1. #14301
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seekingasylum View Post
    Oil is now up to $63 a barrel which combined with a continuing fall in £ should mean a resurgence in inflation as it feeds into the economy. With a bit of luck it will hit 3% by September when the CPI uprate to pensions is fixed. Hard Brexit in October, near parity with US$, and a closure of the Hormuz straits will see 5% in no time as oil prices go crazy.

    Crazy times and the BoE will have to step in with a rate rise.

    Tha FTSE 100 will be going south for sure.

    Of course, it could all end overnight if Britain came to its senses and said fuck it, Brexit is for knuckle-dragging, retarded shitheads. But we are talking about the dumbest folk in the developed world and no better than redneck Republican mofos from Alabama.
    Did the sun not rise in the east today? You could blame that on brexit, because you've covered everything else so far. You give pessimism a bad name, jai dam.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Seekingasylum View Post
    Oil is now up to $63 a barrel which combined with a continuing fall in £ should mean a resurgence in inflation as it feeds into the economy. With a bit of luck it will hit 3% by September when the CPI uprate to pensions is fixed. Hard Brexit in October, near parity with US$, and a closure of the Hormuz straits will see 5% in no time as oil prices go crazy.

    Crazy times and the BoE will have to step in with a rate rise.

    Tha FTSE 100 will be going south for sure.

    Of course, it could all end overnight if Britain came to its senses and said fuck it, Brexit is for knuckle-dragging, retarded shitheads. But we are talking about the dumbest folk in the developed world and no better than redneck Republican mofos from Alabama.
    come on, stop being dramatic, you know by now that Brexit is not going to happen, even with BoJo the Chimp as PM

    it's going to be funny to watch him do a 180 on his Brexit supporters

  3. #14303
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    and here we go,

    Tory leadership contest: Voting to close
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-49065490

    Voting will close later in the Conservative leadership contest, with the UK's next prime minister set to be announced on Tuesday.

    The next occupant of Number 10 will be either Boris Johnson - regarded as the frontrunner - or Jeremy Hunt.

    The winner and successor to Theresa May is due to take office on Wednesday.

    But ahead of the polls closing at 17:00 BST, Sir Alan Duncan quit as a Foreign Office minister in protest against a possible Boris Johnson victory.

    Chancellor Philip Hammond told the BBC on Sunday he intends to resign as chancellor if Mr Johnson becomes prime minister.

    Justice Secretary David Gauke also reiterated in the Sunday Times that he would also resign this week for the same reason.

    BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith said the ministers could not stomach the prospect of a no-deal Brexit on 31 October, which they think Mr Johnson is increasingly likely to oversee.

  4. #14304
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    Quote Originally Posted by Switch View Post
    Did the sun not rise in the east today? You could blame that on brexit, because you've covered everything else so far. You give pessimism a bad name, jai dam.
    Poor demented soul is still fixated on the hard Brexit we're not going to have in October.

  5. #14305
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    Quote Originally Posted by jabir View Post
    Poor demented soul is still fixated on the hard Brexit we're not going to have in October.
    Hard Brexit was a term coined by remainers after losing the referendum and bares to resemblance to the reality of the situation. There are hundreds of micro deals already agreed and the withdrawal agreement doesn't even cover a trade agreement.

  6. #14306
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dragonfly View Post
    come on, stop being dramatic, you know by now that Brexit is not going to happen, even with BoJo the Chimp as PM

    it's going to be funny to watch him do a 180 on his Brexit supporters
    It'll be done effortlessly. BoJo going back on his word is a complete non-event.

    Being completely unreliable is actually seen as a good attribute in this clusterfcuk.

  7. #14307
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    ^ ^WTF?

    No agreement on Article 50 Withdrawal from EU is hard brexit.

    An agreement means a 2 year plus transition while a new trade agreement takes place.

    Nothing to do with remainers you silly twat

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    Quote Originally Posted by Troy View Post
    ^ ^WTF?

    No agreement on Article 50 Withdrawal from EU is hard brexit.

    An agreement means a 2 year plus transition while a new trade agreement takes place.

    Nothing to do with remainers you silly twat
    Remainers coined the terms hard and soft Brexit you idiot. You haven't read the withdrawal agreement have you or have any idea what is does and doesn't contain do you?

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    Quote Originally Posted by buriramboy View Post
    There are hundreds of micro deals already agreed.


    You don't half talk some shite.

    And you seem to feel no obligation to back up any of it.

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    According to BoJo renegotiating the withdrawal agreement will be a breeze, if we can put a man on the moon.



    Soon the UK will have its very own 'Trumpesque' leader.



    Boris Johnson has put his faith in optimism to find technological solutions to prevent a hard Irish border if he becomes prime minister, as the DUP impressed on him the need to resolve the issue of the backstop to keep their support.


