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  1. #1
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    Why China Will Not Last This Decade - Peter Zeihan

    Peter Zeihan is a very well respected geopolitical analyst who has some very revealing points to make about the current reality that is the CCP and China today. I would advise watching this video all the way through, even if you are one of the Three Stooges. Reality is pretty stark for China, and the fate of that nation lives and dies in the Indian Ocean.


  2. #2
    Im bored AF Backspin's Avatar
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    Oh no. Not Peter Zeihan. Perhaps the worst geopolitocal analyst out there

  3. #3
    Excommunicated baldrick's Avatar
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    He absolutely cannot be worse than backspit

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    Quote Originally Posted by baldrick View Post
    He absolutely cannot be worse than backspit

    Nor the bottled wisdom of Accra send 3 sheetcoins to P.O. .Box 555 Mannyhoppy Bvd Luluville.

    Why China Will Not Last This Decade - Peter Zeihan-f39d93e7-d56e-4377-8459-e4a6e2576897-jpg
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Why China Will Not Last This Decade - Peter Zeihan-f39d93e7-d56e-4377-8459-e4a6e2576897-jpg  

  5. #5
    Im bored AF Backspin's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by baldrick View Post
    He absolutely cannot be worse than backspit
    He tells Americans what they want to hear. He also says that Europe is completely fuct and the whole world is going to implode except the US of A. But it is true that the US is trying pretty hard to make that happen with the sanctions that its occupied govts are handing down.

    You still have an Internet connection so i guess gas prices in Germany have higher to go

  6. #6
    Thailand Expat misskit's Avatar
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    ^ That post makes little sense.

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by misskit View Post
    That post makes little sense.
    Nothing he posts makes much sense at all. He is TD's dumbest and most utterly clueless poster and once again in this thread he proves it.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by bsnub View Post
    Nothing he posts makes much sense at all
    To be fair, his post about discussing Malthusian social economics with chickens is still brilliant

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by panama hat View Post
    is still brilliant

    But not by design.

  10. #10
    Im bored AF Backspin's Avatar
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  11. #11
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    He is happy to accept that he US is currently ahead of China in all aspects of complex, modern warfare. He neglects to mention that Chinese autonomy rests entirely on one bluffing leader. XI.

    If XI is to continue as leader, China is a bust. If he is replaced, Chinas future is a complete unknown.

    The US relies too heavily on NATO allies. Not all of whom are entirely supportive. That could be a flaw, but I believe it gives the west much needed diversity, and a wider range of potential solutions. China has no diversity, and therefore no options.

    China is still emerging from the chrysalis of communist rule. It’s economic development relies heavily on only one option. An area where it has very limited experience. The west has many more and varied approaches to the coming storm. China has only one option, that is only now being tested. The signs of a crumbling, failed state are all there.

    All options have co-existed in the west for decades. Wait and see who comes out on top!

  12. #12
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    The US relies too heavily on NATO allies. Not all of whom are entirely supportive.
    Not in the Pacific it doesn't.

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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    Not in the Pacific it doesn't.
    It was Obama who moved the US military centre of effort to the Pacific. But only when he had other NATO members pick up the slack in the Atlantic and elsewhere.

  14. #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    The US relies too heavily on NATO allies.
    I don't think it does, it asks for backing when making moves, votes and verbal support but the US is more than capable of engaging any current threat on its own if it needed to.

    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    But only when he had other NATO members pick up the slack in the Atlantic and elsewhere.
    I'm not sure that's right, its chosen to take a light touch in Africa but the Atlantic?

    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    It’s economic development relies heavily on only one option.
    Through loans and infrastructure development across Africa, Asia and South America its got fingers in a lot of pies and has invested knowing that when times get tough it'll have favours to call in and markets to exploit ......further exploit.

  15. #15
    Chinese spy sabang's Avatar
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    China is one of the oldest countries on earth. I feel that Youtube reports of it's untimely demise are premature.

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabang View Post
    China is one of the oldest countries on earth. I feel that Youtube reports of it's untimely demise are premature.
    The nation will live on as it has before. It is the CCP that is done. The video, of which I am sure you haven't watched, points out some very common sense observations that happen to be very true.

  17. #17
    Hangin' Around cyrille's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bsnub View Post
    He is TD's dumbest and most utterly clueless poster and once again in this thread he proves it.
    Once again, it seems my duty to make it plain that Yasojack is away.

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyrille View Post
    Once again, it seems my duty to make it plain that Yasojack is away.
    True, but skiddy is not far off the mark and hands down the current forum imbecile.

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabang View Post
    China is one of the oldest countries on earth
    Except that it isn't . . . and the issue is the government, the country as we know it today. You've said that you used to work in HK, then you must know that as longa as the population is kept under the thumb and relatively happy in terms of employment, food etc . . . the communist rulers will stay in power.
    China isn't a democracy (irrespective fo how you'd like to pretend it is) - they can't be voted in again once they're out and this frightens the shit out of them

  20. #20
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    An area where it has very limited experience
    China has had, and will continue to, experience many ups and downs. As it has for the past, three thousands years.

    It will modify whatever is required, to suit its citizens and partners needs. No other country has such experience and willingness to learn new strokes.

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    China has had, and will continue to, experience many ups and downs. As it has for the past, three thousands years.

    It will modify xxx to suit its citizens and partners needs. No other country has such experience and will to learn new strokes.
    you should be careful, speeches like that might me construed as a play for Xi's seat

  22. #22
    Thailand Expat OhOh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by malmomike77 View Post
    might me construed as a play for Xi's seat
    I suspect his current advisors are more able than me.

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    China has had, and will continue to, experience many ups and downs.
    Exactly what the article says - very good.


    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    It will modify whatever is required
    "IT" is not a sentient being. Your usual bullshit.



    Quote Originally Posted by OhOh View Post
    No other country has such experience and willingness to learn new strokes.
    Again, a country cannot learn, its citizens can. Oh, and your comment is both ridiculous and incorrect

  24. #24
    Thailand Expat harrybarracuda's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    It was Obama who moved the US military centre of effort to the Pacific. But only when he had other NATO members pick up the slack in the Atlantic and elsewhere.
    No he didn't. In fact he angered the Pentagon by telling the 7th Fleet to tone it down as far as freedom of navigation exercises were concerned.

  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabang View Post
    China is one of the oldest countries on earth. I feel that Youtube reports of it's untimely demise are premature.
    Most recently, they have tried to rule using the communist ideal. When it became clear that was too costly in lives, they tried to reinvent their own brand of capitalism, embracing communist theory.

    On paper it’s a nice idea, but no one has tried it before with any success. The current leadership has no idea how to integrate the two ideas successfully. The present state of poorly managed economic failures constitute a damn close to bursting point.

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