April 2024 should set another record
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April 2024 should set another record
Manila, Philippines – Catholic bishops in the Philippines are pitching in to seek divine relief from the extreme heatwave scorching the country, instructing their flock to recite special prayers for rain and lower temperatures.
Rising temperatures have forced the government to shut down tens of thousands of schools over the past week, while increased demand has stressed the country’s already strained power supply.
A widespread El Nino drought that began early this year is compounding the problem, ruining 5.9 billion pesos ($103 million) worth of farm produce so far according to the Department of Agriculture.
The Catholic Bishops of the Philippines issued an “Oratio Imperata”, instructing parishes in the mainly Catholic nation to recite a prayer for deliverance from calamities during masses, according to the text seen by AFP on Saturday.
“We humbly ask you to grant us relief from the extreme heat that besets your people at this time, disrupting their activities and threatening their lives and livelihood,” the prayer read.
“Send us rain to replenish our depleting water sources, to irrigate our fields, to stave off water and power shortages and to provide water for our daily needs.”
A record-high 38.8 degrees Celsius (101.8 degrees Fahrenheit) was recorded in the capital Manila on April 27, forcing the closure of more than 47,000 schools for two days.
Nearly 8,000 schools remained shuttered as of Friday, the education department said, while the highest temperature in the country was recorded at 38.2C on the island of Mindoro south of the capital.
certainly a bit toasty today. Think I'm really feeling it as I went back to drinking beer in the evenings/nighttime the last week. Today I'm just panned out baking in me brundies, no energy to do anything. Must be 40+ everyday for what, around 6 weeks straight? Never really bothered me but today is pulling the pickle.
Yeah. We knowQuote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
^You’re not the sharpest tool in the shed (think time stamp)
‘Inside an oven’: sweltering heat ravages crops and takes lives in south-east Asia
warmest April recorded
Halfway into May and it looks like it’ll be another warm month
Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Well, I'll go to the foot of our stairs.
:rolleyes:
From the German Science community:Quote:
Originally Posted by Troy
I guess you could say it can be neglected, meaning forget it.Quote:
The fact is: Yes, the sun is a climate factor. But the influence of their natural fluctuations in intensity on the climate has been MUCH smaller than the influence of humans for decades
- Central America's heat wave helped spark Houston's deadly derecho
The storm that killed at least four people in Houston and barreled through New Orleans into northern Florida late last week has ties to a record-shattering, relentless heat wave anchored over Central America.
Why it matters: With extreme weather events, particularly in this era of rapid climate change, seemingly disparate events thousands of miles apart can be closely connected, with one triggering or intensifying another.
By the numbers: The formation has helped to cause already hotter-than-average ocean temperatures across the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico to increase further, raising temperatures of adjacent land areas even more in a positive feedback loop.
- Key West, Fla., for example, has set records for hitting a heat index of nearly 115°F, while Miami saw its third-highest heat index reading on record Saturday, with all of the other historical records occurring during July and August.
- Miami's heat index on Saturday hit 112°F, the highest on record for the month of May, crushing the previous milestone by 5°F.
- It equaled that on Sunday, which was only the second time two back-to-back days with such high heat and humidity had occurred there (the other instance was in August of last year.)
Free aircon/ cold showers here in N Wales
Down to 6 Friday in the valley nearer zero on the hilltops
Llanberis - BBC Weather
if it weren't for hot lamb I'd shiver me timbers, makes me really appreciate LOS, it is far easier to cool a room and shop in evening than wrap up like Scott of the Pollit and dry cold damp Barbours sox wellies
What you need to know about record-breaking heat in the Atlantic
Waters across the Atlantic’s tropical belt — extending from the coast of Africa through the Caribbean — are hotter now than in any other late May on record, with over 90% of the area’s sea surface engulfed in record or near-record warmth. The extent of marine heat has never been greater heading into a hurricane season, outpacing by wide margins the previous late May record-holder in 2005, a year remembered for one of the most active and destructive hurricane seasons in modern history.
Although record-setting sea surface temperatures alone don’t guarantee a busy hurricane season, they do strongly influence it, especially when the abnormal warmth coincides with the tropical belt known as the Main Development Region, or MDR, the area where 85% of Category 3, 4, and 5 hurricanes form. When considered alongside a developing La Niña — the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific that reduces storm-busting Atlantic wind shear — the unprecedented ocean heat is driving up seasonal hurricane outlooks higher than ever before.
