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South China Sea

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Old 31-05-2008, 09:52 PM   #41 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Panda
Well why do you think they would want to be there if it wasn't for the oil? There's plenty of other US allies in the ME where they could set up bases to protect USA from whoever.
Such as?

Plenty of material on the motives for invading Iraq, the now defunct PNAC was a good one to get it all from the horse's mouth, so to speak.
Yes, oil/resources are key factors, not in the narrow sense of short-term exploitation of Iraqi reserves, though.
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Old 31-05-2008, 10:38 PM   #42 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by britmaveric View Post
Well if it that were the case the yanks aren't benefiting from any oil. They should be taking oil profits from Iraq govt, paying for yank presence there. However as always yanks get stuck in the arse for helping out and not taking a single cent.
Yea, they sure fucked it up there. But still, they forced the Iraqi government to sign over the nationalized oil fields and open it up to private multinationals.
Not doing much at the moment though due to time lag between exploration and production plus the Iraqi resistance fighters keep blowing things up to keep the big oil companies from sucking Iraq's greatest natural resource out from under them.
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Old 31-05-2008, 10:42 PM   #43 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Panda
Well why do you think they would want to be there if it wasn't for the oil? There's plenty of other US allies in the ME where they could set up bases to protect USA from whoever.
Such as?

Plenty of material on the motives for invading Iraq, the now defunct PNAC was a good one to get it all from the horse's mouth, so to speak.
Yes, oil/resources are key factors, not in the narrow sense of short-term exploitation of Iraqi reserves, though.
Sorry Stroller, I am not on the same intellectual plane as you. Could you dumb it down a bit so I can understand what you are talking about?
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Old 31-05-2008, 11:00 PM   #44 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Panda
Well why do you think they would want to be there if it wasn't for the oil? There's plenty of other US allies in the ME where they could set up bases to protect USA from whoever.
Such as?

Plenty of material on the motives for invading Iraq, the now defunct PNAC was a good one to get it all from the horse's mouth, so to speak.
I wish the PNAC was 100% defunct.

They are weak and not as effective as they were, but the PNAC still exists.


Their members and former members are still active.

And I hope they are forced out of all policy positions.
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Old 03-06-2008, 04:58 AM   #45 (permalink)
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We aren't keeping it all to ourselves. So what do people mean by saying "we are there for the oil"?
Well, for a start there was certainly no other reason for the invasion and occupation.

But on to the oil issue. The Chinese deal is only a proposal at this stage as far as I am aware.

All the Middle East oil producing countries (including Iraq) nationalized their oil industries in the 1970s to stop exploitation by multinational oil companies.

Despite having massive oil reserves, Iraq's oil industry didn't fare well due to successive wars and later the sanctions placed on it by the west in the 90s.

Bush has been pushing the new Iraqi government to scrap the nationalized oil industry and open it up to privatization by the multinationals once again. There has been great debate about this and the idea is opposed by most Iraqis as it will mean the big international oil countries will make nearly all the profit while paying the Iraqi people a pittance of a royalty around 10%. This is a case of blatant exploitation, but little the Iraqi people can do about it with their country in ruins and occupied by a foreign army. No other ME oil producing country would allow such a law.

See the Wikipedia script below.
"
Iraq oil law (2007)

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia



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The Iraq oil law, also referred to as the Iraq hydrocarbon law,[1] is a proposed piece of legislation submitted to the Iraqi Council of Representatives in May 2007.[2]
The Bush administration hired the consulting firm BearingPoint to help write the law in 2004.[3][4] The bill was approved by the Iraqi cabinet in February 2007.[5] The Bush administration considers the passage of the law a benchmark for the government of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki.[6][7]
The new law would authorise production share agreements (PSAs) which guarantees a profit for foreign oil companies.[2] The industry had been completely nationalized by 1972.[8][2] The government in the 1990s, under the presidency of Saddam Hussein, gave PSAs to Russian and Chinese companies which gave a profit percentage of less than 10 percent.[2]
The central government would distribute remaining oil revenues throughout the nation on a per capita basis.[1] The draft law would allow Iraq's provinces freedom from the central government in giving exploration and production contracts.[2] Iraq's constitution allows governorates to form a semi-independent regions, fully controlling their own natural resources.[2]
The Iraq National Oil Company would have exclusive operational control of just 17 of Iraq’s 80 known oil fields. Normally countries do not have the type of exclusivity that would leave two-thirds of known and unknown fields open to foreign control. However, operational control of the fields does not mean control of the money made from them, and a percentage of the profits will be going into Iraqi tax revenue.[1][9] Iraq’s oil reserves are believed to be the second largest in the world[1] after Saudi Arabia.[10]
Journalist Pepe Escobar points to the destiny of the Iraq oil law as the crucial point determining the will of the American administrations to withdraw from the Iraq war.[11]"

