1. #7526
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    Troy's Avatar
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    I didn' t think there was a safe dengue vaccine, at least not one for people that haven't already had dengue.

  2. #7527
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    It's only taken 6 months....

    The COVID-2019 Thread-20200924_182400-jpg

    England and Wales are launching a contact tracing app on Thursday 24 September.

    The app - which can be downloaded on a smartphone - will tell people to self-isolate if their phone detects they were near someone later found to have Covid-19.

    How does the contact tracing app work?


    People with Apple and Google phones will be asked to download the app, which detects when a fellow user is nearby.

    When two phones running the app are near each other, they will make make contact through Bluetooth.






    If they are close for a long enough time, and one of the two owners later shares a positive coronavirus test via the app, then the other will receive an alert.



    Hospitality venues such as pubs and restaurants will be asked to display posters with a QR code, which app users will scan to ''check in'' to their location.

    The posters will also go up in communal areas of community buildings like universities, hospitals and libraries.

    Used alongside manual contact tracing, the app will help identify close contacts of a user who tests positive, or visitors to a premises that has suffered an outbreak.

    Northern Ireland launched its app in July, while Scotland's recently-released app was downloaded 600,000 times within 24 hours.

    How has contact tracing been carried out until now?


    People who display coronavirus symptoms and test positive have been contacted by text, email or phone. England's NHS Test and Trace service calls only from 0300 0135 000.

    They are asked to log on to the NHS Test and Trace website and give personal information, including:


    • name, date of birth and postcode
    • who they live with
    • places they visited recently
    • names and contact details of people they have recently been in close contact with




    Close contacts are:


    • people you've spent 15 minutes or more with - at a distance of less than 2m (6ft)
    • sexual partners, household members or people you have had face-to-face conversations with - at a distance of less than 1m




    Contact must have taken place within a nine-day period, starting 48 hours before symptoms appeared.

    No-one who is then contacted will be told your identity.



    What happens to people who are then contacted?


    If you are approached because one of your contacts has tested positive, you must stay at home for 14 days from your last point of contact with them.

    You must self-isolate, even if you don't have symptoms.

    Others in your household won't have to self-isolate unless they also develop symptoms, but must take extra care around you regarding social distancing and hand washing.

    How is the tracing scheme going?


    The prime minister claimed the UK's test and trace system would be "world-beating". But it has encountered several problems since its launch in May.

    Of the people referred to the contact tracing system between 27 August and 2 September, 83% were reached and asked for a list of their contacts, and 69.2% of those contacts were reached and asked to self-isolate.

    Scientists have suggested that the scheme needs to reach a much higher proportion of the population than this to be effective.






    Sage, which advises the government, has said that at least 80% of contacts would need to isolate for it to work properly.

    The mobile app was meant to launch in mid-May and form a key component of the UK's tracing strategy. But the original attempt, which used a ''centralised'' approach to storing data, had to be abandoned.

    IMAGE COPYRIGHTGETTY IMAGES

    An NHS Test and Trace call does not always mean a pub or restaurant must close. It depends on the circumstances and when the infected person visited.

  3. #7528
    Thailand Expat misskit's Avatar
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    France sees record new cases

    France set a new record for daily new Covid-19 cases, at more than 16,000. French health authorities reported 16,096 new confirmed coronavirus cases on Thursday, a significant increase on the previous record of 13,498 and setting a fourth all-time high of daily additional infections in eight days.


    Virus may be becoming more contagious

    The Covid-19 virus is continuing to mutate throughout the course of the pandemic, according to new research, with experts believing it is probably becoming more contagious. The study did not find that mutations of the virus have made it more lethal or changed its effects.

    Coronavirus live news: France sees record new cases; virus may be becoming more contagious | World news | The Guardian

  4. #7529
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Zero Covid-19 Deaths in Laos and Cambodia

    By

    Phayboune Thanabouasy -


    September 15, 2020

    "Laos and Cambodia are now the only two countries in Southeast Asia to have avoided deaths related to Covid-19.
    Cambodia, with a comparatively larger population of 16 million, has confirmed a total of 275 cases of Covid-19. It has recorded zero deaths related to the virus, and confirms 274 people have recovered.

