The COVID-2019 Thread

[snakeeyes]

Who's gonna be the first TDer to get it?


Jay working with Koreans, and Betso working in Korea gotta be favourites for real on the ground TD reporting.

Sheriff Cujo is a very hot Favourite the Bookies are taking no more bets ,

[Chico]

Snubby is second fav,its knocking on his door.

[Luigi]

Cujo

Haven't seen him in a while actually.



RIP Cujo and Aging One.


2 brothers lost in just a few months.

[OhOh]

Oh, and Thailand has another 4.

Is there an official Thai site showing the locations of the confirmed cases?

[David48atTD]

Coronavirus causes mass cancellations of business, cultural and sports events

With more than 60 countries now impacted by coronavirus, a growing number of business, cultural and sporting events around the world have been called off.


Some have been rescheduled, but many have been cancelled, as fears about international travel grow.


The reluctance to go far beyond the safety and comfort of home is understandable.


Why put yourself at risk for non-essential activities overseas, like a business conference, cultural festival or international football match?

Horse racing at Hanshin Racecourse was one of the Japanese sports events held behind closed doors due to COVID-19 fears.

[David48atTD]

Business

Facebook cancelled its global marketing summit scheduled for next month in San Francisco due to coronavirus-related risks.

The event, scheduled for March 9 to March 12 was expected to see over 4,000 participants.
The tech giant also cancelled its annual F8 developers conference, which was scheduled to take place in May in California.

The world's largest exhibition for the mobile industry, Mobile World Congress, has been cancelled due to coronavirus fears.

The event is held annually in Barcelona.
But business conferences aren't the only things to be hit by the virus.


Shanghai fashion week was originally postponed but organisers have found a way to adapt.

People can participate by watching livestreams of the runway shows and bid online.
"We hope this new form will allow designers to try different ways to display their design and different channels to market and sell," the vice secretary of Shanghai Fashion Week Committee, Lu Xiaolei, told industry publication Business of Fashion.

[David48atTD]

Political events

The United States postponed a summit for leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

President Donald Trump had invited leaders of the 10-member ASEAN to meet in Las Vegas after he did not attend a summit with the group in Bangkok in November.


China made the decision to postpone it's annual meeting of parliament originally scheduled to start on March 5, state TV reported on Monday.

The gatherings traditionally see more than 5,000 delegates descend on Beijing from all over China for at least 10 days, to pass legislation and unveil the year's key economic targets.

[David48atTD]

Cultural

The iconic Louvre in Paris closed to the public on Sunday after workers refused to open the museum over fears that visitors could infect staff with the coronavirus.

CNN reported the Dalai Lama had cancelled all his public engagements for now until further notice because of coronavirus.
Saudi Arabia has suspended arrivals by foreign pilgrims and tourists from some two dozen countries where the COVID-19 coronavirus has spread.

The decision comes ahead of the holy fasting of Ramadan, which begins in late April, when visits by Muslims to the kingdom accelerate.
More than 7.5 million people performed the minor Umrah pilgrimage — which can be taken at any time of year — in the birthplace of Islam throughout 2019, according to official figures.


Meanwhile, multiple major concerts and tours have been cancelled.

• British rapper Stormzy postponed concerts in Japan, China, and South Korea as part of his world tour.
• Green Day postponed concerts in Thailand, the Philippines, South Korea, and Japan.
• Korean boy band BTS cancelled four concerts set to take place in Seoul.
• And R&B singer Khalid cancelled his tour dates for Bangkok, Singapore, Jakarta, Manila, Kuala Lumpur, Tokyo, Seoul, Mumbai and Bangalore.

Meh

[Chico]

How long before the thought police pull the plug.

[NamPikToot]

Who's gonna be the first TDer to get it? Jay working with Koreans, and Betso working in Korea gotta be favourites for real on the ground TD reporting.

I work with Norvern Minkies, they don't wash their hands after a shit just use the hand driers to warm their hands on the way out the crapper, they lick door handles too.

[David48atTD]

Sports

While there has been speculation that the global spread of the coronavirus that might force the cancellation of the Olympic games, Japanese officials have said they are confident the Games will go ahead.