Colorado State University — the group that pioneered seasonal hurricane forecasts in the 1980s — issued its most aggressive April forecast last month in almost 30 years of doing such preseason outlooks. NOAA, the parent agency of the National Weather Service, will release its first 2024 hurricane season outlook May 23, and expectations are for similarly bullish numbers.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2...-the-atlantic/
5 in the valley tonight up here 2-3 forecast have unplugged the fridge.
Wales come home to a real fire.
NOAA forecasts extraordinarily busy Atlantic hurricane season
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season features an unprecedented combination of air and ocean conditions, and is likely to be extremely active, according to the U.S. government's official seasonal outlook released this morning.
Why it matters: Hurricanes are nature's largest and most expensive storms, and the odds of a U.S. landfall during an above average season may be generally higher this year.
- "This season is looking to be an extraordinary one in a number of ways," said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration administrator Rick Spinrad in a press conference.
By the numbers: The NOAA is forecasting the season will bring 85% odds of an above normal season, with 17–25 named storms of tropical storm intensity or greater, eight to 13 of which will become hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater.
- This is the most aggressive hurricane season outlook that NOAA has ever issued for its May outlook, Spinrad said.
- The numbers are well above the 1991–2020 average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes each season.
- NOAA is projecting just a 5% chance of a below average season.
Threat level: This season will officially start on June 1 in unparalleled territory.
- There are record to near-record warm ocean waters in every part of the Atlantic, from the Caribbean to the "Main Development Region," where many of the fiercest storms with the highest odds of affecting the Leeward Islands and U.S. get their start, all the way to more northern latitudes.
Stunning stat: The Caribbean's current average ocean temperature is currently higher than the 1991–2020 typical peak for an entire season, whereas the Main Development Region's ocean heat content is at Aug. 10 levels.
- The Gulf of Mexico is also warmer than average.
How it works: Warm water is hurricane fuel. There are few signs that a significant cool down will take place between now and the heart of the season in August and September.
- However, some portions of the Atlantic may be knocked out of record territory during the season.
The big picture: At the same time, in the equatorial tropical Pacific Ocean, a transition from a strong El Niño to a La Niña event is underway. La Niña typically reduces upper level winds over the tropical Atlantic, which can weaken tropical storms and hurricanes.
- According to Michael Lowry, a hurricane and storm surge specialist for WPLG Local 10 in Miami, La Niña can allow storms to form closer to the East Coast and threaten land, given the relaxed wind shear.
- "The switch from a potent El Niño in 2023 to La Niña conditions by the 2024 hurricane season would not only reduce storm-busting wind shear in the Atlantic, it could also lessen that protection closer to land areas, including the mainland U.S.," Lowry told Axios via email.
- "While seasonal hurricane forecasts can't tell us when or where a storm might strike, the record warm waters through the Caribbean and Gulf combined with a potential La Niña does stack the deck in favor of development farther west in the Atlantic this year and potentially closer to land areas."
Yes, but: There are factors that could thwart nascent tropical storms and hurricanes even with extremely warm waters present.
- These include the presence of dry air in mid levels of the atmosphere, and Sahara dust blowing across the Atlantic from western Africa.
In addition, while the oceans would support intense storms, clusters of thunderstorms, or "seeds" of tropical storms, are required in order to generate hurricanes.
- These could be missing in action this season, though computer models do not suggest this will be the case.
Context: This season comes as numerous studies point to climate change's increasingly clear influence on hurricanes.
- Recent hurricane seasons have featured more storms that have undergone periods of astonishingly rapid intensification that studies have been tied to human-caused global climate change.
- Hurricanes are also bringing greater rainfall than they used to as the climate warms, with some studies showing they are moving more slowly over land as well.
The bottom line: There are plenty of critics of seasonal hurricane outlooks who say they do not provide people with actionable information.
- But Lowry urged people to prepare for this season as they would for any other, and to take advantage of state tax holidays, which Florida has on June 1, for example, to stock up on supplies.
Those Hicks will be playing more of their favorite :rolleyes: Neil Young "Like a Hurricane".
I think I heard someone mention atomic bombs ��Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
He’s a fvckin’ idiot
"I got it. I got it. Why don't we nuke them?"
Another idiot remark…….
Wind turbines - “They say the noise causes cancer.”
In under 4 weeks the days get shorter in the chilly North.
7 in the valley 4-5 tonight amongst the sheep and goats
Llanberis - BBC Weather
https://teakdoor.com/attachment.php?...d=115257&stc=1
If the Blotto come up my new wheels from Sweden
https://teakdoor.com/attachment.php?...d=115258&stc=1
Of course the melting glaciers and ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are very worrying.
