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  1. #426
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe View Post
    There has been mention of it- tax reductions will not come close to off-setting the wage increase.
    That depends very much on the type of business. There will be alot that are better off. I can see the government will have to do something extra to assist some small businesses.

  2. #427
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    Quote Originally Posted by DroversDog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe View Post
    There has been mention of it- tax reductions will not come close to off-setting the wage increase.
    That depends very much on the type of business. There will be alot that are better off. I can see the government will have to do something extra to assist some small businesses.
    Yes, the businesses owned by the 'elite'- I very much doubt anything extra will be done for smaller businesses.
    There he goes. One of God's own prototypes. A high-powered mutant of some kind never even considered for mass production. Too weird to live, and too rare to die.
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  3. #428
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe
    There has been mention of it- tax reductions will not come close to off-setting the wage increase.
    By whom? I misused "offset" given the tax context - i.e. it usually implies 100% - so "set against" or "mitigate" is more appropriate here.

  4. #429
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    ^

    It's been mentioned in a couple of the articles posted (on this thread and elsewhere) by SD.

    The proposed reduction will be pretty modest, especially for smaller businesses (many of which pay very little corporate tax- some very small ones pay none- my corporate tax reduction wouldn't off-set two months of the salary increase):

    Indeed, barely had the election celebrations died down when two of the policy changes proposed sent chills down many an economist's spine. Firstly, lifting the minimum wage to THB300 ($10) per day, which implies a 35-90 per cent increase from current levels, and raising the starting monthly salary in government jobs by about 30 per cent. Secondly, a reduction in the corporate tax rate from 30 per cent to 23 per cent in 2012, and to 20 per cent in 2013.
    Last edited by FailSafe; 02-08-2011 at 02:00 PM.

  5. #430
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe View Post
    Businesses that earned the owner 60K (~$2,000) per month will now earn that owner ~36K per month (say, in a small restaurant or shop, using an 800 baht per day salary increase, which would be the equivalent of eight employees who were earning 6K bumped up to 9K)- profits will have effectively dropped 40%- if you owned that business, what would you do?
    Assuming the legal maximum of a 48hr/6 day working week I calculate an averaged Bt.7800 salary for the month (based on a day rate of Bt.300) up from Bt.5200 (based on a day rate of Bt.200).

    Where did you get your Bt.6000/Bt.9000 figures from or does said business owner only allow employees to have a day off on the months totaling 31 days ?

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  6. #431
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fondles
    Assuming the legal maximum of a 48hr/6 day working week I calculate an averaged Bt.7800 salary for the month (based on a day rate of Bt.300) up from Bt.5200 (based on a day rate of Bt.200). Where did you get your Bt.6000/Bt.9000 figures from or does said business owner only allow employees to have a day off on the months totaling 31 days ?
    Using round numbers makes it easier, and your numbers don't take into account monthly contributions towards social welfare tax and insurance, and many employees have the option of working overtime (for which they are correctly compensated).

    Even using your numbers without taking anything else into account it's still a drop in profit of nearly 35% (based on a 60K monthly average income for the owner at current rates).

  7. #432
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe
    It's been mentioned in a couple of the articles posted (on this thread and elsewhere) by SD.
    Acknowledged already.

    Quote Originally Posted by SteveCM
    It's largely absent from the media reports of various bodies predicting mass lay-offs - and wholly absent from the first-hand accounts offered by members here.

  8. #433
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    ^

    I offered a 'first-hand account' in post #269 after you first brought this up in post #263:

    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe
    my corporate tax reduction wouldn't off-set two months of the salary increase
    What else do you want, Steve? There aren't very many people on this thread who actually do business in Thailand- you're not going to hear much as far as first-hand experience goes (though there is no shortage of opinions).

  9. #434
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    Quote Originally Posted by sabang View Post
    It is rather disengenous of a Democrat supporter exhibiting considerable sour grapes over the election result to give such a draconian estimate of the staff he will need to drop, if Yingluck's onerous new minimum wage comes into being. The plain fact is, if all of those staff are that marginal Buksida it is not really a commercial business at all, rather a charity you can no longer afford.
    I'm a Democrat supporter? I've given draconian estimates of the staff I have to drop? More BS from a nutter.

    Bureaucrats wages go up to a 12k min, uni grads start on 15k. Has there ever been a country that has raised wages so steeply? If so what were the results?

    To say that businesses would just shrug off rises of this scale is stupidity.

    Does PT even have a proper policy for all these wage rises? When was the last time they spoke of them?
    Quote:
    Clearly, labor intensive & low mark-up industries will be most affected.
    Care to name some of these industries? Agriculture and export garments are two that spring to mind.

