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| US Domestic Issues Topics which focus on issues within the US or concern those who come from or live in the US. |
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| View Poll Results: Who will be the next US President? | |||
| Obama | | 33 | 66.00% |
| McCain | | 12 | 24.00% |
| Neither | | 1 | 2.00% |
| Honestly don't care | | 4 | 8.00% |
| Voters: 50. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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| | #1 (permalink) | ||
| Senior Member | Quote:
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| | #2 (permalink) | |||
| Gone Off Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: shelf
Posts: 15,355
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| | #3 (permalink) | |
| Watching the Wheels Last Online: Today 01:20 PM Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: where the streets have no name
Posts: 11,566
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McCain- Panama canal zone, August 29, 1936 | |
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| | #4 (permalink) |
| Gone Off Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: shelf
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| ![]() The detailed responses are bad news for Mr McCain (the full data are available here). Eighty per cent of respondents and no fewer than 71% of those who do not cleave to either main party say Mr Obama has a better grasp of economics. Even among Republicans Mr Obama has the edge: 46% versus 23% say Mr Obama has the better grasp of the subject. “I take McCain’s word on this one,” comments James Harrigan at the University of Virginia, a reference to Mr McCain’s infamous confession that he does not know as much about economics as he should. In fairness, Mr McCain’s lower grade may in part reflect greater candour about his weaknesses. Mr Obama’s more tightly managed image leaves fewer opportunities for such unvarnished introspection. A candidate’s economic expertise may matter rather less if he surrounds himself with clever advisers. Unfortunately for Mr McCain, 81% of all respondents reckon Mr Obama is more likely to do that; among unaffiliated respondents, 71% say so. That is despite praise across party lines for the excellent Doug Holtz-Eakin, Mr McCain’s most prominent economic adviser and a former head of the Congressional Budget Office. “Although I have tended to vote Republican,” one reply says, “the Democrats have a deep pool of talented, moderate economists.” There is an apparent contradiction between most economists’ support for free trade, low taxes and less intervention in the market and the low marks many give to Mr McCain, who is generally more supportive of those things than Mr Obama. It probably reflects a perception that the Republican Party under George Bush has subverted many of those ideals for ideology and political gain. Indeed, the majority of respondents rate Mr Bush’s economic record as very bad, and Republican respondents are only slightly less critical. “John McCain has professed disdain for ‘so-called economists’, and for some the feeling has become mutual,” says Erik Brynjolfsson, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Sloan School of Management. “Obama’s team is mainstream and non-ideological but extremely talented.” On our one-to-five scale, economists on average give Mr Obama’s economic programme a 3.3 and Mr McCain’s a 2.2. Mr O Obama, says Jonathan Parker, a non-aligned professor at Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management, “is a pragmatist not an ideologue. I expect Clintonian economic policies.” If, that is, crushing federal debt does not derail his taxing and spending plans. On his plans to fix the financial crisis, Mr Obama averages 3.1, a point higher than Mr McCain. Still, some said they didn’t quite know what they were rating—reasonably enough, since neither candidate has produced clear plans of his own. Where the candidates’ positions are more clearly articulated, Mr Obama scores better on nearly every issue: promoting fiscal discipline, energy policy, reducing the number of people without health insurance, controlling health-care costs, reforming financial regulation and boosting long-run economic growth. Twice as many economists think Mr McCain’s plan would be bad or very bad for long-run growth as Mr Obama’s. Given how much focus Mr McCain has put on his plan’s benefits for growth, this last is quite a repudiation. Mr McCain gets his highest mark, an average of 3.5 and a clear advantage over Mr Obama, for his position on free trade and globalisation. If Mr Obama “would wake up on free trade”, one respondent says, “I could get behind the plans much more.” Perhaps surprisingly, the economists rated trade low in priority compared with the other issues listed. Only 53% say it is important or very important. Neither candidate scored at all well on dealing with the burgeoning cost of entitlements such as Medicare and Social Security. The economists also prefer Mr Obama’s tax plans. Republicans and respondents who do not identify with either political party see Mr McCain’s tax policies as more efficient but less equitable. But the former prefer Mr McCain’s plans—43% of Republicans say they are good or very good—and the latter Mr Obama’s. Of non-affiliated respondents, 31% say Mr Obama’s are good or very good. Either way, according to the economists, it would be difficult to do much worse than George Bush. The respondents give