Some more discussion on the subject here---


ZNet - Iraqi oil law

"The draft oil law is no doubt "re-privatizing" Iraqi oil wealth and will return Iraq to the era prior to Law 80 of 1961. Law 80 nationalized 99.5% of the Iraqi land from the IOCs and returned it to the Iraqi nation."
Sorry, it's not clear to me whether this is law now. Your links point to articles dated 2007. Bush will be gone soon and the negotiations over the proposal you mention will start anew if it is not yet Iraqi law.


I guess we would have to know the proven reserves of those fields the Iraqi's retain versus those which will be bid out to international oil companies. The Iraqi's may be keeping the lion's share for themselves and allowing the private concerns to expend their resources on smaller oil deposits. That wouldn't be out of the ordinary. I don't know that a ten percent royalty payment with no layout of expenses on the part of the Iraqis is not a bad return. I'd have to know the expected return by the private interests to better judge the proposal. At this time with the considerable risk to investment and life, I don't begrudge the oil companies negotiating for terms which will make their investment worth the risk.

I think most of the west is some sort of pluralistic democracy. Things get done when enough interest groups push in a similar direction.

There are many reasons for the invasion. Democracy in the ME being one. It satisfies those who wish Israel to feel more secure. It satisfies those who called on the world to do something about directorships like Saudi Arabia. The theory was Iraq being a secular state would take to democracy more easily and then the democracy fever would spread to other countries.

Choosing the playing field and fighting the terrorists on someone else's turf is another.

Positioning the US to secure its source of oil is another. Iran has shown that it has ambitions outside its borders. How long will it be before the Shiites decide Mecca must be liberated for the true believers?

Although not a particular reason for invading Iraq, Communist Chinese military officers who were getting full of themselves have witnessed what the US is capable of doing to a conventional army with a conventional army. I'm pretty sure the Chinese are less full of themselves these days. They might even reconsider wasting billions of yuan on useless military projects.


Nationalized businesses tend to become inefficient. Nationalized interests get bloated with employees as the government seeks to solve its problems in the easiest way it can. If the people are restless the government hires more oil workers. I prefer the business kept in private hands with the government taxing business to fund government programs.
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Old 03-06-2008, 10:27 AM   #46 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by attaboy
Although not a particular reason for invading Iraq, Communist Chinese military officers who were getting full of themselves have witnessed what the US is capable of doing to a conventional army with a conventional army. I'm pretty sure the Chinese are less full of themselves these days. They might even reconsider wasting billions of yuan on useless military projects.
you got to be joking, the only thing that the Iraq war has shown the world is how vulnerable and incompetent is the US army, despite all the expensive toys. This has become all clear to the Chinese who will proceed with the invasion of Tawain when the moment comes, with the US so battered and tired of the Iraq war, the Pentagon will just sit there and watch,
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Old 03-06-2008, 11:29 AM   #47 (permalink)
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Our military has shown the Chinese military that our troops will fight for years and are still willing to fight. They fight willingly. I wonder if the Chinese military could say the same for their troops; that they would continue on and not without intimidation. As far as vulnerable is concerned, the US military has shown itself to be very adaptive in Iraq. Incompetent? That statement is nothing more than a wind up. The rest of your post is only passing gas.
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Old 03-06-2008, 11:30 AM   #48 (permalink)
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Dont think so - Yanks could easily stop the Chinese with Air Power alone. This should be blatantly obvious from the Iraq War.
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Old 03-06-2008, 11:46 AM   #49 (permalink)
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Besides why would the mainland take Taiwan by force? The new Taiwan president is looking for stronger economic ties. The mainland can wait it out for generations. Eventually the romanticism of youth coupled with mainland sponsored propaganda will bring about a longing for union with their mainland 'brothers'.
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Old 03-06-2008, 12:24 PM   #50 (permalink)
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Butterfly works off a Talking Points sheet. It's only one page long and written in green crayon. Half the page is a stick picture of his new bicycle and dog, George.