    Laos has confirmed a total of 23 cases of Covid-19 among its population of seven million, reporting no new cases of local transmission and no deaths, according to the National Taskforce for Covid-19 Prevention and Control. Of this number, 22 patients have already recovered.

    On 14 September, Case 22 had made a full recovery, leaving hospital and returning to quarantine for fourteen days.

    According to the latest update from the Center For Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Southeast Asia has now confirmed a total of 562,825 cases of Covid-19.

    The Philippines has recorded the highest number of infections in Southeast Asia and ranks 21 in the world. The country has recorded a total of 265,888 cases, 42 deaths, with 207,504 recovered.

    Indonesia has seen the second-highest number of cases, ranking 23rd in the world with a total of 221,523 cases, 32 deaths, and 158,405 recovered.

    The World Health Organization has confirmed a total of 28,918,900 cases of Covid-19 across the world, with 922,252 deaths in 216 countries."

    https://laotiantimes.com/2020/09/15/...-and-cambodia/
    A tray full of GOLD is not worth a moment in time.

  5. #7530
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    "Laos and Cambodia are now the only two countries in Southeast Asia to have avoided deaths related to Covid-19.
    And in other news:


    The COVID-2019 Thread-tenor-gif

  6. #7531
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    ALL four UK governments have released a joint statement warning the country is seeing "the start of a second wave" of coronavirus.

    The UK Government, Scottish Government, Welsh Government and Northern Ireland Executive released the stark update as strict new rules were brought in for students in Scotland.

    They said: "Covid-19 threatens lives,
    health, prosperity and our way of life.


    "We have taken action to protect the health of our citizens, communities, and economies.


    "However, the threat remains all too real."


    They said cases are "rising rapidly and we must take action to stop an exponential increase that could overwhelm our health services".


    The governments reaffirmed their shared commitment to suppressing the virus to the lowest possible level and keeping it there, while striving to return life to as normal as possible.


    They pledged to work to provide tests to those with symptoms and trace their contacts, and to respond quickly to any localised outbreaks.


    They said they will prepare for the pressures the winter will bring and seek to protect the most vulnerable in society from the effects of the virus, while helping the economy and society recover.

    They also pledged to work towards reaching a long-term solution in the form of a treatment or vaccine as soon as possible.


    The governments said they are committed to maintaining transparency and openness with the public, coordinating and cooperating as much as possible and sharing and acting on the best data, research and science.


    They said: "The ongoing fight against Covid-19 will continue to require much from us all, wherever we live.


    "We ask that everybody endeavours to adhere to the rules and advice designed for our safety, as this is the only way to keep the virus suppressed, and make further progress on the path back to normality.


    "Failing to do so will put everyone else at risk.


    "So in the weeks and months ahead we must carry on pulling together to protect and care for those most at risk, and keep the virus under control."


    Joint statement issued by all four UK Governments on Covid 'second wave' | Edinburgh News

  7. #7532
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Gotta love the chief kiddie fiddler's carnival barking.

    VATICAN CITY (Reuters) - The poor and weakest members of society should get preferential treatment when a vaccine for the coronavirus is ready, Pope Francis told the United Nations on Friday.
    Poor should get Covid-19 vaccine first, Pope Francis says | Reuters

  8. #7533
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Another megalomaniac at work....

    In April, Kayıhan Pala, a prominent public health expert at Uludağ University in northwestern Turkey, was shocked to find himself the target of a criminal complaint. Pala, a member of the COVID-19 monitoring group of the Turkish Medical Association (TTB), had given an interview to a local website and shared research that showed the number of cases and deaths from the coronavirus were much higher than the government had reported. The complaint, filed by the governor of Bursa province, accused him of “misinforming the public” and “causing panic.”

    Saying it was his job to speak out about a burgeoning health crisis, Pala called for the charges to be dismissed. Instead, the prosecutor's office asked administrators at the university to investigate. Only after a monthslong investigation and national and international pressure did the university conclude on 1 September that Pala had acted within his duty.

    “I am a public health scientist and I have to talk about this pandemic locally, nationally, and internationally,” Pala says. “It should not be a crime.”

