
Originally Posted by
Plan B
Historical evidence is an inconvenient truth.
Historical evidence is the foundation of climate science. Without knowledge of the past including the planets glacial and interglacial periods how could long term trends be identified. How could known evidenced forcing agents be accounted for.
Here are the major forcing agents that influence the planet into glacial and interglacial periods:
Milankovitch Cycles, both 21,000 year and 41,000 year periodicity that sometimes occur at the same time in an approximately 100,000 year cycle. We are currently on the downward side of a peak warm period of a 21,000 year cycle with around 2,000 years till a minor glacial period. The planet should be cooling, but it isn't.
The solar activity cycle, has been at a lower output for the last two 11 year cycles but that hasn't stopped the increase in global temperature. Recent research has shown that barring an event like the Maunder Minimum where the Sun goes into a lower energy output for an extended period of time the Sun's fluctuations in output are minor. (Maunder Minimum went for 76 years)
Volcanic emissions, cause cooling of the atmosphere for short periods of time of only several years. Protracted periods of eruptions have altered the climate in the past and caused or contributed to mass extinction events. Volcanic activity on this scale has not been seen by human eyes, or hominid eyes for that matter.
Concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. High concentrations increase the greenhouse effect and raise the surface temperature, low concentrations reduce the effect and lower surface temperature. Some natural events in the very distant past have caused a pronounced greenhouse effect.
Right now, it's not the Earth's position in the Milankovitch cycles, nor is it the Sun, nor volcanic activity or lack thereof, nor is it naturally occurring greenhouse gases. It's human generated greenhouse gases that are causing a rate of increased warming that most likely will cause long term climate change and no end of trouble for billions of people.
That inconvenient truth may not sit well with your political or ideological outlook but unfortunately for you facts don't give a fetid pair of dingoes kidneys what you believe. The longer we delay mitigation the more intrusive invasive and restrictive the mitigation methods will have to be. You think a carbon tax or an emissions trading scheme is the rise of fascist world government dominance, just wait another 50 years and it will be enforced at the end of a gun instead of by treaties and legislation.