Blame does not fix the present but historical insight sure enhances the ability to predict the outcome of a particular action.Originally Posted by Horatio Hornblower
What about the Crusades?
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Now ISIS has control of Palmyra. You can kiss all the ancient artifacts in that city good-bye.
Or how we stopped the advancing hordes at the Gates of Vienna in 1683.
'We are in a new phase of a very old war'.
http://gatesofvienna.net/
As they are still ongoing it's hard to tell the eventual outcome.Originally Posted by rickschoppers
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Which would match the Shia population majority of Iraq.Originally Posted by spliff
Jumpin' jeshosefats, BM . . . you are older than I had thought!!!!!Originally Posted by Boon Mee
What ancient artifacts? I've been to Palmyra several times and while there are plenty of ruins any artifacts were taken to Damascus long ago or stolen by the Syrian Army in the last few years. The British Museum have also got a pretty fine haul of Palmyrene artifacts from the days when Western tourists travelled with hammers, chisels, and enough porters to haul a small city off to the motherland if they took a liking to it. That said, they'll probably blow up the Temple of Bel, though, and I wouldn't put it past them to destroy all the ruins just to piss off the West. I have friends living in Tadmor town, a place that would only be improved by blowing it up. just across the road from the ruins of Palmyra, I haven't heard from them in years. Last I heard from them their son Mohanned was just abut to go to college in Damascus, then the shit hit the fan and I've lost all contact with them.
Bad things have been happening in Tadmor for a long time. It's the site of one the Assad dynasty's largest political prisons and I've been told many times that there are tens of thousands of executed prisoners buried under the desert sands around the town. I don't know if the prison is still active but if it is then IS will have a pretty large influx of new and very pissed-off recruits.
Last edited by DrB0b; 21-05-2015 at 05:01 PM.
Blame and cause aren't the same thing. I haven't really heard anybody "blame" the past, it would be a rather odd thing to do. However, there is absolutely no doubt that the present problems originated with past actions and understanding how a problem came about is one of the most vital steps on the way to solving that problem. Example, defeat in WW1 caused the final collapse of the Ottoman Empire (a slow collapse which began when Boon Mee held off Suleiman at the gates of Vienna), that caused the winners of that war to begin a land grab in the middle east, that caused the creation of "fake" states like Mesopotamia/Iraq, and Syria(and, a little later, Saudi Arabia and Israel). These states were created with no regard to religious, cultural, or tribal boundaries. They could only be held together by force. Once the League of Nations lost interest that force was provided by local warlords. That unpleasant but relatively stable situation lasted until it was destroyed, for no good reasons, by us, by our bombs in some places and our encouragement of rebellion in others. Now those fake states have once again split up and reverted to anarchy. People who once had a decent life and a future to look forward to now exist in a world of hatred, death, and destruction and have no hope of anything in the way of a decent future. No wonder they want to either run away or else destroy the societies that destroyed theirs. What religion does here, as it did in Northern Ireland, is provide a unifying factor, something to hold on to when what should be the unifying factor, society and the state, has been destroyed. Religious fundamentalism is not the cause of this conflict, something else we learn from history, it is a symptom.
Once the causes can be glimpsed (and not coincidentally this creation of fake states is one of the root causes of the chaos in Africa too) a solution, long term perhaps, can also be glimpsed. That is why the past is important. Without a knowledge of how we got here we have no idea of where here is. To dismiss the past as of no importance to the present is not only one of the worst forms of irresponsibility it is also to dismiss everything that has led us to this point and everything that has made us what we are today.
Dr. Bob, I stand corrected. Many of the artifacts have already been moved. I should have just said kiss the ruins good-bye since ISIS likes to blow shit up.
Yeah, reckon you're right there. Those bastards have destroyed so much. Cultural artifacts that have stood for thousands of years and now only exist in photographs. I would be happy to see every one of their leaders hanged for those crimes alone (I know I'm contradicting myself on what I've said before about the death penalty but I'm only human), let alone all the other horrors they've inflicted on the ME and the Levant.
Yes, they are digging themselves a pretty deep hole. If they do become the dominant faction in the ME they will be difficult to negotiate with since they have burnt so many bridges.
If this were hollywood, they would ultimately be defeated by the good guys (whoever that is), but this isn't hollywood. Movies always villianize a character or group of characters before they write them out of the script and ISIS fits the bill. You could always spin it 180 degrees like some are trying to do here and paint ISIS as victims. They would then be applauded for defeating the coalition because they would then be the villians.
Either way, it is going to be a long while before a dominant faction surfaces in the ME. Let's all just hope they turn out to be the good guys.
Don't foresee that happening. They've managed to get on the wrong side of near all the ME nations. The noose is and will continue to tighten. Their access to funds will be cut off. Their leaders hunted down and killed. Their recruiting will dwindle as more and more are killed. How long it will take is unknown but if the pressure on them is continued, only a matter of time.Originally Posted by rickschoppers
Unfortunately in the mean time the deranged bastards will do a lot of damage and as always too many innocents will die.
Should we wish to find the cause, how about the Sykes–Picot Agreement.
and then we can go on and blame the west for there complete ignorance.
Here's a interesting read.
How the West is responsible for all the problems in the Middle East | Seth J. Frantzman
A good read and spin HH. This should be read by all westerners to give the other side of the ME argument.
Errr, that was covered by what I said in my post, also that agreement was, again, not THE cause, it's A cause. There is NO one cause and it's pointless looking for one.Originally Posted by Horatio Hornblower
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