Thread: Interesting moment for the US Stock/Share Market

A glass ceiling for the DOW?




Dow Jones DJI Index approaches it's all time high.

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Yet the Bond Curve inverted recently, a prime indicator that a recession is possible, typically in the next 12 - 18 months.

Experts are split on which yield curve is the most reliable, but the Fed prefers looking at the curve between the 10-year and three-month Treasuries, which on Friday turned negative, to minus 0.196 percentage points.

While a yield curve inversion has preceded recent recessions, it doesn’t happen immediately, and the lead time has been very inconsistent. Historically, a recession can come anywhere from one to two years after the curve flips upside-down, and the stock market usually continues to gain from the day of the inversion until its cycle peak.

So we’ve got more time to watch.

Personally, I believe that there are still some good gains to be made, as history has also indicated that Markets still have significant gain potential before recessions.

For the moment, I'm fully invested.