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  1. #1
    Thailand Expat misskit's Avatar
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    China to seize Philippines if war with US erupts, ex-AFP chief says

    China is expected to seize control of some of the Philippines’ waterways if a war emerges between Beijing and Washington, former Philippine Armed Forces chief Emmanuel Bautista said.


    According to a report on South China Morning Post on Friday, Bautista said the Philippines’ location with routes linking the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean made it a “key terrain.”

    Among the routes Bautista identified were the Bashi Channel next to the Batanes and Babuyan Islands near Taiwan and the straits of Mindoro, Cebu, Balabac, San Bernardino and Surigao.


    “If you want to influence the South China Sea, you need to control these chokepoints,” Bautista said.


    Although China said it would not start a war amid escalating tensions with the United States, Bautista said Beijing was “getting more aggressive” in the disputed sea and its border with India.

    “Territorial disputes in the Indo-Pacific are flashpoints that can spark a confrontation between the US and China,” he said.


    Bautista said a war between the U.S. and China would “seek to control the country."


    “Assuming [things] get out of hand and result in a shooting war … China will seize the Philippines,” Bautista said.




    Moreover, he said China’s militarization and the construction of island bases posed a “direct threat.”


    “From these bases, China can launch missiles and fighter aircraft towards our main archipelago within minutes,” Bautista said.


    Bautista also warned about Chinese “grey zone” activities or efforts even before a potential conflict to control strategic parts of the Philippines.


    “There are already activities being undertaken by China to access the Philippines in terms of procuring or constructing airports and seaports. There was an effort to acquire not just Fuga Island, which is one of the chokepoints, but even the Sangley airport construction [at the mouth of Manila Bay,” Bautista said.


    With this, Bautista said the challenge for the Philippines is to assert its rights while, at the same time, avoiding conflict.


    “We cannot set aside sovereignty and sovereign acts just because we want to avoid conflict,” he said. -NB, GMA News

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  2. #2
    Chinese spy
    sabang's Avatar
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    Chinese already control the country.

  3. #3
    In Uranus
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabang View Post
    Chinese already control the country.
    Maybe but do they control the ports and the sea lanes my drunk ex Aussie Sailor?

  4. #4
    Thailand Expat
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    slowly slowly their territorial expansion proceeds and their economic clout increases.

    they are in no hurry. 5 years, 10years, 20 years, as long as it takes for the increasingly rapid decline of western influence to allow the world to be there for their taking.

    like an army of ants, locusts or cockroaches.

    a despicable regime.

  5. #5
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    The "former "philippines armed forces chief is living in la la land . I know for a fact theres a veritable armada of Bankas manned by some nasty ass fuckers armed with bolos . They havent been re supplied with baluts for a while either and are pissed.

  6. #6
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    It was not nice from Duterte that he wanted to terminate the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA).
    https://teakdoor.com/thailand-and-asia-news/195526-trump-us-will-save-money-philippine.html#post4058577

    So let him have what he has wanted...

  7. #7
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    Latin karin didnt appreciate my humour sent me a red
    I doubt the precious coonts ever set foot in the P.I

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerlaodrinker View Post
    I doubt the precious coonts ever set foot in the P.I
    I look forward to my first visit!

  9. #9
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Topper View Post
    I look forward to my first visit!
    It's an interesting place. Can't say the food does it for me though.

  10. #10
    Lone Monarchist
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerlaodrinker View Post
    The "former "philippines armed forces chief is living in la la land . I know for a fact theres a veritable armada of Bankas manned by some nasty ass fuckers armed with bolos . They havent been re supplied with baluts for a while either and are pissed.
    The Philippine navy is a joke. It's either the Seppos or the Chinese who will control the sea in the area.

    The Philippines never had control of these waters to begin with

  11. #11
    Chinese spy
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    Have they taught their Sailors to swim yet?

  12. #12
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    I'd say we're only a decade or two away from serious global resource wars. Everything going on in the South China Sea is prelude.

  13. #13
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    In all this hullabaloo, the future is not that uncertain. China is but a function of the West, they are the factory floor for our capitalist system and with the wealth that is generated it buys into that capitalist system which, irrespective of The Stupid and their mythering, is controlled by the US.

    There is only one loser in a confrontation with the West and that is the Chink.

    Plus of course there is the small matter of the US military might that could send China back to the Stone Age in a month.

    But looking at things from a more prosaic perspective, it won't be power politics that determines the issue, it will be a virus and next time it evolves within the stink and filth of their wet markets one hopes it does its job rather more effectively within China's own borders than the more recent COVID iteration.

  14. #14
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    China's long term goal is to de-couple from US market dependence.

    China has no interest in direct confrontation, a hot war is counter to their long term goals.

    That said, China is not the military pushover the US hawks wish it was.

    Hoping for a plague that kills billions of people is certainly a rational response to political disagreements, Mr. Assylum. /s

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