Productivity and Structural Reform: Why Countries Succeed & Fail, and What Should Be Done So Failing Countries SucceedA report by a certain Ray Dalio:
©2014
"Raymond Dalio is an American billionaire investor, hedge fund manager, and philanthropist. Dalio is the founder of investment firm Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds. As of January 2018, he is one of the world's 100 wealthiest people, according to Bloomberg".
The results:
Note: 4 Asian countries plus Mexico and Thailand is in 5th place worldwide !!!!!
The criteria:
Some indications of accuracy, based on 65 years of world data:
"In our set, our aggregate predictions fora country’s averagegrowth over the next decade were within 1% of the actual about half of the time, and within 2% around 80% ofthe time."
The 129 page report, where everything is explained. The criteria, the data sources and the item % utilised. here:
https://ep00.epimg.net/descargables/2015/01/24/62c26e2f57230d6f4fe1f3beaac35539.pdf
An article here:
Bridgewater's Dalio Warns: "Trump Is Playing Chicken With China"
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-20/bridgewaters-dalio-warns-trump-playing-chicken-china