    Yet his case is far from unique. Critics say Turkish authorities are using judicial harassment and administrative investigations to stifle criticism and control information about the crisis. Since March, they have launched investigations against doctors, including leaders of local TTB chapters, after they discussed the government's health policy and coronavirus information. “Our colleagues have revealed the scientific facts, nothing beyond that,” says TTB Secretary General Bülent Nazım Yılmaz. A spokesperson for Turkey's Ministry of Health did not respond to a request for comment.

    Turkey, a country of 82 million, has reported just over 300,000 COVID-19 cases so far and more than 7500 deaths. In June, the government lifted a partial lockdown, although independent doctors and medical associations warned the reopening was premature. In early August, TTB claimed its data showed the true number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country was higher than official figures and accused the government of not being transparent. Turkey's Ministry of Health has denied the allegations.

    Health Minister Fahrettin Koca recently warned that the country is facing an increase in cases and deaths and has implemented extra control measures, but medical associations say the government is still stifling information about the pandemic. Turkey has not regularly released case and death numbers broken down by city, for instance, and has not answered scientists' requests to provide data detailing cases by demographic groups, such as among the country's large refugee population or the working class.


    The government has also declared that all COVID-19–related research must be approved by the Ministry of Health. The announcement, in April, sparked outrage and was widely seen as intended to deny independent scientists access to detailed data. “We are asking for more data and more [measures to prevent the spread of the virus],” Pala says. “This is why they are mad about people who are speaking right now.”


    In the southeastern city of Şanlıurfa, hard hit by COVID-19, authorities have pressed forward with an investigation of the Şanlıurfa Medical Chamber's co-chair, Ömer Melik, and its secretary general, Osman Yüksekyayla. Melik was first summoned by police and accused of spreading fear and panic in early April after posting the number of COVID-19 cases in the city on the medical chamber's official Twitter account. (Although social media have come under fire for spreading misinformation in some countries, they have been a popular and crucial tool for independent doctors and scientists to inform the public in Turkey.)


    Later that month, Melik was detained again with Yüksekyayla after the chamber highlighted the deaths of medical workers, raised concerns over the number of coronavirus cases in local prisons, and warned on Twitter that medical workers lacked adequate protective equipment.


    Melik tells Science that police said a government circular stated that only Health Ministry officials were permitted to share coronavirus-related information. When he asked to see the circular, they refused, he says. “Our work was accurate and this is not a criminal situation,” Melik says. A court date has not yet been set in the case.


    “If we are not clear about what is happening, and people don't know what is going on, it makes the situation even worse and the virus spreads faster,” says Özgür Deniz Değer, former co-chair of the Van Medical Chamber.

    Değer was summoned by police in March after an interview in which he criticized authorities for not including political prisoners when releasing detainees from jails where COVID-19 could spread. In May, he was summoned again over a tweet that tagged Turkey's minister of health and questioned the accuracy of the government's health care worker death toll. He was accused of issuing “threats to create fear and panic among the people.”


    Two months later, Değer was informed the charges had been dropped, but he says the ordeal has caused him to self-censor. “This investigation against me was dropped, but it doesn't mean that [authorities] won't start a new one because of new [social media] posts,” he says.
    Turkey targets critics of its pandemic response | Science

  9. #7534
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    Just recieved a notification from the Covid app informing me that my area has changed from medium risk to high risk.

  10. #7535
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    The borders over here in Ireland are closed I can't go fishing tomorrow in malin head Donegal the covid is everywhere .

  11. #7536
    Thailand Expat misskit's Avatar
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    China Gives Unproven Covid-19 Vaccines to Thousands, With Risks Unknown

    First, workers at state-owned companies got dosed. Then government officials and vaccine company staff. Up next: teachers, supermarket employees and people traveling to risky areas abroad.


    The world still lacks a proven coronavirus vaccine, but that has not stopped Chinese officials from trying to inoculate tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, of people anyway. Three vaccine candidates are being injected into workers whom the government considers essential, along with many others, including employees of the pharmaceutical firms themselves.


    Officials are laying out plans to give shots to even more people, amounting to a big wager that the vaccines will eventually prove to be safe and effective.