    Writing what is likely to be his final Daily Telegraph column before entering Downing Street on Wednesday, Johnson used the example of the 50th anniversary of the moon landings to argue for a “can-do spirit” in tackling the Brexit impasse.


    “If they could use hand-knitted computer code to make a frictionless re-entry to Earth’s atmosphere in 1969, we can solve the problem of frictionless trade at the Northern Irish border,” Johnson wrote in a column that gave no specifics on how this could be done.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics...m-irish-border

  11. #14311
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyrille View Post


    You don't half talk some shite.

    And you seem to feel no obligation to back up any of it.
    Christ you are one thick imbecile, makes over 800 posts on a topic he doesn't even know or understand the basics. Is this a vit like when the government released their unemployment and growth stats last week and you're screaming and crying like the little bitch you are that I'm making the figures up as you're too lazy to read or watch the news which was on every fucking outlet? Seriously how the fuck are you a teacher, your kindergarten class probably has more knowledge of what's going on than you do.

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    So why not link to his daily telegraph article and post it in full, oh that's right because you haven't and cant read it and will just stick to yet again a guardian opinion piece written by a political activist with an agenda.

  13. #14313
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dragonfly View Post
    come on, stop being dramatic, you know by now that Brexit is not going to happen, even with BoJo the Chimp as PM

    it's going to be funny to watch him do a 180 on his Brexit supporters
    You say and keep repeating that Brexit will not happen. I have no problem with this since nobody knows either way and shouting louder has zero effect.

    But having taken that reasonable position, it's slightly weird even for certified Belgians to periodically swing over to promote/support the assguy's obsession - not just that Brexit will happen, and that it will be through a crashout, but that it would be a literal crashout based on the faked notion of nothing agreed, no food, no fuel, no trade or transport and parity with the Z$.

    If you believe there will be no Brexit, why propagate the serialised fantasy of Brexit+++?

  14. #14314
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    jab, your brain is melting, and as usual you are not making any sense, you loon

  15. #14315
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    Quote Originally Posted by buriramboy View Post
    Remainers coined the terms hard and soft Brexit you idiot. You haven't read the withdrawal agreement have you or have any idea what is does and doesn't contain do you?
    No they did not. The terms were coined by the news media.

    There are no micro deals nor is there a managed no-deal. These are just pipe dreams made up by the Tories.

    The UK either agrees terms of the exit framework with the EU or it doesn't. Not doing so is a lose-lose scenario for both sides. The UK is in a shit position and Boris needs a Trump or two up his sleeve to get out of this mess.

    The worse off will suffer the most but don't seem to understand that. Your employment stats are not as good as you think.

  16. #14316
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    Double post.

  17. #14317
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    Quote Originally Posted by Troy View Post
    No they did not. The terms were coined by the news media.

    There are no micro deals nor is there a managed no-deal. These are just pipe dreams made up by the Tories.

    The UK either agrees terms of the exit framework with the EU or it doesn't. Not doing so is a lose-lose scenario for both sides. The UK is in a shit position and Boris needs a Trump or two up his sleeve to get out of this mess.

    The worse off will suffer the most but don't seem to understand that. Your employment stats are not as good as you think.
    FFS you been on a 48h bender or something? The terms soft and hard Brexit did not exist before the result of the referendum and were coined by remainers after losing.

    As to the rest of your post one must presume you are yet another Guardian reader, a once respected paper that no longer reports the news and just fills its pages with articles by political activists. Get up to date lad.

  18. #14318
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    I see, so now you believe that because the terms came after the referendum they must have been originated by remainers.

    Is there no end to your stupidity?

    Whatever.

    Now explain these many micro deals and how they are going. Let's start with all UK citizens being given 3 month's notice to leave their adopted country or become citizens if there is no agreement on Oct 31.

  19. #14319
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    They were coined by remainers you idiot.

  20. #14320
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    Link?

    ...and one to these micro deals that have been made?

    Link us all to your fountain of neveradumberwordthanbboy...

  21. #14321
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    Quote Originally Posted by Troy View Post
    Link?

    ...and one to these micro deals that have been made?

    Link us all to your fountain of neveradumberwordthanbboy...
    It's worse than dealing with simple Sybil, what's got into you? Aviation being one example.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/f...rexit-scenario

    There are hundreds more covering loads of shit.

  22. #14322
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyrille View Post


    You don't half talk some shite.

    And you seem to feel no obligation to back up any of it.
    From: European Commission - PRESS RELEASES - Press release - ?No-deal' Brexit: European Commission takes stock of preparations ahead of the June European Council (Article 50)

    But, there are endless examples/details from numerous sources on the extensive preparations that have already been made.
    Since December 2017, the European Commission has been preparing for a ‘no-deal' scenario. To date, the Commission has tabled 19 legislative proposals, 18 of which have been adopted by the European Parliament and Council. Political agreement has been reached on the remaining proposal – the contingency Regulation on the EU budget for 2019 –, which is expected to be formally adopted later this month. The Commission has also adopted 63 non-legislative acts and published 93 preparedness notices.In light of the extension of the Article 50 period, the Commission has screened all these measures to ensure that they continue to meet their intended objectives.
    Cycling should be banned!!!

