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Old 09-06-2008, 12:40 PM   #1341 (permalink)
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[quote=floorpotato;652452]
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Who will be both candidates' VP?
It would be interesting if the Democrat Obama chooses Chuck Hagel (R-Nebraska) and the Republican McCain chooses Joseph Lieberman (D-Israel), with each vice presidential candidate being from the opposing party. It's not as far fetched as it seems, since both candidates are looking to bring in that huge pool of disaffected independent voters. Except for his anti-war and pro-privacy positions, the war hero Hagel is a younger, smarter and more charismatic version of McCain. Based on that psychology alone, Hagel would be a great choice for Obama.
Good point, FP.

Like I said before, I really like Chuck Hagel. But I am doubtful.

Yes, there is a huge pool of independents and I think both BO and JM will pick their VP choice carefully to attract them, symbolically.
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Old 09-06-2008, 12:48 PM   #1342 (permalink)
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Obama still has his work cut out for himself trying to attract the Hilary dem voters, the blue collar whites, older whites, those with less education, and hispanics.

I tend to think his VP choice would have to focus on this first, rather than the independents. But, he would be a fool to pick Hilary and let her and Bill rum amok in the White house with their all night pizza parties with all their friends, etc..

Kennedy did pick Johnson for VP, in spite of his hatred for the man, but he severely limited his influence. I don't see how Obama could contain the Clinton duo.

So, Obama will have to find someone who can bring in the Hilary voters. And, it will most assuredly NOT be a woman, as any woman choice would be instantly loudly protested by the Hilary supporters as to why he didn't pick her.

This VP process will in a long haul. I don't expect any pick until the Demo convention.
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Old 09-06-2008, 01:14 PM   #1343 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by raycarey
every possible VP (and his/her spouse) will undergo an exhaustive vetting process before getting the nod. there's no way bill clinton is going to allow that...the conventional wisdom is that the donor list to his library is full of problems.
huge point, raymond. it'll never happen and it will be hc/bc who will stop the process assuming obama plays his cards well and i think he will.
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Old 09-06-2008, 01:52 PM   #1344 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by FayeQuarry
So, Obama will have to find someone who can bring in the Hilary voters. And, it will most assuredly NOT be a woman, as any woman choice would be instantly loudly protested by the Hilary supporters as to why he didn't pick her.
Can he technically take Bill Clinton as VP ?
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Old 09-06-2008, 02:02 PM   #1345 (permalink)
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^Wouldn't that be a hoot! He can pick you if he wants. Point is, the Clinton era is over, and he will put it to bed hopefully. Though he will probably have to give her a cabinet position or something. My guess is he will make a deal to give her Secretary of Health and let her run the health care reform, which is her pet project. She may consider herself too high and mighty for that though.
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Old 09-06-2008, 05:35 PM   #1346 (permalink)
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^ and ^^,

Yes, technically, Bill Clinton could be the VP, but it won't be the case.
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Old 09-06-2008, 05:59 PM   #1347 (permalink)
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Quote:
Q:
Could former President Bill Clinton be vice president?

A:
Probably not, but it's an untested constitutional conundrum.
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The original Constitution had no requirements for the office of vice president. However, the 12th Amendment, ratified in 1804, said that, "no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States."

So that would mean that a vice president would have to meet the requirements to be president laid out in Article II of the Constitution. Principally, the person would have to be born in the United States, be at least 35 years of age and have been a resident of this country for the preceding 14 years. So far, so good. Maybe a former president, like Bill Clinton, could serve as vice president.

However, the 22nd Amendment, ratified in 1951, said:
22nd Amendment: No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of President more than once.
So this sets up the conundrum. The 22nd Amendment says that Clinton can clearly not "be elected" to the presidency. And the 12th Amendment says that no one can become vice president if they are "ineligible to the office of the presidency."

Clinton has been elected to the presidency twice. So he can no longer be "elected" to the presidency, according to the language of the 22nd Amendment. Does that mean he is "constitutionally ineligible" to serve as president, to use the language of the 12th Amendment? If so, he could not serve as vice president. But finding out would certainly make for an interesting Supreme Court case.
FactCheck.org: Could former President Bill Clinton be vice president?



but of course obama would never choose him....perhaps in a second term he could be sec. of state or ambassador to the UN, but that's it.
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Old 11-06-2008, 07:49 AM   #1348 (permalink)
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^ Nah. Clinton has too much baggage. Leave him loose on the monied lecture circuit.
I still like Bill Richardson, he won't steal Obama's limelight and he has great experience. But, McCain will win anyway, so why bother speculating about BO's veep. Nobody in America wants a government-run economy.
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Old 11-06-2008, 08:54 AM   #1349 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Jet Gorgon View Post
^ Nah. Clinton has too much baggage. Leave him loose on the monied lecture circuit.
I still like Bill Richardson, he won't steal Obama's limelight and he has great experience. But, McCain will win anyway, so why bother speculating about BO's veep. Nobody in America wants a government-run economy.
We don't know if McCain will win or not at this point. The polling data is too close, and the election is too far away. 5 months is a long time in Presidential election politics.

As for goverment-run economy - it already is.

