As much as I despise the man, an early prediction. 45 will be reelected and this time will win a narrow majority.
As much as I despise the man, an early prediction. 45 will be reelected and this time will win a narrow majority.
What are you basing that prediction on? Some key states have shown a big shift away from him in the last election and with regards to his favorability rating. Wisconsin in particular ousted Gov Scott Walker and Trumps currently 13 points underwater there as far as favorability. 10 points underwater in Michigan and also underwater in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia, and Illinois. Hell he is even tanking in Iowa and North Carolina right now. Like I said I am not sure what you are basing that on but I see things playing out much differently. He is looking very weak in the key states of Wis, Penn, Ohio, MI and Ill. He narrowly won those states and he is very unpopular in those states right now. He has to win those states to be reelected. Also no way the GOP will retake the house it would require a massive turnout that the already dying GOP can not provide.
My prediction is Biden by a landslide taking all the states I mentioned as well as Florida and Arizona. Dems will gain seats in the house and pick up senate seats as well but I do not think they will get enough to take the senate. I think they will narrow it to say 51-49.
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/
It needs to be constantly harped on what a traitor he is.
Siding with a despotic dictator against a fellow American. Regardless his opinion of Biden he should not take the side of Kim.
https://japantoday.com/category/worl...icism-of-biden
“If we stop testing right now we’d have very few cases, if any.” Donald J Trump.
"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect,"
Dubbya was far worse and easy to manipulate, the very definition of a village idiot
Trump is a nasty fucker, but is unpredictable, you tell him to go to war, he will do the opposite, like a good manipulator that he is
I wouldn't surprise to see that he does a surprise peace deal with Iran like he did with NK, just to piss off his Pentagon masters
Trump is a true anarchist, and why he should be fully supported
Which means he's very predictable.
You tell him Obama supports xyz, Trump will do the opposite. Which means he's very predictable.
Of course he wants to...as long as he's prez he's unindictable and he knows it. He has to stave off the inevitable.
The reason he doesn't want to be a one-term president is because Obama was a two-term president.
Watch him squeal "fix" when he loses.
Barring his death or a Black Swan event, if the economy is ticking along well, 45 is a very good chance of being re-elected.
One trick will be to keep the Trade War with China going till a few months out from the Election.
USA consumers will keep paying for the Tariffs and #45 will keep saying that China is paying for it.
It's the tax increase that you have when you're not having a tax increase.
no one (including trump himself) thought he would win in '16, and many rational people just stayed home.... many also were lukewarm to or flat out didn't like clinton.
and then trump drew an inside straight and got an electoral college victory due to 80,000 total votes in 3 states.....80,000 people can fit into a football stadium.
in '20 it will be many of the people who voted for trump in '16 that stay home....either because they're now certain he's unfit for office or because he hasn't done jackshit for them.
and all the bernie voters who didn't vote in the general election because of disgust with the DNC and the clinton campaign....they'll be going to the polls on election day, because they know the risks of staying home.
the trump campaign is never going to be able to match the enthusiasm they had in '16, so they're going to try and keep people (black women, millennials, etc...) home on election day....but i don't think it's going to work. normal people have had enough.
we're a year and half out, and practically anything could happen between now and then, but if pressed, i would say the dem nominee wins in a popular vote landslide (5 million plus) and an electoral victory similar to obama's in 2012.
yeah, he could draw another inside straight, but it's incredibly unlikely.
good points, Ray
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