Hollywood has an awful lot to answer for, Prag.
Hollywood has an awful lot to answer for, Prag.
Best wishes to all in Thailand. This looks bad.
I don't know how this could be attributed to political discontent after the referendum. The bombings are not a symbol of discontent. The targets would be different. They are targeted to cause maximal disruption and damage to the economy, especially tourism.
It is also not simply an extension and escalation of southern insurgency. The south is providing the people who do it but this has ISIS written all over it. It is orchestrated from the outside.
Edit: OK the military government behind it does make some sense too.
"don't attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by incompetence"
Yes, I don't disagree, but the discussion was regarding "Fkuc 'em, go out anyway because they want you to stay in".
My point is that the Southern insurgents do not have that on their mind. Their total focus is on retribution against the police and army, and reminding them that it can happen anywhere, any time.
Yes, the false flag scenario has been tabled in this thread, and in my mind is not off the table.
Having said that, if it was a false flag for the purposes you suggest, I think just one bomb would give them enough excuse, and I also think that the one bomb would have been in BKK.
I respectfully disagree , how many school teachers and Monks have been killed in the South? and how many Buddhist schools have been burned to the ground in the last decade or so . I would suggest you do a little research http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/fea...049122230.html read this and BTW welcome to the REAL World .
I suppose it was only a matter of time before some idiot mentioned " ISIS".
I take your point, and it is valid.
I think there is confusion. There are indeed Islamists using the separatist movement as their rally cry. There are so many little off-shoot organisations down here!
I think you will find that the genuine separatists, although Muslim, do not go for Islamist BS. This is why it's so hard to negotiate, because there are differing agendas. But I'm pretty sure the majority are not Islamist.
Two nights ago sitting in the Jools Bar in Soi 4 Bangkok speaking with the owner about the very same subject.Originally Posted by Scottish Gary
There are so many Arab and muslim tourist there at the moment I doubt anything will happen until they are gone.
Such a fucked up world we live in.
^^Surely, not even you can be that stupid?
Just considering options. Both extension of the southern insurgency and political discontent make very little sense.Originally Posted by Seekingasylum
See my edit to the post.
Suthep believes attacks politically motivated
Chairman of People’s Democratic Reform Foundation (PDRF) Suthep Thaugsuban Friday said he believed the motives behind spate of bomb attacks in Thailand were politics.
"The perpetrators wanted to create panic among people and wanted the people to think that the government is incompetent. As a result, we need to support the government," he said.
He urged his PDRF members nationwide to support Prime Minister Prayut Can-o-cha to go through the crisis.
His comment came after the string of bomb attacks targeting Thailand’s tourist locations that have killed three people and more than 40 injured.
Suthep believes attacks politically motivated - The Nation
The South are not doctrinally Islamic to the degree they want a Caliphate extending throughout the middle east and western Europe, they want a separate state of Pattani, to be self - governing and to be independent of Bangkok. ISIS just isn't in their game although that doesnt exclude folk from upping stumps and going on some jihad or other for the craic.
To mount a campaign widening the conflict to threaten the interests and the security of the junta is logical. To confine that to the southern districts of Phuket, Hua Hin etc but avoiding Bangkok and Pattaya is again logical since they can better avoid detection if they keep their lines of communication short and reduce the time they spend outside the normal sphere of their operations. Bangkok and Pattaya are risky targets involving exposure to chance encounters with law enforcement and detection by CCTV which is now omnipresent in those cities - Pak Thai don't do suicide missions.
If it isn't the Southern insurgency, then who is it?
The False Flag bullshit is plain daft since it serves no purpose whatsoever - Prayuth is selling himself to the people on the basis that they now have stability etc and, in any event, the army has total control of pretty much everything it wants so generating more support for himself is quite otiose. He has absolute power as it is.
Is it the other political faction? To mount this sort of concerted, well coordinated operation requires an organisation with watertight security and the resources to plan and execute according to a complex communication network. It simply doesn't have that capability.
It has to be the South but they haven't claimed responsibility but then, who has heard anything of their command structure, their leadership, their policies, their doctrine or their willingness to negotiate a settlement with Bangkok? The Thai simply do not permit any discussion whatsoever.
Ah well.
Under the current constitution, article 44 gives the junta unlimited powers. What additional power or advantage will they gain by blowing up Hua Hin? It's ridiculous conspiracy theory nonsense to think that the army would do this.
It's also massively unlikely that anyone motivated by an interest in national politics is going to go and kill tourists. It's just never going to happen, despite the masturbatory fantasies of Thaivisa สลิ่ม.
You folk are just so parochial in your thinking and quite up your own fundaments to the degree you can only see jack shit.
How many fucking times do you have to be told, the number of western tourists visiting Thailand is dwarfed by the millions of Chinese, Indians, Malaysians, Singaporeans, Indonesians and Flippers.
The IRA didnt focus on civilians. Their modus operandi was to hit military, political and economics targets. Civilians would however get inevitably caught up in the cross fire... The Loyalist death squads did however focus on civilians. Any Catholic was a target regardless of their background.
Tell that to the families of the Kingsmills murders.
^^^^ True, that. Of white tourists, fat, ugly, Brits comprise the biggest single group but last year 8.5 times as many Chinese came to Thailand. You think thete are lots of Aussies here? Four times as many Malaysians came here in 2015. Why is it that so many white people are entirely blind to the rest of the world?
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