Moscow'''s Pacification - by Anatoly Karlin - Powerful Takes
Moscow's Murder Rate Now Lower Than "Prestigious" London's
For the first time possibly since the late Middle Ages (for Britain had embarked on “
pacification” - the vertical reduction of homicide rates, by dint of increasing state capacity, genetic selection, or both - centuries earlier than Russia), Moscow will very likely have a lower homicide rate this year (2021) than London. London
had 1.5/100k murders in 2018, the last year for which we have population estimates; on
current trends, it should finish up at around 1.4/100k this year (possibly more, if Corona-era
projections of population decline are accurate). Moscow registered either 1.6/100k homicides [
Rosstat] or 1.4/100k homicides [
Prosecutor-General] in 2020. In the year to date (to August), the number of homicides
has fallen by 21%. Either way, at somewhere around 1.1-1.3/100k, Moscow’s homicide rate is now lower than “prestigious” London’s.