Well I've put the air purifier away and switched the AC to "Fan Only".
So it's not hot everywhere any more.
May numbers should be out next week
Climate Change Added a Month’s Worth of Extra-Hot Days in Past Year
One of a few
Key findings from the report include:
- Over the last 12 months, human-caused climate change added an average of 26 days of extreme heat (on average, across all places in the world) than there would have been without a warmed planet. This report also demonstrates the crucial role of tracking and reporting on impacts in extreme heat assessment, and offers actionable solutions to heat risk.
Same. Finally relief from the heat.Quote:
Originally Posted by harrybarracuda
Exceptionally early heat wave hits Finland
Finland has been experiencing unusually warm weather this May, prompting the Meteorological Institute to issue a heat warning on Monday.
Temperatures across large parts of the Nordic nation, the north of which lies above the Arctic Circle, are due to surge above 27C (81 F) starting on Tuesday, the institute said.
"This is probably the first time ever we have issued a heat wave warning in May", Iiris Viljamaa from the Finnish Meteorological Institute told AFP, adding that such alerts were normally issued in June at the earliest.
Scientists say that recurring heat waves are a clear marker of global warming and that these heat waves are set to become more frequent, longer and more intense.
Exceptionally hot weather until possible relief at the weekend
Winter 2023-2024 shattered records as Canada's warmest ever
Canada is among the fastest warming regions in the world due to climate change.
A new analysis of this past winter shows that it was the hottest ever recorded across Canada, beating out the previous hottest winter by the widest margin ever seen.
Environment and Climate Change Canada's Climate Trends and Variations Bulletin — Winter 2023/2024 was released by the agency this month. Tallying up the impacts of the season, the report finds that the average temperature from December 2023 to February 2024, across all of Canada, was 5.2°C above the 1961-1990 average
Zeke Hausfather - With May 2024 coming in as the warmest May on record, global temperatures have been at 1.63C above preindustrial levels over the past 12 months in
@CopernicusECMWF's ERA5.
A pretty sharp jump up from prior global temps we've seen, akin to the increase between 2010 and 2016:
https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1796940514790678704
No relief from spamdreth's spamming though.Quote:
Originally Posted by Norton
AP analysis finds 2023 set record for US heat deaths, killing in areas that used to handle the heat
The death certificates of more than 2,300 people who died in the United States last summer mention the effects of excessive heat, the highest number in 45 years of records, according to an Associated Press analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data. With May already breaking heat records, 2024 could be even deadlier.
“I just think in 20 years, you know, 2040 rolls around ... we’re going to look back at 2023 and say, man, that was cool,” Dessler said. “The problem with climate change is if it hasn’t pushed you over the edge yet, just wait.”
Zeke Hausfather - We saw a notable spike in global temperatures in the final week of the month. If they persist, it makes it more likely we may see the hottest June on record as well:
https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1797658903297310756
Warming Mediterranean, hottest winter over the last 40 years
The Mediterranean Sea is getting warmer. In the winter just ended the average temperature of the Gulf of Naples recorded for the first time an increase of around 1°C compared to the average of the last 7 years, reaching 15.5°C. Rising sea surface temperatures were confirmed in almost all Italian seas, particularly in the Adriatic, with values one degree higher compared to the 2020-2022 average.
Global heat record broken for 12th straight month in May
May was the 12th consecutive month to set a monthly global average temperature record, and exceed a key Paris Agreement temperature target.
"While this sequence of record-breaking months will eventually be interrupted, the overall signature of climate change remains and there is no sign in sight of a change in such a trend."
Hottest May on record for West Palm Beach
May was the warmest month on record for West Palm Beach, according to the National Weather Service.
The average temperature in May was 84.2 degrees, beating the old record of 78.7 degrees. West Palm Beach has taken observations since 1888.
Four NWS climate stations in South Florida – Miami, Ft. Lauderdale, West Palm Beach and Naples – all set record high average temperatures in May.
Miami’s average high in May was 83.7 degrees, beating the old record of 80.1 degrees. Ft. Lauderdale’s average high in May topped 85.1 degrees, beating the old record of 79.7 degrees. And Naple’s average high was 83.0 degrees, beating the old record of 78.8 degrees.
Heat dome's triple-digit temperatures fry US south-west
Two weeks before summer even officially starts, excessive heat warnings were in effect across parts of California, Nevada, Arizona and Texas. Forecasters see no relief for several more days.
