
Originally Posted by
latest internal update
Eye now evident on radar Radar northeast of Labasa and the centre of TC Evan is moving southwest towards the northern tip of the Yasawas. At 1pm the centre was estimated to be about 340km northeast of Labasa but the radar image shows the eye closing in on the 200km range ring of the Labasa airport radar suggesting it is moving fairly quickly now; a little faster than it was earlier in the day. This will bring it to the west earlier than previously forecast. Current forecast now indicates the centre of TC Evan will be located close to or just west of Waya Island in the Yasawas around 1pm, and due west of Nadi and west of the Mamanucas around 3pm.
The centre of the cyclone may pass close enough to the Yasawas and Mamanucas tomorrow to allow the eye to pass directly over the islands if the track were to move only slightly from its forecast path. Those in the Yasawas and Mamanucas should take note of the earlier than expected arrival. Those around northwest Viti Levu from Tavua past Lautoka to Nadi can expect winds to be destructive storm force for 4 or 5 hours in the late morning through to the evening.
The closest approach to Nadi is now expected around 3pm Monday afternoon.
With the centre will now discernible on the Labasa radar, we should be able to follow its course through the night tonight. As of this time, Nadi radar is out of commission undergoing maintenance. I understand efforts are being made to return the radar to service so that it can be used to track the centre as it moves over the west tomorrow.
Those in the north including residents of northern and central Lau, Taveuni and Vanua Levu should be secure in their properties or shelters by now.Marine activities around Nadi and the offshore islands will cease by sunset tonight.
Suva and nearby towns will experience strengthening winds and increasing rain tonight. While the centre of TC EVAN will stay well to the north, the intensity of the cyclone mean gales are possible which can cause damage to weather structures and some trees. All care should be taken in the capital and normal cyclone precautions such as shutters etc should be considered. Also the strengthening easterly winds will cause increased seas at high tide tonight increasing the risk of sea flooding along eastward facing shores including the Rewa and Tailevu coasts, as well as bays and inlets on Vanua Levu and Taveuni. Spring tides have been very high lately. Next high tide is around 8.30pm tonight.