Entitlements are just over 50% of the budget and this will increase as 78 million baby boomers are now hitting SS as of January 1, 2008.
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Old 11-06-2008, 09:22 AM   #1350 (permalink)
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^ Disagree, MM. America has and is unlikely to ever be a gov-run economy. Of course, businesses are what make the country and their taxes pay for social services. The gov does not generate its own revenue -- its funds come from taxes and borrowings from Treasuries.
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Old 11-06-2008, 09:31 AM   #1351 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Jet Gorgon View Post
^ Disagree, MM. America has and is unlikely to ever be a gov-run economy. Of course, businesses are what make the country and their taxes pay for social services. The gov does not generate its own revenue -- its funds come from taxes and borrowings from Treasuries.
I see your point and agree on the basics, but we need to realize a large part of the US economy involves taking money from taxpayers, and giving it to large corporations, that hire employees. These companies produce good and sell them back the US government and foreign countries.

Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Northrup-Grumman, United Technologies, Boeing, and others.

The Military-Industrial Complex.

The SS and Medicare train crash began in earnest on January 1, 2008.

I have a brief Youtube of former GAO David Walker, here in US domestic. You can find it by searching, if you care.

It's all in the math.
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Old 11-06-2008, 09:46 AM   #1352 (permalink)
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^ True. Govt contracts, especially in the defence industry, do contribute to these businesses' bottom lines, but the contracts are not highly lucrative (compared to private contracts) and are iffy; if the Obama gets in, defence spending will drop.
Thanks, MM. Found the GAO link. A pity it's 2005, when interest rates were higher. I notice that the breakdown of spending thru to 2040 shows interest payments account for the biggest chunk. This should differ today. As medicare takes a bigger chunk, how will Obama pay for the spread to cover almost everyone?



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Old 11-06-2008, 09:54 AM   #1353 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jet Gorgon
Nobody in America wants a government-run economy.
Interesting comment Jettie. The vast majority seem to be looking to Uncle Sam to fix the failing economy. Lower our fuel prices, bail me out of this nasty mortgage situation, we want more jobs, lower interest rates, lower medical costs, take care of me in my old age, balance the budget but don't raise my taxes.

A tall order for Uncle Sam I would say given "nobody in America wants a government run economy"!
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Old 11-06-2008, 09:58 AM   #1354 (permalink)
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Add to that the fiscal mess left by the Bush administration and, short of drastically cutting government expenditure, I don't see what other choice the government has- regardless of who gets in.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:30 AM   #1355 (permalink)
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Norty, if Uncle Obama gets in, he will raise taxes to look after all the people in "need" and will PO alot of the doers who already pay tax. Fek, the ne'er do wells will applaud the move coz the lazy feks probably never paid taxes in their life. The Dems will cut all that spending on military stuff (look at it in relative terms, not as high as other costs) to try to offset the deficit. Sure, the baby-boomers will demand their share of care monies. Where will the funds come from? Higher taxes. America as a new Swedish-style economy? I don't think so.
America was built on capitalist ideals. The brilliant developers and innovators will move to Mexico so they can build on their ideas and make money, paying their employees better wages with lower taxes.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:44 AM   #1356 (permalink)
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^Jet good points. We could see America become as Europe has, with the productive business people becoming tax exiles and other nonsense. I hope an Obaman administration wouldn't come to that.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:48 AM   #1357 (permalink)
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It's electioneering time, and predictable that Republicans will push the 'Democrats will tax and spend' mantra. The problem is that the last four administrations show this to be an obvious myth in modern history- the Clinton administration did not tax and spend, indeed it scores sound marks economically. The Bush administration tax cuts landed a windfall to the rich, but the increase in social welfare costs negated and sometimes exceeded the benefits for the majority of the population.

Plus in a remarkable turnaround, eight years of Bush turned the worlds largest creditor nation into the worlds largest debtor. I am confident a more moderate Republican administration wouldn't be such a basket case, but I doubt this rather tired economic mantra will score points with the majority of voters today. Not only are they living with the reality of the current economic situation, but they also face the reality of a government that is effectively being kept afloat by the Chinese and Japs, and a currency that has turned from strong under Clinton to a virtual basket case now.

The Democrats will not miss pointing out these obvious facts in their campaign, in fact I'm surprised they are not pushing it harder. Prolly not a good idea to laud Bill though while Hillary was still in the running.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:53 AM   #1358 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jet Gorgon
Where will the funds come from? Higher taxes.
The Wall Street capitalists, poor and middle class all want the government to fix the economy. This is a fact. The American public and businesses have long been bailed out and coddled by the government and are now addicted. To say nobody wants the economy to be run by the government is to deny it has been and will continue to be the status quo. It doesn't matter who gets in, higher taxes are inevitable.
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Old 11-06-2008, 11:18 AM   #1359 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jet Gorgon
he will raise taxes to look after all the people in "need"
Like Bear Sterns, Halliburton and so on. This is probably not a major electoral point outside of the financial sector and the economically savvy, but for the first time in history that I am aware, the Bush administration degraded the credit quality of the Federal Reserve.


"Obama noted that investors including Warren Buffet have indicated that a capital gains tax rate of as much as 20 percent ``will probably not have any significant impact in terms of investment.''

At the same time, Obama stressed that the middle class is in desperate need of tax relief because of escalating costs and stagnant wages.

``Over the last decade or so, up to three-quarters of economic growth in the U.S. was captured by the top 1 percent,'' he said. ``What we are trying to do is restore some balance and put some money in the pockets of working families and consumers.'' "

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide=

It seems to me that the Rep's are pushing the interests of the top 1-5% of the wealth tree at the expense of the rest. The Middle class however remains the engine of the economy, both through it's tax revenue, and consumption. They should be getting a fairer deal from their government.
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Old 11-06-2008, 11:20 AM   #1360 (permalink)
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^Yes. In that respect, if Obama adopts some of the policies McCain has advocated, he would be on the right track.

I just hope he's not too out of touch with what really drives growth in an economy.
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