Temperatures were predicted on Wednesday to reach 109F (42.7C) in Phoenix, 107F in Las Vegas, 110F in Palm Springs and 119F Death Valley, California.
Temperatures will be 20-30 degrees Fahrenheit above average for this time of year, according to the NWS.
Heat wave menacing Southwest to break records in more cities before easing
"Dangerously hot" conditions may peak across portions of interior California, the Great Basin, the Southwest and South Texas on Friday. Still, extreme heat is likely to "plod" into next week, the National Weather Service warned.
The big picture: Heat alerts remain in effect for about 25 million people Friday, after widespread temperature records were tied or broken in California, Nevada and Arizona Thursday — including in Phoenix, where 11 people who were waiting in line to enter a Trump rally were hospitalized due to heat-related illnesses.
By the numbers: The temperature in Phoenix reached a record daily high of 113°F on Thursday, according to the NWS. The 85°F overnight minimum temperature was a record for the date, at 9°F above average.
- More records are likely to fall there Friday.
- Numerous temperature records were broken across Nevada on Thursday — including in Death Valley, which hit 122°F, and Las Vegas, which reached 111°F. Las Vegas tied the earliest date for a reading of 110°F or higher.
- New daily record highs set in California included 115°F in Needles and 111°F in Barstow, per the NWS.
- Several Texas cities have also had a record-setting week — including in San Angelo, which hit a daily high of 111°F on Tuesday and which was still experiencing triple-digit temperatures on Thursday.
Threat level: Extreme heat is responsible for more deaths than any other weather event, per the NWS.
- An AP analysis last week of CDC data found over 2,300 U.S. death certificates in 2023 noted excessive heat. As new temperature records are set, there are concerns 2024 could see even more heat-related deaths in the U.S.
- There will be "little to no overnight relief from the heat" for those "without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration," said the NWS in a forecast discussion on Thursday.
Context: A heat dome that's smashed records across Mexico and Central America repeatedly broken for weeks and which expanded north and west into the U.S. is behind the record temperatures.
What's next: The heat is expected to ease somewhat after Friday in the Southwest, but it may not completely dissipate.
- The heat dome associated with the heat began building across the Southwest on Tuesday and is forecast to peak in intensity Friday before "sliding off slowly toward the southern Plains during the next couple of days," per a NWS forecast discussion.
- It's also expected to expand slightly northward into Oregon and Washington.
- However, it may not be completely done influencing the weather across the Southwest in particular.
The intrigue: A NWS extended forecast discussion issued Friday morning found the heat dome will continue to cause "much warmer than average temperatures, but seemingly not quite as hot as in the short range period."
- The heat next week is forecast to be most intense across the Great Basin, and eventually into the Rockies and Plains states, the NWS stated.
- Some temperatures near at above 110°F may prove stubborn in the Southwest, however, the weather and climate agency noted.
Between the lines: Studies show climate change is causing heat waves to be more intense, longer-lasting and more frequent.
- Attribution studies of specific extreme heat events, such as the deadly 2023 heat wave in the U.S. and Europe, have detected climate change's fingerprints.
- One study last year found record heat in the U.S., Europe and Asia in July would have been "virtually impossible" without climate change.
- The severity of the long-duration heat wave across Mexico has been linked to human-caused climate change. Some seasonal computer model projections show this heat dome could migrate to a more permanent position across the Southwest later in the summer.
I drove the back way from Pai to Mae Rim yesterday.
It was fucking nippy I can tell you.
Nahel Belgherze - This graph is a testament to how absurdly warm global sea surface temperatures have been over the last 12 months. https://twitter.com/WxNB_/status/1799487783980957712
Past 5 below
May sets new global temperature record
The significance of May 2024’s temperature extends beyond recent records. It is 1.52C above the estimated average for May during the pre-industrial period of 1850-1900, underscoring the long-term impact of global warming. Additionally, the global average temperature for the past 12 months (June 2023-May 2024) reached an unprecedented level, standing 0.75C above the 1991-2020 average and 1.63C above the pre-industrial baseline. This period represents the highest annual average temperature recorded, highlighting an alarming trend in climate change.
In Egypt, temperatures reached an all-time record of 50.9C in Aswan on Friday 7 June, exceeding the previous national high of 50.3C from 1961 in Kharga. Additionally, this has set a new record for the highest temperature ever reliably recorded across the whole of Africa for the month of June.
When I swam in the sea at Khanom Beach last week it was like swimming in a very warm bath!