Don't confuse him.
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Old 03-06-2008, 02:59 PM   #51 (permalink)
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This has gone way off topic, not surprising really, considering the diffuculty of sustaining a three page thread on "bushs good ideas".
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Old 03-06-2008, 03:23 PM   #52 (permalink)
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Texpat has read nothing but pentagon propaganda for 20 years, don't confuse him.
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Old 03-06-2008, 03:44 PM   #53 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by attaboy
Our military has shown the Chinese military that our troops will fight for years and are still willing to fight.
Not without oil and a huge debt in USD that the Chinese hold. You are super screwed, and since you live in lala land, you can't even grasp the ramifications of that reality.

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Originally Posted by attaboy
As far as vulnerable is concerned, the US military has shown itself to be very adaptive in Iraq. Incompetent? That statement is nothing more than a wind up. The rest of your post is only passing gas.
Adaptive ? they are getting hammered, question of time before they leave Saigon style. You need to wake up, atta, you are seriously delusional.
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Old 03-06-2008, 05:33 PM   #54 (permalink)
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The only thing that springs to mind is his attempt to create a temporary work permit program
but the inherent divisive nature of rovian strategy left him with no allies on either side of the aisle...so this too failed.

bush accomplished little more than bankrupting the country and destroying what was left of its reputation.
god bless america
.... and everyone else.
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Old 03-06-2008, 09:04 PM   #55 (permalink)
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Hammered? Surely Butterfy you are in a fantasy world mate - leading cause of yanks deaths are IED. 4K is small % considering how many those nutty fanatics have lost.

As far China, easy to say fk off when they want to be paid, not mention seize all their assets in yankland including bank accounts. China needs yanks to buy their products.
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Old 04-06-2008, 12:48 AM   #56 (permalink)
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Our military has shown the Chinese military that our troops will fight for years and are still willing to fight.
Not without oil and a huge debt in USD that the Chinese hold. You are super screwed, and since you live in lala land, you can't even grasp the ramifications of that reality.

Quote:
Originally Posted by attaboy
As far as vulnerable is concerned, the US military has shown itself to be very adaptive in Iraq. Incompetent? That statement is nothing more than a wind up. The rest of your post is only passing gas.
Adaptive ? they are getting hammered, question of time before they leave Saigon style. You need to wake up, atta, you are seriously delusional.
I don't care how you word it, Butters, China and USA have an equal strangle hold on each other. The Chinese aren't stupid they are developing other markets as fast as they can. The USA will be on the forefront of green technoloy and we will have the Global Warming Cult and Gaia worshiping sheep of the world pushing it on the rest of the world. You're all for that aren't you?

But go on Butters, continue to underestimate the Yankee Trader. People have been doing it for centuries. Keep forecasting our doom. Someday while people are flying to Mars someone will equate you to Nostradamus.


The USA is getting hammered? Sadr City will be under full Iraqi government control soon. It's getting so that time is no longer on your side BF. If the next president stays and finishes our commitment to the Iraqis, our allies and to ourselves what will the cost be to USA GDP growth? A few percent? The cost of the Senate bill reducing carbon emissions is expected to cost 7% of GDP by 2050, but the economy is expected to expand by 215% by then. So the fear mongering that our strength is being sapped should be rejected.

You have a personal agenda so everything you post should be seen as coming from it. It's difficult to view your posts at face value. You desire a weak US military. Your posts are skewed by this prejudice.

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Old 09-06-2008, 04:33 PM   #57 (permalink)
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All this talk about USA could whip China in a conventional war if it wanted to is just typical chest beating. Both countries are armed to the teeth with nukes, so no chance of a fight to the death there. Especially without any good reason for either side.
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Old 13-06-2008, 12:29 PM   #58 (permalink)
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