  10. #435
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe
    Even using your numbers without taking anything else into account it's still a drop in profit of nearly 35% (based on a 60K monthly average income for the owner at current rates).
    SO what is 35% of a million? (it's Ok I can do the math)
    Every time, any place a pittance is offered to the minions of this world the same cries of woe goes up by the hard done by bosses.

    Left of centre FS? You must be left of a centre close to MAggie Thatcher!
    So your cost of production goes up. Like Oil, gas, electricity, rubber, wood, water etc what do you do? Come on you know. Yes you pass it on whenever possible to the consumer.

    If your enterprise is such that it is competing on such slim margins that you can not because this is not competitive, then the general idea is that you make less profit, so that the peasants you employ can earn $ 30+ extra. THe next time I am on expenses and pigging out at some spot, do you think I give a toss about the buggers scraping by?

    That is what this legislation is about. A very minor redistribution of wealth. You get less they get more. Comprendy ! So instead of the Range ROver buy a Toyota and suck it up!

  11. #436
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    ^^^
    I do appreciate the input based on at least one first-hand experience (now that it's here). Unlike some, I don't presume to know how other members spend their time away from TD - but I instinctively agree with you about the opinions vs first-hand experience point. Plainly enough, different businesses will have very different situations - so nothing like a broad view picture is likely to emerge from the limited sample available here.

    But the tax side of the proposed equation is a factor - hence my wondering why it (had) all but dropped off the radar.
    .

    “.....the world will little note nor long remember what we say here....."

  12. #437
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sailing into trouble
    Left of centre FS? You must be left of a centre close to MAggie Thatcher! So your cost of production goes up. Like Oil gas electricity rubber wood water what do you do? Come on you know you pass it on whenever possible to the consumer.
    I'm not a socialist like you, this is true- I'm sure you give the indigent in Canada rides on your sailboat to give them a a taste of the 'good life'.

    I'm going to have to fire people- THAT'S how I'm going to control my costs- I would rather not have to do that- apparently that's OK with you, though, if jobs I've created are lost.

    Quote Originally Posted by Sailing into trouble
    If your enterprise is such that it is competing on such slim margins that you can not this is not competitive, then the general idea that you make less profit so that the peasants you employ can earn $ 30+ extra.
    You are really looking at this like a simpleton- it's not about '$30'- it's something closer to $100 x 50 x 12 (I know you can do the math, but that's $60,000- a pittance for you, I'm sure, but for me it's a nice piece of change out of my pocket).


    Quote Originally Posted by Sailing into trouble
    That is what this legislation is about. A very minor redistribution of wealth. You get less they get more. Comprendy ! So instead of the Range ROver buy a Toyota and suck it up!
    Again, you're a socialist- I'm not- I'm also a bit more concerned about the wealth that's being redistributed when it's coming directly out of my pocket- believe me, I'd be pretty free-and-easy if we were talking about your money.

  13. #438
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveCM
    Plainly enough, different businesses will have very different situations - so nothing like a broad view picture is likely to emerge from the limited sample available here.
    Of course not- I speak from having middle-end businesses (both on the lower and higher spectrum of the 'middle')- I also know a lot of other people at my same economic standpoint, and they are in the same boat as me. I can also speak from the lower-end side as I currently have a very small business as well (the one I said I will probably have to close).

    I can't speak from the position of the 'big boys' (sadly...)

  14. #439
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    the corporate tax reduction will not be enough to pay for the salary increase, mostly because company do tax optimization and don't pay that much tax in the first place

    actually corporate tax here should be increased, it will be a more stable source of revenue in the long run.

    regardless, the 300 THB minimum salary is a necessity because the cost of living have risen sharply here and companies are too slow to adjust.

  15. #440
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    I'm not arguing that wages aren't low, it's the attitude that having sharp increases (not just on min wages), is something easily absorbed by employers, especially those exporting to the EU and US whose economies and currencies are shite.

  16. #441
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe View Post

    Using round numbers makes it easier, and your numbers don't take into account monthly contributions towards social welfare tax
    I bet the employers were not up in arms when the compulsory contributions was lowered from 5% to 3% in 2009.

    quote=FailSafe;1834271]
    and many employees have the option of working overtime (for which they are correctly compensated).
    [/quote]

    Errm if the employees are doing overtime one would assume the company is busy and actually turning a profit, if the overtime is such a burden employ more staff.

  17. #442
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fondles
    Errm if the employees are doing overtime one would assume the company is busy and actually turning a profit, if the overtime is such a burden employ more staff.
    Yeah, when overtime was worth offering- now it won't be.

