to be put in landfills. So do solar panels. If nuclear isn't renewable, neither is solar or wind. And I am not an anti wind or solar crusader. They work for niche applications but trying to replace base load with them is madness.
    Last edited by Backspin; 16-04-2023 at 11:03 PM.

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Backspin View Post
    If nuclear isn't renewable,
    correct

  19. #19
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    Germany has 6 different states on its borders surrounding it with a total of 75 nuclear power plants. (including Poland which is building one) Nuclear power will just get imported from its neighbors. It is really pathetic how German industry is so toothless that they cannot prevent any of this madness.

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    D
    There is a huge ongoing problem with toxic waste from nuclear power sources. The issue has lacked a suitable permanent solution since the 1940s. Some of the source material can be recycled but only a very small proportion.
    No matter how it is stored, or treated, the toxicity eventually leaks, and remains dangerous for hundreds of years.
    I have heard the argument that we will be with the nuclear waste problem for thousands of years , and it mentions half life and such.
    This argument is a bit of a red herring argument because it assumes that both the Nuclear reactor technology and the waste production and disposal technology remains static for the next few hundreds of years.
    Greenpeace is IMO the fossil fuel industry's best friend.
    The sooner you fall behind, the more time you have to catch up.

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckaroo Banzai View Post
    I have heard the argument that we will be with the nuclear waste problem for thousands of years , and it mentions half life and such.
    This argument is a bit of a red herring argument because it assumes that both the Nuclear reactor technology and the waste production and disposal technology remains static for the next few hundreds of years.
    Greenpeace is IMO the fossil fuel industry's best friend.
    In the meantime, you can continue to bury the problem, only to disover the latest ‘solution’ does not work, and toxic radiation still leaks. As I said earlier, the adequate solution has been sought since the 1940s. Getting close to 100 years and the ‘solution’ is no closer despite continual efforts to prevent the danger.

  22. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Backspin View Post
    Windmills wear out and have to be put in landfills. So do solar panels. If nuclear isn't renewable, neither is solar or wind. And I am not an anti wind or solar crusader. They work for niche applications but trying to replace base load with them is madness.
    Skiddy spouts crap again...

    Those windmills have around 85% recycle parts. Solar panels even more, although it costs to separate the materials.

    I'm not a fan of nuclear plants, great in theory but too problematic in practice.

  23. #23
    last farang standing
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    Quote Originally Posted by Troy View Post
    Skiddy spouts crap again...

    Those windmills have around 85% recycle parts. Solar panels even more, although it costs to separate the materials.

    I'm not a fan of nuclear plants, great in theory but too problematic in practice.
    America buries around 8000 turbine blades a year. They are extremely difficult to recycle. They take up a very large landfill area as the blades are 35 to 45 metres in length. Germany installed the worlds first recycleable blade offshore wind turbine in just August 2022 which means many more will be in landfill, even if they are all eventually replaced with recyclable blade turbines which hopefully will become the norm in the future.The 85% does not include the blades which require the use of a semi trailer to transport each blade to the landfill site. Most nuclear power stations that have been decommissioned have had their base load power replaced mainly by coal and gas. Modern reactors are much more efficient and many can run on the waste of old reactors. This is not to say there are no problems with nuclear fuel as far as the reprocessing of spent fuel is concerned but is difficult to see how the necessary reduction in emissions can be made without it. Hydro is a slave to water availability.
    In the end entropy rules.

  24. #24
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    Fortunately, used wind turbine blades and solar panels do not produce toxic waste from energy production. The toxicity of nuclear waste, and backspin’s thought processes are a different problem, for which there is currently no solution.

  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by Troy View Post
    Skiddy spouts crap again...

    Those windmills have around 85% recycle parts. Solar panels even more, although it costs to separate the materials.

    I'm not a fan of nuclear plants, great in theory but too problematic in practice.
    Lets see how that logic stacks up.

    They say 85% is recyclable and they list off the part. Steel tower, copper cables , steel bolts, generator motor ect ect ect.

    Well the exact same thing can be said for nuclear plants which are made of the same material.

    Google, first result:

    Most parts of a nuclear power plant do not become radioactive, or are contaminated at only very low levels. Most of the metal can be recycled. Proven techniques and equipment are available to dismantle nuclear facilities safely and these have now been well demonstrated in several parts of the world.

    And here is the result for the fuel itself:

    What percentage of nuclear waste is recyclable?


    Thanks to Orano's world-leading industrial-scale technologies, almost 96% of the spent fuel used in nuclear reactors for power generation or research purposes can be recycled. Nuclear material is recoverable to make new fuels that will in turn generate their own electricity.

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