One that note.. what were cup prices today?
I have deleted my reply as other have indicated this thread is a "Rubber" thread
Last edited by OhOh; 04-09-2014 at 11:17 PM.
Hi Jim.
My town is deserted. The tappers are disappearing, and Thai Hua are struggling to get workers.
They still wont pay properly and the Thais wont work for them. Cambodians are leaving.
How much a kilo today? Cant get sense out of my lot.
China is the current and future leader in utilization of the rubber resource production globally according to the latest statistics and future projections by the International Rubber Institute.
May I say, China and its activities has a great deal of affect on the future of rubber production, prices and use.
If you don't discuss China in this thread its actually projecting an incomplete picture of the market.
Sold some wet cup yesterday 21 Baht a kilo.
No tappers here either, I have good latex producing trees, but my tappers, husband wife teams only earn 800 baht [400 each] per tap. Other owners with Thai producing trees 1/2 that. No one works for 200 Baht, plenty of other jobs.
Thai Hua and the other big producers are losing money on every kilo they produce, they will stop or gear down soon. Then no buyers, no buyers no one taps, no rubber.
Any over supply will be gone, if it hasn't already.
Market will stabilize, price will go up, or everyone, world wide can park their cars, no tires.
Bad here, wages in Malaysia are higher, India about the same as here, China is reducing it's stock pile for their own reasons.
Numbers will come out showing the oversupply has gone, futures buyers will step back in and prices will rise. Just got to sit it out, 2009 someone posted, rubber is finished, I replied, roads are still full of cars, when I see empty streets, I'll know rubber is finished. Jim
May be it's all a shift to finding an alternative to natural rubber?
Car tyres made from dandelions - TelegraphMention dandelion and a shudder wriggles down most gardeners’ spines. Scourge of lawns, borders, patios and allotments, they’re a major reason why we spend a fortune on weed killer or hours bent double, extracting their thong-like roots. Now, a species of Russian dandelion is set to become one of the most important plants on the planet, propping up civilisation with rubber made from the glutinous, milky sap found in its roots.
In July this year, Indian-Dutch company Apollo Vredestein rolled out the first prototype tyres produced from European-grown rubber. If tests go well, they hope to start full production in 2015. The dandelion, Taraxacum kok-saghyz (TKS), is one of three plants currently being investigated by various international consortia, made up of government agencies, big business and scientific research establishments, locked in a multi-million pound scramble to find alternatives to natural rubber.
^Are You changing the subject again?
Rubber[edit]
Taraxacum kok-saghyz was cultivated on a large scale in the Soviet Union between 1931 and 1950, as well as in the United States, the UK, Germany, Sweden and Spain during World War II as an emergency source of rubber when supplies of rubber from Hevea brasiliensis in Southeast Asia were threatened. During this time period, the highest yields achieved by the U.S. were 110 kg of rubber per hectare, while the USSR achieved yields of 200 kg of rubber per hectare. With the conclusion of World War II and the return of affordable Hevea brasiliensis rubber, the majority of T. kok-saghyz programs were discontinued.
There has been a resurgence of attention on T. kok-saghyz due to allergic reactions to Hevea rubber used in medical devices, and to shortcomings of the Hevea brasiliensis rubber supply.[1] One threat to Hevea brasiliensis rubber production is the South American Leaf Blight (SALB), which has afflicted conventional rubber production in South America since 1934. This blight may spread to the Hevea brasiliensis trees in Southeast Asia, which are genetically very similar to each other and those of South America. Furthermore, land used for rubber production is being converted to palm oil plantations in order to produce biofuel, and labor costs reduce the profitability of Hevea brasiliensis plantations, as each tree must be manually tapped in order to harvest its latex. Rising oil prices limit the economic viability of synthetic rubbers, and natural rubber often cannot be pragmatically replaced by a synthetic equivalent.[3]
Taraxacum kok-saghyz cultivars that are easier to cultivate and produce more and better rubber are being developed[6] as part of a large research project at many institutions.[7
Nothing new, 200 kilos per hectare, or 40 rubber trees, no even a rai, plus extracting costs, no competition there.
May be you buy the condoms according to the size of the dandelion?
Oil production on the rise along with their side-cuts for production of all things synthetic. Saudi having difficulties with over-production in a market awash in oil and its by-products.Originally Posted by jamescollister
Will this trend continue? Russia production due to current political conditions may be a short fall and thus supply side economics will encourage imports from other off-shore producers for Europe.est However Russias friend China is in the best possible position to acquire butt loads of cheap Russian oil. Looking for a glut of plastics from China in the near future.
Don't know much about oil, but like rubber there is a production cost, price has to reflect, plus profit the cost of getting it out.
Unprofitable wells and new fields will stop if they are loss makers.
No ones in business to lose money, if they do they'll cut production of non profitable wells, rubber farmers will cut production of non profitable plantations.
Australia has closed some open cut coal mines, no profit, simple supply and demand, rubber is already cheaper than synthetic.
Russia and China agreed a price acceptable to each of them, given their current/future postions. As some know China's requirement for oil and gas has been increasing by 8 - 10% per year. Given the infrastructure to be built, the proven resource available and a defensible supply route it would be crazy for the Chinese not to invest time and effort in accepting the offer. China is accumulating cost effective supplies of every resource it needs, including latex.Originally Posted by ltnt
A tray full of GOLD is not worth a moment in time.
When one stops tapping for say a year or two does the tree growth improve foliage or trunk diameter? Does the price of a Rai of rubber plantation increase according to the trees age?
OH OH ,seriously who knows two years down the line whats going to happen, but as you rightly say the Chinese as they always do are hedging their bets for the future ,sadly from what I have seen here over the last 10 years or so there is no such thing as "tomorrow" its either boom or bust, the ill thought of "rice scheme" being a classic example, which IMHO is going to have a serious knock on effect for quite some time. .
Herman, out of curiosity on my part, you couldn't ask your wife's uncle how he skirts the owning of 100+ Rai when it's law that only 25 Rai per person or 50 Rai of Sor Por Kor land, per family, can be owned. It's not a critism just an educated question I'd like to know. Thanks.Originally Posted by HermantheGerman
Last edited by Pragmatic; 05-09-2014 at 08:19 PM.
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