Bangkok Post : Military promises put to test
Military promises put to test
ANALYSIS: Army's reassurances do little to comfort as Yingluck's rise suggests Thaksin's ouster pointless
Despite the military's repeated assurances it will not interfere in the election, the rising popularity of Pheu Thai Party and its No.1 party list candidate Yingluck Shinawatra has had many speculating whether the armed forces will really keep their promise.
- Published: 13/06/2011 at 12:00 AM
- Newspaper section: News
Last week's outburst by army chief Prayuth Chan-ocha against alleged intimidation of military members of the government anti-narcotics task force by a Pheu Thai election candidate and his aides has added to the jitters.
The military staged a coup on Sept 19, 2006, to overthrow Thaksin Shinawatra, Ms Yingluck's elder brother. If Pheu Thai wins the election and former prime minister Thaksin returns to Thailand through an amnesty, the power seizure _ in the view of those who engineered it _ would be tantamount to a total waste.
More importantly, those behind the coup could be possible targets of revenge from Thaksin, particularly Gen Prayuth who assisted former army chief Gen Anupong Paojinda, one of the key players behind the coup, on that day.
Although Thaksin has said he would not take revenge if he returns, it seems the armed forces are not convinced.
A number of unit commanders in the army have been reshuffled to consolidate the power of those behind the coup and officers behind the crackdowns of pro-Thaksin red shirt protesters on May 19 last year.
While several opinion polls show the popularity of Pheu Thai and Ms Yingluck is rising, political observers are keen to see how the military will react.
Although Gen Prayuth has assured that soldiers will not get involved in politics, last week's comments by Chartthaipattana leader Chumpol Silpa-archa about the role of an "irresistible power" in the formation of the present government has placed the military once more in the spotlight.
Mr Chumpol has said his party actually did not want to join the Democrat Party in forming the present coalition, but it was forced to by this "irresistible power". He did not elaborate on who this power was.
Armed forces leaders, including Gen Prayuth, reportedly invited many politicians for a talk at the 1st Infantry Regiment to lobby them to support the Democrat-led government in December 2007. Both the military and the Democrat Party have vehemently denied this.
Gen Prayuth recently emphasised the military will remain neutral.
He has prohibited soldiers from participating in counting votes, transporting ballot boxes and acting as polling station committee members.
He has allowed them to guard polling stations and also permit all parties to campaign in army camps.
"I assure that the formation of a government in a military camp will not occur," he said.
In many quarters, however, the movements of some armed forces' agencies are being closely monitored, especially that of the Internal Security Operations Command (Isoc), chaired by the prime minister.
Gen Prayuth is the deputy Isoc director and plays an active role in commanding the agency together with army chief-of-staff Dapong Rattanasuwan, who is Isoc secretary-general.
Gen Dapong is a classmate of Gen Prayuth from Class 12 of the Armed Forces Academies Preparatory School. Many Class 12 friends hold executive positions at the Isoc agency, which is viewed as the army's secret operations mechanism.
Isoc has reportedly assigned agents to monitor party campaigns to collect evidence of electoral fraud.
Rallies in which red shirt leaders participate are prime targets.
Isoc has also deployed 17,000 soldiers to all regions. Officially they are implementing vocational training projects for villagers, but simultaneously are trying to prevent political canvassers from buying votes.
The project focuses on the North and the Northeast, which are the political strongholds of the Pheu Thai Party.
However, some soldiers admitted that it was difficult to convince local people not to support Pheu Thai.
"We never try to convince residents to hate Thaksin or Pheu Thai, or slander the red shirts," said one soldier.
There is also a concern soldiers have been ordered to vote for a particular party.
"I have not received any such order," said one unit commander. "Even with such an order, we can't absolutely control the voting of soldiers."