Thread: 2020 US Presidential Race

Originally Posted by HuangLao

Seems to be having it's within these "special" circles....

Jeff, either Klondyke has hijacked your account or you're drunk.

WTF is that supposed to mean?

I liked this, referring to Trump contracting Covid-19 ...


“Covid must not remove you. That’s our job. With a pen and a ballot.”

SNL’s opener last night was Alex Baldwin as Donald Trump and Jim Carrey as Joe Biden. Funny stuff.

Originally Posted by pickel

Trump won that debate. I expect a 2 point bump for him in upcoming polls.

whoops.

Joe Biden's national lead against President Trump has widened to double digits with a month to go until Election Day, according to a pair of polls out Sunday.


By the numbers: Biden has the support of 53% of registered voters in a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, while 39% support Trump. Meanwhile, a Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden with a 51%-41% lead over Trump — the widest gap that survey has found in a month.


Between the lines: The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was taken after the first presidential debate, but before Trump revealed that he had tested positive for the coronavirus.

Polls: Biden'''s lead over Trump extends to double digits with 30 days until election - Axios

Originally Posted by pickel (2020 US Presidential Race)
Trump won that debate. I expect a 2 point bump for him in upcoming polls.

Yeah but...

TBH, I think if you put a baked potato against Trump it would be leading in the polls.

Looking forward to the first polls after Trumps covid infection. Will he have a sympathy bonus and will it last until election day?

Biden leads Trump by 14 points nationally a month from Election Day, NBC/WSJ poll finds

Note of caution: Clinton was up by about the same margin at the same period.

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

Note of caution: Clinton was up by about the same margin at the same period.

No she wasn't, she was +3.7 in the poll average.

Biden is currently +8.1.

Also, Biden is +7 in Pennsylvania and level in Ohio.

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

No she wasn't, she was +3.7 in the poll average.

Biden is currently +8.1.

Presidential poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 12 - CNNPolitics

"Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump and has reached 50% support nationally among likely voters, a new ABC News tracking poll shows." -- 23 Oct 2016

The more it plays the more the optics of Trumps drive-by Covid spreading look worse.

A sad old man slowly driving past and slowly waving to a small group of supporters, endangering the lives of others, all to feed his silly little ego.

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

Presidential poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 12 - CNNPolitics

"Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump and has reached 50% support nationally among likely voters, a new ABC News tracking poll shows." -- 23 Oct 2016

You're quoting one poll.

I'm quoting the poll average.

Not that it's necessarily a good thing, if people think he is a shoo-in they may not bother going through the hassle (in some cases) of voting.

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

You're quoting one poll.

I was replying in regard to one poll!

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

Not that it's necessarily a good thing, if people think he is a shoo-in they may not bother going through the hassle (in some cases) of voting.

That's the danger, complacency -- something Trump's campaign are also trying to stoke in other ways.

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

I was replying in regard to one poll!

I know. And it wasn't even the same poll. It's not like you to be so silly.

I feel you've somewhat missed me point.

?????

The constitution does not attribute the presidential election to citizens, but to an electoral college of 538 people appointed by the governors. The participation of citizens, which was not foreseen at independence, has gradually become the norm in practice, but only as a guide for governors. Thus, in 2000, when George W. Bush was elected, the Florida Supreme Court recalled that it did not have to know the wishes of the citizens of Florida, but only those of the 27 voters appointed by their Florida governor.

Contrary to popular belief, the U.S. Constitution does not recognize popular sovereignty, but only the sovereignty of governors. Moreover, the Electoral College designed by Thomas Jefferson has not functioned properly since 1992: the elected candidate no longer has the majority of the wishes of the citizens in the states that tilt the election.
The USA on the brink of civil war, by Thierry Meyssan

I didn't realise this. That should shave a few votes off the bald orange turd.

Further complicating any comparison, the Libertarian candidate will be on all state ballots but the Green candidate will not.

IMO the polls that really matter are live telephone calls to likely voters in swing states.....and the questions and methodology should be released to the public afterwards.

if the recent data from the polls that meet the above stipulations is accurate, then it's either going to be a biden electoral landslide or a nail biter.

keep a close eye on florida....it's nearly impossible for trump to get to 270 without it.

Originally Posted by harrybarracuda

Further complicating any comparison, the Libertarian candidate will be on all state ballots but the Green candidate will not.

is that a quote from klondyke? i've to that russian troll on ignore....and he's the only poster i have on ignore. if i need any russian disinformation, i'll read sputnik and watch RT.

jorgensen is polling around 2% in several swing states.

Originally Posted by AntRobertson

I feel you've somewhat missed me point.

I think you've missed mine.

Statistical outliers don't carry weight.

"Investors Business Daily", which is right wing, has Biden leading by 2.7 points!

This is a fun interactive map to play around with...

FiveThirtyEight's 2020 Presidential Election Forecast

You can create your own scenarios but what it shoes is with the states that are leaning blue right now it looks like a real uphill battle for the orange moron.

Originally Posted by raycarey

is that a quote from klondyke? i've to that russian troll on ignore....and he's the only poster i have on ignore. if i need any russian disinformation, i'll read sputnik and watch RT.

jorgensen is polling around 2% in several swing states.

Why is that Russian disinformation?

Are you saying it isn't true?

Originally Posted by raycarey

keep a close eye on florida....it's nearly impossible for trump to get to 270 without it.

Florida is still neck and neck within the margin of error (Biden +2).

Nothing to do with all those miserable retired old white farts I'm sure.