And this is the answer. Bang on Norts.
COVID is bad enough for them. Many factories without work.Many Countries changing their supply. I have seen this first hand over the last few months.
A war makes everything worse. No money at home and the peasants would revolt...
All they are doing IMO is deflecting the COVID blame game. That's why they are stepping up their shite everywhere...be it India, South China Sea , Taiwan or illegal fishing.