Quite cool and rainy on the South Island. Snow down to 500 metres. Clearing tomorrow, but turning cold and wet on Saturday.
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Quite cool and rainy on the South Island. Snow down to 500 metres. Clearing tomorrow, but turning cold and wet on Saturday.
a preview of Sunday's post
Weirdly warm here again today. 25 celsius.
Lovely autumnal walks to be had in the many parks nearby with the blue skies, leaves turning and unseasonably warm weather.
Not to last, of course.
Several European countries record hottest September temperatures ever
Austria, France, Germany, Poland and Switzerland announced their hottest Septembers on record on Friday, in a year expected to be the warmest in human history as climate change accelerates.
The unseasonably warm weather in Europe came after the EU climate monitor said earlier this month that global temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere summer were the hottest on record.
French weather authority Meteo-France said the September temperature average in the country will be around 21.5 degrees Celsius (70.7 degrees Fahrenheit), between 3.5C and 3.6C above the 1991-2020 reference period.
Average temperatures in France have been exceeding monthly norms consistently for almost two years.
In neighbouring Germany, weather office DWD said this month was the hottest September since national records started, almost 4C higher than the 1961-1990 baseline.
Poland’s weather institute announced September temperatures were 3.6C higher than average and the hottest for the month since records began more than 100 years ago.
National weather bodies in the Alpine nations of Austria and Switzerland also recorded their hottest-ever average September temperatures, a day after a study revealed Swiss glaciers lost 10 percent of their volume in two years amid extreme warming.
The Spanish and Portuguese national weather institutes warned abnormally warm temperatures were going to hit this weekend, with the mercury topping 35C in parts of southern Spain on Friday.
Sydney records hottest ever 1 October
Sydney has sweltered through its hottest start to October on record as fire danger warnings have been issued across the state.
According to data from the Bureau of Meteorology, there are two years tied for the hottest 1 October on record; a temperature reading of 33.1C was recorded at Observatory Hill weather station in both 1961 and 2009.
However, the temperature at the site as of 1.40pm on Sunday was recorded as 34.3C, easily smashing the record.
September 2023 in Japan was exceptionally hot:
With an average temperature of 24.9C and an anomaly of +2.6C vs 91-20, it pulverized by 1.1C September 2012 as the hottest on records.
When climatologists blame burning of fossil fuels entirely for higher temperatures, I becom cynical.
I have no doubt that the climate is changing, but when climatologists ignore records from 120,000 years ago as suspect, and disregard such cyclic changes completely, I become even more cynical.
Whe population was minuscule, an industry virtually non existent, what caused these previous ‘highs’?
Dismissing such records as ‘suspect’ does climate science no favors at all.
Please carry on with your contemporary graphics in isolation. ;)
^Here ya go dummy…..
Whoever tells you that the fact that “the climate has always changed” is somehow reassuring, does not know what he is talking about – or he is trying to con you.
It is a historical and scientifically proven, established fact. Please continue with your ignorance, so that I can enjoy it even more.Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
the link I posted was written by Professor Stefan RahmstorfQuote:
your ignorance
Stefan Rahmstorf is Co-Head of Research Department on Earth System Analysis of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Professor of Physics of the Oceans at the University of Potsdam.
A physicist and physical oceanographer by training, Stefan Rahmstorf's research focusses on paleoclimate, ocean circulation, sea level, extreme weather events and Earth System modeling.
________
Professor Stefan Rahmstorf vs dummy Switch
I’m gonna lean towards Dr. Rahmstorf :)
His “modeling” please note the use of the word, only goes back to the earliest believed dates of steam generation in 1824.Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
The world is 4.5 billion years old.
Thank you for referring to me,( a fellow poster) as dummy switch. It probably means you bear no interference in your belief systems.
Your beloved professor claims that industry is the Main cause of Fossil fuel burning, and his models are based on that, and not the accepted age of the planet, and the accepted scientific basis for cyclic changes over millenia. Four point five billion, versus 200 years.
Not even well cited professors can undermine nature. Climate change exists, but not in isolation or blame. Cynic - yes. Dummy - probably not.
dummy, you are just too far gone. You don’t have the ability to even grasp simple science
:)
That folk actually believe the weather is a concomitant to human settlement is simply more evidence we are truly in the Age of The Stupid.
^weather :)
Could it be the heat generated by GRINDR or is that just Waldorf and Statler hereaboots?
Everywhere I have visited in the as decades esp fishing ports locals whose lives depend on teh wethaer tell me it is changing markedly in their lifetime
I am not qualified to determine pace and why but seems a pretty obvious connection that there are more people than ever and most are using more energy than our ancestors who walked a few miles to labour in the towns, forest fields or if wealthy rode a horse no more than c30 miles in a day, limited by bumache and need of fresh horses, sure the Mongs rode all night strapped to raw meat but they were exceptional.