    Quote Originally Posted by Fondles
    I bet the employers were not up in arms when the compulsory contributions was lowered from 5% to 3% in 2009.
    What's your point? It still has an effect on how much is paid per month- the more employees there are, the higher the overall amount (and, using 3%, it increases the loss of profit from 34% to 36% if you accept the example I originally used and we use the salary numbers you previously provided, which closes in on the 40% that I came up with using round numbers- if we're going to be pedantic...)

    How long have you been operating a business in Thailand, Fondles? Got any real-world opinions to offer? Just making a few sniping posts doesn't really add anything to the argument.
    Last edited by FailSafe; 02-08-2011 at 05:33 PM.

  18. #443
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    ^ We have several who claim to be knowledgeable in business that support the policy, even though it's not clear what the policy is.

    They make meaningless statements like:
    It is definitely a fact that employers are entitled to expect that a fair wedge of the 40% wage rise for the lowest paid to be recuperated from increased productivity.
    It is definitely a fact that being entitled to expect something does not mean one will receive it.

  19. #444
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    I'm never sure whether it's better to show admiration for or sympathy to any farang attempting to operate a business here in Thailand.

    All through my own experience elsewhere, I received plentiful comments (sometimes praise) from onlookers who often had no first-hand experience of any - let alone my - business. My response was to listen politely..... and change the subject.

    Accordingly, I now find it better to leave others to mind their own business - for good or ill it's their business and not mine.

  20. #445
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveCM
    I'm never sure whether it's better to show admiration for or sympathy to any farang attempting to operate a business here in Thailand.
    I'm not looking for either, Steve- I've been fortunate to do well over here, but I just as easily could have gone home with my tail between my legs.

    I remember scouring the internet for information over ten years ago looking for some help with my planned business venture in Thailand- there was pretty much nothing (other than some names and email addresses, few of which were of any help)- I would like to contribute some of my experience to the TD forum in the hopes that someone who comes here after me will be able to benefit from my own story- this is why I tried to (and will continue to) post my opinions and real-world information here, and why I will 'fight the good fight' against what I consider to be ill-informed opinions and outright disinformation (based on rumor and second-hand experience) re: doing business in Thailand.

    Quote Originally Posted by SteveCM
    All through my own experience elsewhere, I received plentiful comments (sometimes praise) from onlookers who often had no first-hand experience of any - let alone my - business. My response was to listen politely..... and change the subject.

    Accordingly, I now find it better to leave others to mind their own business - for good or ill it's their business and not mine.
    If this was a US-based (on non-Thailand-based) forum, I would feel the same way, but it's not, and it's important to have some decent info available on TD.

    I'm not saying I'm 100% right all the time, but I can definitely offer a needed perspective around here.

  21. #446
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    Quote Originally Posted by FailSafe View Post
    How long have you been operating a business in Thailand, Fondles? Got any real-world opinions to offer? Just making a few sniping posts doesn't really add anything to the argument.
    Technically have never operated a business here, however 5yrs ago I did assist in the setting up of one, I still currently work for the same business.

  22. #447
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    ^

    Actually I shouldn't have posted that- you're as entitled to your opinion as I am regardless of your business experience here- I just went a bit overboard.

  23. #448
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    ^^^
    Can't argue with any of that - and all credit to you. But I guess you also realise that the News threads tend to be more about political football and associated point-scoring. "Decent info" seems to be way down the list of priorities for many here.

    P.S. I'm not always this sanctimonious - IMO.

  24. #449
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    ^

    Yeah- I learned that a few weeks ago when I made (what I thought was) an innocent (though in hindsight admittedly not well-thought-out) remark over a politically-charged issue- the retaliatory attacks were brutal.

    I'm not above a bit of 'point-scoring' at times...
    Last edited by FailSafe; 02-08-2011 at 07:08 PM.

  25. #450
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    My comments earlier were about the average mid-range company where most of the workers aren't far off 300 baht per day already, and most well above it (thus not really caring about those getting bumped up to 300).

    I agree for mom and pop operations, or real shoestring joints, it will be tough. But frankly if you're making some Thai or some migrant worker virtually slave at well below the minimum wage so you can eek out an extra thousand baht per day to buy your kids toys at Central World every weekend you ought to find another occupation.

    That said, Thailand clearly needs to move to a higher skilled labor force economy. It can't compete with low-cost China or Vietnam - it just can't. It's unsustainable.

    There's no question productivity needs to improve - and Thailand has good infrastructure like roads and communications - it just needs to make that move. But underskilled workers are the achilles heel of under-investing in a nation's people and their public education system. If you spend most of your time indoctinating them rather than teaching them and challenging them to think - then this is the result.

    Time to pay the piper it seems.
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