there will be some 'grief', especially after the summer ends and the intensity picks up...but most of the candidates will drop out quickly...
the bottom tier is ~ a third of the field who have little to no chance and probably won't make it out of iowa
yang
delaney
gabbard
williamson
inslee
messam
ryan
gravel
and the there's one tier up who will drop out after NH...and SC if they're stubborn
booker
moulton
hickenlooper
castro
swawell
gillibrand
that will leave only top tier candidates (who will fit on one debate stage) for the rest of the campaign.
Everyone is talking about the Democratic field and assuming on trump getting the Republican nomination. Let's not forget Bill Weld he is intelligent, educated, articulate, reasonable and politically astute.. trump will not have an easy time with him in the primary.
I always liked Biden , if he had run instead of Hillary, we will not be looking at this trump mess now.
If Weld gets the Republican nomination and Biden the democratic, even though one is a republican and the other a democrat , I will have a hard time choosing between them , both good man that would make fine presidents.
The sooner you fall behind, the more time you have to catch up.
interesting data on biden's electability:
It is interesting and it is a pretty safe assumption that Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania will decide who the next president will be. Being that Trump won those three states by only 77,000 combined votes and that they have been reliably democratic over the last thirty years I say his odds as well as Bernies are good.
it's so important to remember this when thinking about 2020.
77,000 votes is not difficult to get back in those states.
this is why i support the idea of endless investigations and hearings(but not impeachment)....these will wear down the lukewarm trump supporters to the point where they don't go to the polls because they're sick and tired of the drama....impeachment will only rile them up.
the dems need to funnel as much money as possible into 'get out the vote' programs to ensure turnout of their base.
dems also need to:
-put their ticket on the ground in those states all the time....i don't want to say everyday, but close to it.
-run a ceaseless stream of negative ads on every TV station. all day everyday. use superpac money to get it done.
-go back to vocally supporting union workers.
-point out trump's failure to improve the opioid crisis
-run on health care as a right
-run on a federal level livable minimum wage
they also need to do the same in MN. even though clinton won it in 16, they have to win it again in 20
i'm not here to hold your hand, newbie dave.
Here you go noober....
https://represent.us/action/citizens-united-2-2/
^ Thanks
Saw a poll today, in Arizona Trump loses to Biden but Sanders loses to Trump. I suspect this might be the case in Florida, Ohio and several others.
Beats me how this is not a criminal offence.
https://www.businessinsider.com/pete...19-4?r=US&IR=TA 21-year-old college student named Hunter Kelly published a Medium post on Monday alleging that South Bend, Indiana, Mayor and 2020 presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg had sexually assaulted him earlier this year.
But Kelly told The Daily Beast on Monday that he didn't write the post and that the allegations, which didn't include any specifics and are uncorroborated, were false.
Separately, an anonymous Republican source told The Daily Beast that conservative lobbyist Jack Burkman and the internet-famous conspiracy theorist Jacob Wohl have attemped to persuade multiple conservative young men to lodge false sexual asssault allegations against Buttigieg, who is openly gay.
Back to the premise of the thread...
Biden Opens Up Sizable Lead in new CNN poll
A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS after Biden's announcement on Thursday shows 39% of voters who are Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents saying he is their top choice for the nomination, up from 28% who said the same in March.
That puts Biden more than 20 points ahead of his nearest competitor, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont -- who holds 15% support in the poll -- and roughly 30 points ahead of the next strongest candidate, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (8%).
Warren ranks about evenly with South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (7%), former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke (6%) and Sen. Kamala Harris of California (5%), who round out the list of those earning 5% or more in the poll. The remaining 17 candidates tested all held the support of 2% or less.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/04/30/p...nce/index.html
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