Average European peasants gap year trip was to trudge to some forlorn battle to be butch or if smart get paid to hike to Santiago to gain indulgence for a rich sinner etc. Mecca was err Mecca for similar walkabouts once in a lifeftime
the only folks who had 2 weeks in Maui Tjhiti Majorca or Gold Coast/Looper's Paradise were the folks who lived there.
How many relevant science degrees do you have?Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
The greatest influence for radiated heat is the sun. A fact acknowledged by Rahmstorf. I watched the full video and at no point did he, or you answer the question about high level of Co2 in pre industrial climate change.
I have already agreed that anthropological climate change exists, but my cynicism is regarding the millenia of existing, accepted knowledge on cyclic causes. No one has yet answered this.
In the same way that no one has found a solution to the disposal of toxic radioactive waste, which has been growing since 1940.
I have no denial with man made change to climate, but I will continue to question anyone who is so dismissive of other contributory factors. When Rahmstorf quickly glosses over such questions and uses his delightful Anglo German translation of ‘Bullshit’, he is being more than disingenuous.
You carry on with your whooshing acceptance of all coonfirmation bias. That’s why he spent most of the hour bebunking so called logic with childish answers. You make a fine pair.
nopeQuote:
Originally Posted by Switch
Rahmsdorf is wrong then, despite a recent, ongoing cooling period?Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Cherry picking is a subject he uses regularly to disprove denial. You ignore everything else in my post, but cherry pick your chosen citation for a stab at me?
You infuriate others with your pathetic seppo threads, but that’s the best you can do against ‘dummy switch’? lol
nope......Quote:
Originally Posted by Switch
:)Quote:
Professor Stefan Rahmstorf vs dummy Switch
Rahmsdorf is wrong then, despite a recent, ongoing cooling period?Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Cherry picking is a subject he uses regularly to disprove denial. You ignore everything else in my post, but cherry pick your chosen citation for a stab at me?
You infuriate others with your pathetic seppo threads, but that’s the best you can do against ‘dummy switch’? lol
^and again, dummy
Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Fourteen of the country's weather stations saw their all-time September temperatures broken last month, with four stations reporting heatwave conditions.
According to Met Éireann's Climate Statement for September 2023, mean air temperatures at each of the forecaster's 25 weather stations were above their long-term average (LTA) for the month — calculated by averaging each location’s monthly total from 1981 to 2010.
Mean temperatures for the month ranged from 13.6C at Knock Airport — 1.6C above its LTA — to 15.7C at Shannon Airport — 1.5C above its LTA.
Last month's highest overall temperature — 28.5C — was reported at Oak Park, Co Carlow, on Friday, September 8. This was also the highest September temperature ever recorded at the station.
As a result of a hot tropical-continental air mass moving over the country from the south-southeast towards the beginning of last month, all but one weather station reported their highest temperature of the year, with 14 breaking their September maximum record.
Heatwaves were also officially recorded at four weather stations. Heatwave status is reached when a maximum daily shaded air temperature of greater than 25C is reported at a given weather station for five or more consecutive days.
The status was reached at Mount Dillon in Roscommon, Shannon Airport, Oak Park, and in Gurteen, Co Tipperary. All four heatwaves took place between Monday, September 5 and Friday, September 8.
Do you have any other graphs, charts or any kind of media that teaches people how to suck eggs! You clearly have preference for visual aids, in the absence of any critical thinking or self propelled opinions of your own.Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Maybe you could try thinking for yourself, or doing some personal research that is not biased by the thought processes and financial gains of others?
Dummy switch, I’m going to give you a little help although I don’t think you’ll be able to understand most of it.
Here’s a website that shows over 200 Climate Change Myths that deniers will use to mislead others.
Like………
It’s not the sun. :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Switch
There you go again, making false assumptions based on your own belief systems and attributing me with connections to global warming that I never made.Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Either you suffer from poor comprehension skills or your anger takes over and makes poor assumptions.
It is an accepted fact that the sun is a very high source of radiated heat for the earth. Happy for you to add to that fact, but please don’t assume my stance on climate.
Naughty boy!
not true dummy switchQuote:
very high source of radiated heat for the earth
it's not why we are seeing the warming we are seeing today. Science :)
Happy to see you are responding to your own opinions, instead of what posters are asking.Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
Is this why your lame merkin cut and paste sports threads are so popular?
^you’ve lost, dummy switch :)
Japan was bathed in unfamiliar heat for October on Saturday, marking a record 36.0 C in Niigata Prefecture due to a typhoon that brought warm air while moving across the Sea of Japan, the weather agency said.
Some cities in Niigata, north of Tokyo, surpassed or matched the previous monthly record of 35.1 C, marked in 2013 also in the prefecture. The new record temperature was logged in the city of Sanjo around 2:40 p.m., the Japan Meteorological Agency said.