However, a senior member of the International Olympic Committee says that if it proves too dangerous to hold the Olympics in Tokyo this summer, organisers are more likely to cancel it altogether than postpone or move it.


But the outbreak has already affected qualifying matches.

The World Baseball Softball Confederation said on Monday it postponed its final qualification tournament for the Tokyo Olympics to June because of the coronavirus epidemic.

Baseball is returning to the Games for the first time since Beijing 2008.

The final two stages of the UAE Tour cycling event, which featured some of the world's leading riders, was cancelled due to two Italian participants testing positive for the COVID-19 coronavirus.

The Irish Rugby Football Union postponed the country's Six Nations fixture against Italy due to the virus outbreak in northern Italy. The game was scheduled to take place in Dublin on March 7.


In archery, the World Cup that was set to take place in May has been cancelled.


===

The effects of the virus, real or perceived with be with us for months, maybe years.

Not only in the expanding death toll, which eventually will be reeled in, but the Economic ripples will be felt for an extended period.

[Troy]

I can understand cancelling venues with large crowds as a way of containment but I hope it doesn't progress to works closures or international flight cancellations.

Cancelling school, as they have done in Italy, can have some serious knock-on effects for two parent working families when one has to stop working to look after the children. Enforcing holiday or unpaid holiday due to companies shutting down would be quite catastrophic for many businesses and their employees and I doubt governments could cope with compensation. It shows how fragile civilisation really is and how easy it can be to destroy it if people think about themselves instead of the nation in which they live.

I think every attempt should be made to try and contain the virus but not at the expense of shutting down the world in which we live. Rather than enforced layoff it should be treated in the same way as any other sickness.

I'm in one of the danger groups, by age and by disease. I don't think I am at great risk just as long as I stay away from hospitals and large groups of people. I will take the risk of travelling back to Thailand at the end of March. Once there, I may decide it's too risky to travel back to Germany

[David48atTD]

AnalysisCoronavirus is sweeping through Iran, and the country is uniquely vulnerable to its spread

When the coronavirus outbreak began, Iran's leaders confidently predicted their country's immunity.
They refused to implement quarantines, saying it was a practice from the Stone Age.


As the coronavirus crisis unfolded, religious leaders kept Islamic holy sites open and Iranian companies even exported their face masks to help China.


Then senior government officials — including the man responsible for the outbreak response and the head of emergency medical services — contracted the disease.

Now 23 members of Iran's parliament and other senior advisers have tested positive, while a 71-year-old advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has died.

Those same officials who scoffed at quarantine have quarantined themselves.


Iran has a shortage of face masks and the Government's responses have swung from complacency to panic.


Authorities released 54,000 prisoners in a bid to limit the spread of the virus in crowded jails.


A plan to send 300,000 religious police to homes to screen citizens seemed in doubt after several Iranians pointed out it was a good way to spread the virus further.


The outbreak is exposing big weaknesses in Iran's health system, with health workers complaining they lack testing kits and protective equipment.


Coronavirus is sweeping through Iran, and the country is uniquely vulnerable to its spread - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

[baldrick]

inshallah

[harrybarracuda]

inshallah

They can't make their minds up if it is Allah's will or a US biological weapon.

[harrybarracuda]

So we are approaching 100,000 cases which will probably happen in the next few days, with 16% of the active cases "serious or critical" and the mortality rate at 3.4% (with the information they have at present).

However, 56% of the cases identified already have been identified as "Recovered".

There are only 17 new cases listed today outside China, but I don't know if that's down to the fact that Europe isn't up and reporting yet.

[lom]

So we are approaching 100,000 cases which will probably happen in the next few days, with 16% of the active cases "serious or critical" and the mortality rate at 3.4% (with the information they have at present).

It will take a long time for the 3.4% to come down to the real value because of the initial high mortality rate and number of cases..