    China’s rush has bewildered global experts. Many of the injections appear to be taking place outside the typical drug approval process. The vaccine candidates are in Phase 3 trials, or the late stages of testing, which are mostly being conducted outside China. The people in those trials are closely tracked and monitored. It is not clear that China is taking those steps for everyone who is getting the shots within the country.
    The unproven vaccines could have harmful side effects. Ineffective vaccines could lead to a false sense of security and encourage behavior that could lead to even more infections.


    The wide use of vaccines also raises issues of consent, especially for employees of Chinese vaccine makers and state-owned companies who might feel pressure to roll up their sleeves. The companies have asked people taking the vaccines to sign a nondisclosure agreement preventing them from talking about it to the news media.

    MORE China Gives Unproven Covid-19 Vaccines to Thousands, With Risks Unknown - WorldNewsEra

  12. #7537
    Hangin' Around cyrille's Avatar
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    Three vaccine candidates are being injected into workers whom the government considers essential
    R...I...G...H...T

  13. #7538
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    The companies have asked people taking the vaccines to sign a nondisclosure agreement preventing them from talking about it to the news media.
    "I am not allowed to comment on my third arm".

  14. #7539
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    CDC survival rate is pretty high for people under 70.
    0-19 - 99.997%
    20-49 - 99.98%
    50-69 - 99.5%
    70> - 94.6%
    COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios | CDC

  15. #7540
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    Quote Originally Posted by deeks View Post
    CDC survival rate is pretty high for people under 70.
    0-19 - 99.997%
    20-49 - 99.98%
    50-69 - 99.5%
    70> - 94.6%
    COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios | CDC

    You'll have to be more specific with your numbers as they don't appear on the document you cite

  16. #7541
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    ^ Scroll down, Go to the numbers on the right and do the math, not hard to work out.

    Table 1. Parameter Values that vary among the five COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios. The scenarios are intended to advance public health preparedness and planning. They are not predictions or estimates of the expected impact of COVID-19. The parameter values in each scenario will be updated and augmented over time, as we learn more about the epidemiology of COVID-19. Additional parameter values might be added in the future (e.g., population density, household transmission, and/or race and ethnicity).
    Parameter Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 5: Current Best Estimate
    R0* 2.0 4.0 2.5
    Infection Fatality Ratio 0-19 years: 0.00002
    20-49 years: 0.00007
    50-69 years: 0.0025
    70+ years: 0.028
    0-19 years: 0.0001
    20-49 years: 0.0003
    50-69 years: 0.010
    70+ years: 0.093
    0-19 years: 0.00003
    20-49 years: 0.0002
    50-69 years: 0.005
    70+ years: 0.054

  17. #7542
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    It doesn't quite mirror your assertion, though.

  18. #7543
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    Nice little caveat in that table for the over 70's....

    The estimates for persons ≥70 years old presented here do not include persons ≥80 years old

  19. #7544
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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  20. #7545
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Stupid twat gets year in jail for hosting big parties even after a warning.

    The COVID-2019 Thread-shawn-myers-main-ht-jt-200926_1601128250707_hpmain_16x9_992-a

    Man gets 1 year in jail for holding large parties against COVID-19 rules - ABC News

  21. #7546
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    One of my colleagues who ended up in the ICU after getting infected by a family member has thankfully been released and will finish quarantine at home.

    Thankfully he was working from home, so no-one else in the office was affected.

  22. #7547
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  23. #7548
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    Meanwhile, in Australia the westies are doing it tough. For some perspective west Sydney is Austalias bogon (Australias Chavs) central.

    From boom to despair: Sydney's west to suffer Covid symptoms 'for generations'
    Before the pandemic the region was looking up but the weak local jobs market will ensure it faces tough times for decades

    efore the coronavirus outbreak, there was a sense that western Sydney – despite its challenges – was on the up. With a booming population, it had become the third-biggest economy in Australia, trailing only the Sydney CBD and Melbourne.


    And with an international airport on the way and plenty of infrastructure spending by the state government, there was optimism it would continue to generate jobs and economic growth.


    Its population growth has outpaced Sydney as a whole every year for the past six years. That made it an economic engine, fuelling population-serving industries such as construction and retail. But the growth had a hidden weakness: the labour market.


    And now the pandemic has exposed just how vulnerable the region really is, Prof Phillip O’Neill, director at the Centre for Western Sydney, says.






