Indeed good news for the Blue team, it looks like they are finally getting a convention bounce. Will be interesting to see how long the bounce lasts, if they can grow it, or if it comes bounding back toward McCain at the end of the red team pow-wow. Obama also seems to have gotten a convention bounce in the Rasmussen polls as well. Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. Some interesting points from the Rasmussen Site: Quote:
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· Obama’s pre-convention lead of three points has increased by a point. That’s something John Kerry failed to accomplish. His polling numbers peaked just before the convention in 2004.
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Good news for the blue team, they are doing better than Kerry did on '04.
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· But, Obama is still below his biggest lead of the year—six points—which he achieved with the bounce from his Berlin speech and surrounding hoopla.
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Might be less right now, but time will tell if he can grow it. But the red team should eat into this with their convention - maybe not?
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· Obama has gained three percentage points compared to a week ago.
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Five point jump over two days, only three point jump compared to a week ago. To me this shows how weak the blue team convention was in the first couple of days, but also how strongly they finished (ie the more they banged on Bush, and tried to tie McCain to Bush the better it worked for them).
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· Obama is now supported by 83% of Democrats, up from 79% a week ago.
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· Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama, up from 58% a week ago.
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· Thirty-five percent (35%) of all voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama, up from 32% a week ago.
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^,^^,^^^ convention helps Obama to shore up blue team support, and improve his image all around. Will be interesting to see if the red team can something similar in their convention.
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Of course, some of the bounce comes from changing perceptions of John McCain. A week ago, Obama and McCain were both viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide. Today, Obama is viewed favorably by 56% (up a point) while McCain’s favorable fell by two points to 53%. That’s McCain’s lowest rating since July 8.
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This no doubt is a result of the blue team banging on in the last couple of days of the convention, banging Bush and tieing McCain to Bush - which is whay they will need to continue to do to win come Nov. The down side for the blue team is that now the red team will get the media coverage, and the chance to repair the damage.