Not everything is apparently pointing towards better times in the US economy, and with the resent news about the Chinese economy possibly imploding there could still be very bad times ahead.
US retail sales dip in July
Writer: AFPPublished: 13/08/2009 at 09:00 PM US retail sales unexpectedly dipped 0.1 percent in July after rising in the two previous months, government data showed Thursday in a report highlighting weak consumer demand amid a long recession.
https://teakdoor.com/images/smilies1/You_Rock_Emoticon.gif A shopper carries purchases in San Francisco. US retail sales unexpectedly dipped 0.1 percent in July after rising in the two previous months, government data showed.
The Commerce Department's headline figure surprised most analysts who had expected a monthly sales increase of 0.7 percent.
The department said June sales rose a revised 0.8 percent, up two-tenths of a point from the initial estimate.
The retail sales report came a day after the Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged, as expected, and said the recession-mired economy was showing signs of improvement but "activity is likely to remain weak for a time."
The monthly retail sales data signal the direction of consumer spending, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of output in the world's largest economy.
After slumping in the second half of 2008, the seasonally adjusted monthly retail sales data, which do not reflect price changes, has shown only four months of rising sales since the start of the year.
July sales were 8.3 percent below their year-ago level.
Auto sales were the strongest gainers, up 2.4 percent, benefiting from the government's "cash-for-clunkers" incentives program.
Excluding automobile sales, which can vary widely from month to month, retail sales fell 0.6 percent in July, steeper than the consensus forecast of a 0.1 percent drop and following a 0.5 percent gain in June.
In a grim sign of weakening consumer demand that could restrain economic recovery, core retail sales -- excluding automobiles and gasoline, whose price is often volatile -- fell for the fifth consecutive month, by 0.4 percent, after a 0.1 decline in June.
Only five of the sales index's 13 components rose in July. Apart from the surge in vehicle sales, the strongest gain was a 0.7 percent rise in health and personal care store sales.
The sharpest sales declines, above 2.0 percent, were in building material and garden equipment stores and gasoline stations.
Economists warn that US consumer spending is under pressure as households saving rates increase in the face of a painful recession that began in December 2007 and high unemployment rates that could last at least into next year.
US consumer spending nose-dived in the second half of 2008, when the global financial crisis accelerated and pulled the world economy into a deep slump.
Consumers cautiously opened their wallets in the first quarter, pushing spending up at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent, but spending fell back 1.2 percent in the April-June period, according to official data.
Together with this from the US housing thread! -
From a post by S Landreth-
"U.S. home loans failed at a record pace in July despite ongoing federal and state programs to avoid foreclosures, which have severely strained housing and the economy.
Foreclosure activity jumped 7 percent in July from June and 32 percent from a year earlier as one in every 355 households with a loan got a foreclosure filing, RealtyTrac said on Thursday.
link: http://www.cnbc.com/id/32397338"