    The centre’s report, “Where are the jobs?” details some of the challenges.


    “The weaknesses in the labour market will be the hurdles you’ll need to overcome coming out [of Covid-19],” O’Neill says.


    “To some extent, the western Sydney problem has galloped away from us. It’s a combination of many failures. At the core of the failure is the unwillingness to genuinely generate high concentrations of jobs in the region.”


    Construction, retail and hospitality nosedive
    With a dependence on industries such as construction, retail and hospitality, western Sydney could double the national unemployment figure as those sectors’ nosedive.


    “Some sub-regions in western Sydney are likely to experience unemployment at double national rates or more, and these are likely to persist long after a national economic upturn,” O’Neill says.


    Elfa Moraitakis, chief executive of SydWest Multicultural Services, says: “More and more people [in western Sydney] will be reliant on Centrelink … And we’ll be going back to increasing rates of people living below the poverty line.”


    The centre’s report attributes much of the job growth before the pandemic to “population-driven” industries. If population growth slows, the industries will face a downturn.


    The jobs deficit number is rising and this occurs at the end of a record jobs boom in western Sydney
    Prof Phillip O’Neill
    “Western Sydney’s record population growth rates are likely to be reined in as a consequence of the Covid-19 pandemic, meaning likely slowdowns in jobs growth in the population-driven sectors,” it says.


    It singles out construction, which was the largest source of local jobs in the years leading up to 2018: “The construction sector, where a bust follows every boom, has already commenced significant downturn.


    “So the sidelining of the construction sector and the population-driven sectors leaves the region’s growing labour force vulnerable to severe and prolonged experiences of unemployment.”


    These industries also make for unstable employment, short-term jobs that don’t have the flexibility or potential of professional jobs.




    “These typically are the lowest-paid jobs and those that require people to have the least level of skilling,” O’Neill says.


    “There are insufficient jobs for the number of resident workers. The jobs deficit number is rising and this occurs at the end of a record jobs boom in western Sydney.”


    Long-term effect
    Moraitakis’ organisation works mostly with migrants and refugees and she says it is already tough for jobseekers.


    Local businesses had been hit hard: “They had already reduced staffing hours, and some of these businesses had already closed. And they’re probably still closed.




    “Recruitment had completely stopped [and] they had no plans on recruiting any new employees due to the loss of income they had already experienced.”


    The same goes for retail and hospitality, which O’Neill says aren’t the kinds of high-paying, permanent jobs that can sustain a growing economy.


    For those with higher education qualifications, work within their field is hard to find close to home.


    O’Neill says although the number of professionals in western Sydney had skyrocketed, most had to leave to find work.


    Transport bottleneck
    As the sector grows in western Sydney, so too will a potential commuting nightmare, he says.


    It means people have to leave the region in droves every day for work with congestion and accessibility undermining any improvement to local jobs.


    Those who cannot make a daily commute are forced to find work locally, creating a jobs bottleneck that was barely keeping up before the pandemic.


    People have to leave the region in droves every day for work on overcrowded public transport.


    The report predicts that by 2036 there could be more than half a million workers leaving the area every day.


    “That’s a daily nightmare,” O’Neill says. “We don’t have the infrastructure to get those people to work. It’s unsustainable, both from an environmental and social point of view.”


    Pockets of deprivation
    The reports also discuss why some areas in western Sydney seemed immune to job growth even before the pandemic.


    “Western Sydney’s poor neighbourhoods remain one of Australia’s most serious social and economic issues,” the report says.


    “These areas have among the highest levels of socioeconomic disadvantage in Australia with evidence of joblessness that has become intergenerational.”


    O’Neill says the persistence of unemployment reflects a failure in policy: “Market forces cannot remove that unemployment problem.


    “We need to have a return to systematic training and job placement for those segments of the population who are unable to compete for the dwindling supply of jobs in the unskilled labour market.”


    Moraitakis, however, thinks the region can bounce back better than previous recessions.


    “I think that this time around it might be a little easier … but it’ll have an impact for generations,” she says.


    From boom to despair: Sydney's west to suffer Covid symptoms 'for generations' | Unemployment | The Guardian

  24. #7549
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    oops. dp. solly.

  25. #7550
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Not long now.


    Deaths:

    999,717

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