Anyways, it's always a tough election in the first midterm after winning the presidency.

This time looks even tougher.

The cook political report is quite sound:

Early indicators suggest Democrats''' House majority is in jeopardy
Early indicators suggest Democrats' House majority is in jeopardy


WASHINGTON — Democrats with proven track records of winning tough districts aren't running for re-election. Republicans are enjoying early fundraising windfalls. And, as Donald Trump and Barack Obama both learned the hard way, midterm elections almost always break against the president's party.


The early indicators that showed Democrats poised to make big gains in Congress four years ago now point the other direction, suggesting that the narrow 220-212 Democratic House majority is in serious danger.


"Based on all factors, you'd have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022," said David Wasserman, who tracks congressional races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.