Are immigrants from Eastern Europe putting Britons out of work? A simple experiment provided a surprising answer
Evan Davis
‘There is a lot of skilled work out there but there’s nothing for people who haven’t got skills.”
Philip Doughty scrolls through online job ads and grumbles about the lack of suitable employment in his town. It’s easy to understand his frustration at the job choices apparently on offer.
“Hypnotherapy, I’m not skilled for. Media sales I’m not skilled for. Project manager contractors, again not skilled for. What jobs are there for people like me?”
His question is one that surprisingly quickly gets right to the heart of the national debate over immigration.
Philip comes from Wisbech, a once-prosperous market town in Cambridgeshire. Despite his complaints, one thing is painfully clear in his area — there are plenty of unskilled jobs around.
The proof is in the approximately 9,000 Central and Eastern Europeans who have come and found them since the EU was expanded in 2004.
So why doesn’t Philip have a job?
One theory is the familiar one, that foreigners have stolen them all. You hear it expressed a lot in the town and it is hard to blame the local unemployed if they assume that the sparkling new avenues of employment that lead from Wroclaw to Wisbech have bulldozed their way through the opportunities of the people that were already there.
But there is a second interpretation: that the unskilled jobs exist; it’s just the British can’t or don’t want to do them at rates at which it is viable to employ them. On this theory, if you were to take the immigrants away, you would have the same British unemployment as you had before.
The economics profession has veered towards the second of these views rather than the first. But sometimes anecdotal evidence can do more than a thousand studies to help us frame an opinion, which is why BBC One commissioned Leopard Films to conduct an experiment.
It simply involved taking a dozen or so unemployed people in Wisbech for a couple of days and putting them into jobs filled by migrants — packing potatoes, serving in an Indian restaurant, renovating property. It’s unscientific but illuminating.
The outcomes are mixed, but overall it’s easy to see why employers default to foreign labour for many of the most routine jobs available.
Philip takes part in the experiment himself: he gets two days picking asparagus. Unlike some other British participants in the project, he does turn up and does his best. But even he has to concede that the foreigners are good workers. “If I had a farm, I’d employ them any day,” he admits.
The most important conclusion must be that immigrants have not all stolen their jobs from the British. They’ve made more economic activity on these shores viable than would be the case in their absence. As the employers in the programme explain, if the immigrants were to leave Wisbech, their jobs would not go to the local unemployed, many of them would simply go altogther.
But you might go farther and argue that not only have migrants not stolen unskilled jobs, they have created jobs for white-collar workers.
Take the Greenvale potato-packing plant near Wisbech, for example. Like many large employers these days, it substantially fills the shopfloor with non-Brits who do the back-breaking routine work. Twelve- hour shifts, with two fifteen-minute breaks and a half-hour lunch.
The company wouldn’t be as big or profitable without a ready stock of hard-working, motivated employees to take this work. Hence one consequence of the migrants is that there are more jobs upstairs in management, human resources, secretarial and other functions. In short, at Greenvale, migrants have created British jobs for British middle-class workers.
And that is probably one of most significant effects of immigration.
To make the point, the Office for National Statistics published some interesting statistics last year: of those born in this country, 16 per cent are employed in roles labelled managers or senior officials. That’s almost as many as are employed at the traditional unskilled end of the labour market. You find only 18 per cent of us employed in the “bottom” two rungs, so-called elementary occupations and process, plant and machine operatives.
The thing about a country of managers is that it needs people to manage. And immigration from Central and Eastern Europe has ended up topping up the numbers of the British working class. Among the imported workers from Central and Eastern Europe, most are in those bottom two rungs. And hardly any are in the management or professional categories.
No wonder Philip sees plenty of hypnotherapy and project management type jobs being advertised out there.
Which brings us to an important question left open by the Wisbech experiment. Even if migrants are not the root cause of his problems, how do we help Philip? And how do we nudge into activity, the “shirkers” — those who are now almost entirely devoid of any motivation to lift themselves off benefits.
The incentive to think about those workers — whether they need carrots, sticks or subsidies to get them doing something — has been undermined by the ease with which they can be replaced by new arrivals. Migration has made it possible for employers no longer to bother trying to help indigenous workers with the fewest skills and least ability to compete; it also made it easy for policymakers (before the recession) to boast of growing employment and a successful labour market.
In short, migration has made it easier to be middle class or an employer.
Maybe that is a good thing. But don’t be surprised if it doesn’t feel so to someone unskilled.
The Day the Immigrants Left is on BBC One tonight at 9pm
Foreigners — they didn’t steal our jobs: they created them | Evan Davis - Times Online