Middle Class, Inequality, and Democracy | Asian Correspondent
Middle Class, Inequality, and Democracy
By Bangkok Pundit Jun 28, 2011 12:00PM UTC
BP has blogged a few times (here, here, and here) about the middle class of Thailand and their welcoming of the coup/preference for stability over democracy. Then in 2007 on the treason of the intellectuals:I have been meaning to post on this topic for a while and started this post months ago. There are a number of intellectuals and activists in Thai society who have been opposed to previous democratic governments (not just Thaksin), but then in the aftermath of the coup were gushing in their love of the coup to overthrow Thaksin. This
trahison des clercs, or
treason by the intellectuals, is an interesting aspect of the coup. Instead of being concerned about the overthrow of a democratically elected leader, they quickly championed the coup and the military leaders.
Intellectuals can join a government, but if they do they should no longer pretend they are intellectuals. They simply become government functionaries. They can’t take on both roles at the same time and try to be independent. This is at the essence of
trahison des clercsbecause once they ally “themselves too closely with government, states, or political parties [they] betray the independence which is essential if they are to contribute to public discussion”.*
In the immediate aftermath of the coup, you had
academics and students who were demonstrating against anti-coup coup protesters. They wanted the protesters to “not to be opposed to the coup makers…[and] to cancel their plants [sic] to rally against the military rulers.” Yes, you read that right, students and academics supporting the overthrow of a democratically elected government and supporting a military junta. I think it is their lack of respect for the
democratic process and the elections which were going to be held at the end of last year which I have the most problems with.
You have academic seminars organised at the SOAS with the only
participants being those who criticise Thaksin. This was despite Thaksin, the subject of the debate, being in London when the seminar was going on.
You had the academics
appointed to a panel to investigate Thaksin. Yet they still appear to keep their academic status and to
comment on political matters being quoted as academics.
There is also the anti-Thaksin intellectuals traveling the world to criticise Thaksin, paid for by the CNS, the coup leaders, which is part of the CNS propaganda
information campaign – they even wrote a plan up before it was leaked
BP then read this blog post at the WSJ. Key excerpt below:Traditional political-economy theory, most associated with the late Samuel Huntington, argued that the “buy in” of a rising middle class was a guarantor of democracy as they demanded increased political freedoms and ensured that democratic political institutions were solidified. However, more recent experience tells a less optimistic story.
As
Joshua Kurlantzick has argued, in several rapidly-growing middle-income developing countries, most notably Thailand, it’s been the middle class which has worked with entrenched autocrats to roll back democratization. The reason in each case is that the populist policies pursued by democratically-elected governments were pitched toward the rural poor and worked against urban middle class interests. In India, we have yet to see organized middle class dissent against the government’s “pro-poor” policies, but could this be in the offing?
By the same token, economist
Michael Walton of Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government has pointed out that many growth miracles have run aground due to conflicts among interest groups and the state as well as institutional weakness which prevents such conflicts from being resolved. That leads to what is known as a “middle income trap.”
Mr. Walton suggests that Thailand and several Latin American economies have faced this scenario. While India’s democracy is much stronger and more firmly entrenched than that of Thailand or most other developing countries, and we’re still a poor country, a protracted conflict between civil society groups and the government, to say nothing of the Maoist insurgency, surely poses dangers.
And then this post via Marginal Revolution about a new academic paper which is more US-centric, but appears applicable to Thailand:Noam Lupu and Jonas Pontussen (PDF) have a piece on the relationship between inequality and distribution in the new
American Political Science Review. There is a lot of debate about whether the
level of economic inequality in society leads to greater or lesser distribution – what Lupu and Pontussen suggest is that the
structure of inequality (that is – the more particular relationships between different segments in the income distribution, rather than some summary index) is more important.
More particularly they argue that if one tries to hold racial and ethnic cleavages constant, the key factor determining redistribution is the income gap between middle income voters and lower income voters. Where this gap is low, middle class people feel some degree of solidarity with the poor and exhibit what Lupu and Pontussen describe as “parochial altruism.” That is, they are more likely to support income redistribution because they feel that the poor are in some sense, ‘like them.’ When the gap is high, middle class people will have a much weaker sense of solidarity with the poor, and hence be less supportive of redistribution. Lupu and Pontussen suggest that the US is an outlier, with weaker solidarity than the structure of US inequality would suggest. They argue that the explanation for this is straightforward – “it is clearly attributable to the high-concentration of racial-ethnic minorities in the bottom of the income distribution.” More bluntly put – middle class Americans feel less solidarity with the very poor because the very poor are more likely to be black.
BP: Given the large gap in Thailand, can this also apply to Thailand?
btw, could one substitue racial-ethnic minorities for dark-skinned Northeasterners?