Mr Bush a dismal average of 1.7 on our five-point scale for his economic management. Eighty-two per cent thought Mr Bush’s record was bad or very bad; only 1% thought it was very good. The Democrats were overwhelmingly negative, but nearly every respondent viewed Mr Bush’s record unfavourably. Half of Republican respondents thought Mr Bush deserves only a 2. “The minimum rating of one severely overestimates the quality of Bush’s economic policies,” says one non-aligned economist. This is the fourth presidential election in which The Economist has surveyed economists on the candidates and their plans. Responses, anonymous except where requested, were received between September 18th and 30th. For full results see article. Link & Entire: Examining America's presidential candidates | Examining the candidates | The Economist Yes, the economic situation in the US is helping Obama. But McCain does not go into very much detail about economics. |
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| | #6 (permalink) | |
| Thailand Forum Last Online: 16-11-2009 10:46 PM Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 4,976
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That data points to landslide win for the Democrats but I think there are a significant number of people who are happy to say they would vote for a black man but I fear when citizens are in the voting booth some will pause for thought before electing a jig to the White House. As I said about a year ago Obama will win but by a smaller margin than expected in the polls for the reason stated above.
__________________ They champion falsehood, support the butcher against the victim, the oppressor against the innocent child. May God mete them the punishment they deserve | |
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| | #7 (permalink) | |
| Infidel | Quote:
I'm sure many astute black people wont be voting for him either. | |
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| | #8 (permalink) | ||
| Thailand Forum Last Online: 16-11-2009 10:46 PM Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 4,976
| Quote:
If you don't think race is an issue in country which only moved to end aparthied 40 years ago you are naive. The South was The Democratic homeland until LBJ reluctantly moved away from racial segregation. That move handed the South to the GOP on a plate. IN England class is the cultural obesession in America it is race. | ||
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| Senior Member | Quote:
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| | #12 (permalink) | |
| Gone Off Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: shelf
Posts: 15,355
| Quote:
Jet, I know what you "think" about Obama. The point is in the polling, the statistics, the numbers, and now, the shifting momentum. What I think or what you think about a candidate's personality or character is not the issue in the campaign it. The issue is 1. who will win it, and 2. what factors are influencing. | |
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| | #13 (permalink) | |
| punk douche bag Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: o dan y bryn
Posts: 28,059
| it's slipping further away from Mcain day by day..... only question rewmaining is just how much Obama is going to win by. even Alaska has become a race. FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/5 Quote:
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| | #14 (permalink) | ||
| Gone Off Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: shelf
Posts: 15,355
| Here's an article on younger registered voters: 18-29 is defined as younger voters. Quote:
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| | #15 (permalink) |
| Gone Off Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: shelf
Posts: 15,355
| More good news for Obama. And the good news is based on numbers. Quote: How do you like these apples? |
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| | #16 (permalink) | |
| punk douche bag Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: o dan y bryn
Posts: 28,059
| you are so flippantly arrogant jet. why does it surprise you that people have had more than they can take of the republicans. are all of this lot brainwashed?? Quote:
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| | #18 (permalink) | |
| Days Work Done! Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Roiet
Posts: 11,511
| Quote:
"A pair of Washington post-ABC News polls found that last month, 60 percent of independents had a favorable impression of her. That's down to 48 percent. Her "unfavorable'"ratings rose from 26 percent to 36 percent. And McCain has followed her down a bit in the polls too. Has Sarah Palin become a problem? - CNN.com
__________________ There is such a thing as a nation being so right that it does not need to convince others by force that it is right. Woodrow Wilson | |
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| | #19 (permalink) |
| punk douche bag Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: o dan y bryn
Posts: 28,059
| I'm very new to looking at these analyses. it has always been about Ohio and Florida coverage in the past so I don't know a great deal about the significance of these numbers except there are dems bursting their bollux over these Virginia result of the sites i read.
__________________ Pictures of Lily make my life so wonderful. Pictures of Lily, help me sleep at night..... |
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