Originally Posted by
socal
I am not trying to insult you but if you don't even know that the US issues 30 year bonds then I should not even bother replying. The US still issues 30 year bonds.
actually my bad, the US treasury did cease to issue 30yr bond since 2001, but apparently it does again since 2006, apparently demand was too great for the 30yr bond so it was resumed. The 10yr notes was the replacement for a while. Regardless, the argument stand, so focusing on a detail to avoid answering your other delusions is pointless.
Originally Posted by
socal
You don't even know the basics of the bond market.
right, but again I don't fall into your "paranoiac" scenario and your misunderstanding of the bond market. Like I said, you don't understand what bonds do on a bigger scale, and that's what counts.
Originally Posted by
socal
Interest rates have been falling for 30 years, in other words, bond prices have been RISING for 30 years.
hardly, interest rates went up in 2005, and a few times before, creating mini-crash for the bond markets, like in the 90s. Of course if you would actually follow bonds for a long time, you would know that
regardless, new issues are sold at par or sometimes above par so the capital gains doesn't look like much of a bubble as you make it to be. And as you explained the mechanics between a bond price and the coupon, and the yield, the rise in price is perfectly justified and mechanical and arbitrage free, so again hardly a bubble based on no fundamentals, quite au contraire.
You obviously have no understanding of bond markets beyond very basic mechanics, an explanation you could get anywhere, even from wiki,