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Originally Posted by Norton  In these 12 or 13 states are where the battles will take place. McCains VP choice may well be just enough to tip the western states into the GOP column. The Dems must focus on the "rust belt" states where they are currently behind. |
The might be a dozen or so states that could go either way right now, but I think it will boil down to two states - Ohio and Michigan. I think McCain will get Florida, and Obama will get PA. If either of them can swing both Ohio and Michigan I think they'll win it all. If they split, then I think Virginia and Wisconsin will factor in to decide it.
Palin and her NRA position might help in some of the western states like Montana and North Dakota, maybe even in New Mexico. But I don't think it will help move states like Oregon or Washington into the McCain camp. And California might be geographically in the west, but politically I think it's in Europe.