| Politics is a strange game, and Polling even more fickle, or so it seems to me.
However, I think if we look at the Electoral college system, then barring some major ground shift Obama looks the very firm favourite. The GOP has to persuade the large majority of the swing states to win this election- the Dem's only about one third. Texas excepted, the vast majority of the larger states are historically much more receptive to the Dem's message.
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Patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. |