  23. #14323
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    Some specific examples outlined by the EU:
    The EU's ‘no-deal' preparedness and contingency work: continued vigilance in selected areas
    Preparing for the UK's withdrawal is a joint effort by public administrations and economic operators. The Commission has held extensive technical discussions with the EU27 Member States both on general issues of preparedness and contingency work and on specific sectorial, legal and administrative preparedness issues. The Commission has also completed a tour of the capitals of the 27 EU Member States. The visits showed a high degree of preparation by Member States for all scenarios.
    Today's Communication focuses on areas in which continued and particular vigilance is needed in the coming months:
    Citizens' residence and social security entitlements

    • Member States had prepared or adopted national contingency measures before 12 April 2019 to ensure that UK nationals and their non-EU family members could remain legally resident in the immediate period after a ‘no-deal' withdrawal.
    • To provide further clarity, the Commission has provided an overview of residency rights in the EU27 Member States (see here, including direct links to national preparedness websites). This will continue to be updated.

    Medicinal products, medical devices and chemical substances

    • Only a small number of centrally authorised medical products (around 1%) had not been brought into regulatory conformity by 12 April 2019 The European Medicines Agency (EMA) is now close to completing the regulatory compliance process for products that are authorised centrally.
    • For products that are authorised at national level, more work remains to be done to bring remaining medicinal products into regulatory compliance by 31 October 2019.
    • The transfer of certificates for medical devices from UK notified bodies to EU27 notified bodies is ongoing.
    • As regards chemical substances, by the end of April 2019, REACH registrations of 463 substances had been transferred to the EU27 Member States, while 718 still remained registered only by registrants established in the United Kingdom. The European Chemicals Agency (ECHA) opened a ‘Brexit window' in REACH-IT to take the necessary steps to transfer their REACH registrations ahead of the withdrawal date.

    Customs, indirect taxation and border inspection posts

    • In the field of customs and indirect taxation, the Commission organised numerous technical meetings, and published guidance notes on customs, value-added tax (VAT) and excise ahead of the previous withdrawal date.
    • National administrations have made significant investments in infrastructure and human resources, primarily in Member States that are the main entry and exit points for the EU's trade with the United Kingdom. Member States are also working with the Commission in its training and communication efforts to reach out to economic operators and stakeholders in general.
    • In the field of sanitary and phytosanitary controls (SPS), EU27 Member States have set up new Border Inspection Posts (BIPs) or extending existing ones at entry points of imports from the United Kingdom into the EU.

    Transport

    • The contingency Regulation on air transport includes a specific mechanism for EU airlines to comply with the EU majority ownership and control requirements. This process is underway and the Commission is in regular contact with national authorities.
    • In the rail transport sector, operators that have not taken the necessary steps to obtain the relevant EU27 documents should do the necessary to obtain them.

    Fishing activities

    • In the fisheries sector, the Commission has taken swift action to implement the EU contingency Regulations. The Commission and Member States have worked together to collect information in the appropriate format so that authorisation requests by EU vessels to access UK waters can be handled as soon as the contingency Regulation on fishing authorisations becomes applicable.
    • The Commission has also worked closely with Member States to adapt their Operational Programmes so that resources under the European Maritime and Fisheries Fund can be used for temporary cessation, if needed and appropriate.

    Financial services

    • While in the run-up to 12 April 2019, firms had made significant progress with their contingency planning, some residual issues remain. Insurance firms, payment services providers and other financial service operators which remain unprepared regarding certain aspects of their business (for example contract management and access to infrastructures) are strongly encouraged to finalise their preparatory measures by 31 October 2019. The Commission is working with EU level and national supervisors to ensure that firms' contingency plans are fully implemented, and it expects that UK supervisors will not prevent firms from implementing such plans.

  24. #14324
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    My post was in response to bungholeboy’s nonsense about ‘microdeals’.

    It’s clear to everyone what an exit with a deal is, and you idiots are just muddying the issue.

    That seems to be a major aim of yours, too. In one post you use the word ‘we’ to talk about the tories, in another you deny ever voting tory.

    Arrangements on what to do in a crisis are not ‘deals’ in the sense that any sane person understands the word.

  25. #14325
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    Useless woman...

    https://www.politico.eu/article/mich...o-deal-brexit/

    British Prime Minister Theresa May "never" attempted to threaten the EU with a no-deal Brexit during divorce negotiations, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier told the BBC's Panorama program.

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