Mortality Rate (23k / 8.4M = 0.28% CMR to date) and Probability of Dying As of May 1, 23,430 people are estimated to have died out of a total population of 8,398,748 in New York City. This corresponds to a 0.28% crude mortality rate to date, or 279 deaths per 100,000 population, or
1 death every 358 people. Note that the Crude Mortality Rate will continue to increase as more infections and deaths occur (see notes under the paragraph "Herd Immunity" below for details).
Mortality Rate by Age See also: Death Rate by Age and Sex of COVID-19 patients
When analyzing the breakdown of deaths by age and condition [
source], we can observe how, out of 15,230 confirmed deaths in New York City up to May 12, only 690
(4.5% of all deaths) occurred in patients under the age of 65 who did not have an underlying medical condition (or for which it is unknown whether they had or did not have an underlying condition).
Underlying illnesses include Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease, GI/Liver Disease, and
Obesity [
source]
Under 65-year-old (0.09% CMR to date) 85.9% of the population (7,214,525 people out of 8,398,748) in New York City is under 65 years old according to the US Census Bureau, which indicates the percent of persons 65 years old and over in New York City as being 14.1% [
source].