The temperature also hit 35.7 C in the city of Joetsu, 35.3 C in Nagaoka and 35.1 C in Kashiwazaki.
Well done. You have just answered your own, lazy misinterpretation!Quote:
Originally Posted by S Landreth
How hot is the Sun?
The temperature at the surface of the Sun is about 10,000 Fahrenheit (5,600 Celsius). The temperature rises from the surface of the Sun inward towards the very hot center of the Sun where it reaches about 27,000,000 Fahrenheit (15,000,000 Celsius). The temperature of the Sun also rises from the surface outward into the Solar atmosphere. The uppermost layer of the Solar atmosphere, called the corona, reaches temperatures of millions of degrees. The corona is the bright halo of light that can be seen during a total Solar eclipse.
September has been another month in a fairly hot year for the Peruvian jungle. Since the 15th of this month, the National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru (Senamhi) has published three ‘orange’ warnings due to the increase in daytime temperatures. The last one contemplated eight regions, including jungle areas of some departments of the mountains.
In the districts of Pilluana and Tingo de Ponaza, in the San Martín region, temperatures were recorded that reached 40.2°C. In the weekly Senamhi bulletin it was announced that the Puerto Esperanza station, in Ucayali, detected temperatures higher than 40 degrees for three consecutive days, “marking a new annual record of 40.6 degrees”.
New Zealand records hottest September on record
After the northern hemisphere sweltered through the hottest summer in human history, New Zealand’s usually cool start to spring has also hit record high temperatures that are usually reserved for its summer months.
The country recorded its hottest September on record, with every region in the country experiencing above-average temperatures, with one area hitting 29.6 C.
Yep, and a very mild winter to boot. Yet, the past couple of days have been coolish, 14° high, and damp. The coming week it will be in the mid teens. The long term forecast is for a hot (for AoNZ) summer with possible drought, at least here in Canterbury and probably the East Coast of the North Island.
The start of October in Spain this year has been the warmest since records began, the country's meteorological agency AEMET said on Monday, with nearly 40% of weather stations recording maximum temperatures above 32 degrees Celsius (89.6 Fahrenheit).
The early autumn season is so far offering Spaniards little respite after a summer with four heatwaves spread out over 24 days, part of a global pattern of rising temperatures that is widely attributed by scientists to human activity.
"In most of the Iberian Peninsula, temperatures on Oct. 1 were between seven and 14 degrees above normal for this time of the year," said AEMET spokesperson Ruben del Campo, adding almost 100 individual records had been beaten on Sunday.
Two cities in south-central Spain, Badajoz and Montoro, broke the heat record for continental Spain during the month of October with 38 C and 38.2 C, respectively. The previous record was 37.5 C, documented in the resort city of Marbella in October 2014.
The weather station at Madrid's iconic Retiro Park, which is over a century old, equalled its October record of 30 C set in 1930.
"The footprint of climate change is manifested in the fact that such warm spells are now much more frequent and more intense," Del Campo told state broadcaster TVE.
He added that future summers would not only be hotter, but also longer, extending into the traditionally mild and rainy autumn.
October is starting off warm
Occitanie, France - Some monthly heat records were even broken. In Nîmes (Gard), 32°C was recorded on 8 October. The last record, 31.9°C, was set on October 4, 2011. At Mont-Aigoual, in the middle of the mountains, in the same department, the thermometer climbed to 21.3°C the next day. The last record, 20.6°C, was set on October 2, 2011.
NOAA Climate.gov - A record-high 22 Degree Heating Weeks (DHW) occurred this summer across the Florida Keys, nearly tripling the previous record and causing unprecedented coral bleaching. Read what NOAA scientists have been doing to help the corals: https://climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/noaa-employs-climate-adaptation-and-resilience-techniques-save-florida - https://twitter.com/NOAAClimate/stat...00628096897535
Malawians endured the country’s hottest weekend on record, with temperatures reaching nearly 20C above the seasonal average.
The heatwave began last Thursday with the government warning people to stay out of the sun, to keep hydrated, and avoid alcohol and caffeine. Some school buildings in the south of the country were evacuated, and children were taught in the shade of playground trees.
By Saturday, parts of Malawi saw a maximum temperature of 43C (109F), compared with an average of nearly 25C (77F) for the time of year. The temperatures had dropped by Monday, but in an advisory last week the country’s Department of Climate Change and Meteorological Services warned of a “prolonged period of hot and uncomfortable weather” throughout October.
Antarctica had its warmest September
And a reminder
Effective radiative forcing from 1750 to 2022
Map of regions with record and near-record warmth in September.
October temperature records have been shattered in the lower North Island.
Porirua reached 24.1C yesterday afternoon, a huge jump from its previous record of 21.9C for the month, set in 2021.