It is not philosophy. But indeed you can not use it to calculate any realistic number for likelihood. It just shows a number of factors that go into the likelihood. Some of the factors keep getting changed.Originally Posted by Begbie
We did not know how likely planets are. Discovery of planets have pushed that factor way up.
Our understanding, where life may form have been pushed up as well with the discovery of liquid water on outer moons. Life could have evolved there, not only on earth like planets. So that factor went up.
But in a way the Fermi paradox is much more puzzling. Why if life is everywhere have we not found any signs of intelligence out there? Of course life is one thing, evolving to intelligence another. Also even intelligence does not mean a technological society that leaves signs we can detect. There is also the question, when technological society developes, how long will it last?
Maybe not long enough. The emergence of president Trump is a strong sign it may not last long at all. Not that Trump is a danger, but the fact that he can rise to presidency seems to indicate a deep flaw in society overall.