Assume that a mortality rate of 2% is seen on the next 100.000 cases then it will change the whole mortality rate for the 200.000 cases to 3.4+2.0/2 ie 2.7% or a drop of 0.7.
A further 200.000 cases at 2% will reduce the whole mortality rate for the 400.000 cases to 2.7+2.0/2 ie 2.35% or a drop of 0.35.
The function is exponential and we will prolly and hopefully never get enough cases to come down to the real mortality rate.

It is therefore much more interesting to watch the difference in numbers from week to week, the number of critical cases for instance drops much more than the number of deaths which is proof of recovery of critical patients.

However, 56% of the cases identified already have been identified as "Recovered".

That was 50% the 27th of February, so another improvement.

[David48atTD]

Before and after effects of the Virus.

They are slide photos and can't show ... so click the link below for the original article.

Coronavirus COVID-19's impact seen in before-and-after imagery from space - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

[baldrick]

there will be tens of thousands of people circulating who have been having fun infecting people in the last month

until cheap and quick testing is rolled out that will continue to increase and the number of people who have the more adverse reactions will increase

the scariest part is the range of symptoms

[Chico]

No doubt flu cases will be conveniently mis-diagnosed for the cause.

[Dragonfly]

we won't have the real statistics until the epidemy is over and all the numbers collected

also keep in mind that a lot of countries are not testing for certain reported cases and go to remedies directly for a quarantine

so technically the mortality rates will increase significantly, as much as 20% and possibly more if we only test and report the 'severe' cases

[David48atTD]

No doubt flu cares will be conveniently mis-diagnosed for the cause.

I have to dis-agree with you on that.

Typically Government controls the dissemination of the information and it's in their political interest to downplay the number of it's population infected with the Coronavirus.

But agreeing that, only after the threat of the Virus has passed, will the truth emerge.

[Chico]

The worlds gone madder,not happening here yet.

Coronavirus: Panic buying Australians clear supermarket shelves - BBC News

[Dragonfly]

for once, it's not bad to 'hide' the numbers,

China obviously did it with their 250,000 deaths which is normal for a normal flu in China

we are probably closed to 1M deaths in China alone, again within normal statistic boundaries in a country like China

[David48atTD]

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4:27 pm: Almost 300 million kids missing school because of the coronavirus, UNESCO says



4:46 pm: San Francisco health officials say COVID-19 is ‘spreading in the community



5:56 pm: Santa Clara County confirms 7 community transmission cases

Santa Clara County public health officials have confirmed six new cases there, bringing the total number of infections in the northern California county to 20. Seven of the 20 cases have “no known travel or direct contact with other known cases,” James Williams, director of emergency management, told reporters at a press conference.

7:45 am: First school closure in Australia

Australia ordered its first school closure, after a 16-year-old student in Sydney tested positive for the new coronavirus, according to Reuters.

8:15 am: Crisis could wipe out $211 billion from Asia Pacific economies, S&P says

The coronavirus crisis could knock $211 billion from economies throughout Asia Pacific, S&P Global Ratings said in a report.

It will particularly affect Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore and Thailand which will “enter or flirt with recession,” the report said. S&P Global Ratings also trimmed its growth forecast for China from 5.7% for 2020, to 4.8%. — Tan

9:25 am: South Korea reports 518 new cases, 7 more deaths

South Korea reported 518 new cases as of Friday morning, bringing its total to 6,284 cases.
There were seven more deaths, bringing the country’s total to 42 deaths, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

9:37 am: China reports 143 new cases, 30 more deaths




9:55 am: Gap shuts down New York City office after an employee tests positive



12:40 pm: Facebook tells Bay Area employees to stay home and cancel any trips amid coronavirus outbreak



1:05 pm: Taxi rides, ride hailing trips in China plummet 85%

Trips involving taxis and online ride-hailing in China plummeted 85% in February, according to the country’s transport ministry.

Railway, highway and air passenger volume fell nearly 80% in February, it added. — Cheng

1:25 pm: Japan markets drop more than 3%

Japan markets led losses across Asia as investors continued to fall back amid virus fears.

• Global cases: At least 95,270, according to the latest figures from the World Health Organization
• Global deaths: At least 3,280, according to the latest figures from the WHO

Coronavirus live updates: Asia markets plummet, Facebook tells employees to stay home