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Rattanaburi · 27-09-2009, 08:29 AM

Satellite for SEA. This is updating from the net so what you see, should be a pic of the present.

http://aviationweather.gov/data/obs/..._ICAO-E_bw.jpg

Some other weather links that were posted by happyman on another thread...

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) for long-range forecasts of hurricane, typhoon and cyclone worldwide

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/re.../xxirmet5n.GIF

mackayae · 27-09-2009, 09:18 AM

So that's why we are getting so much rain in Isaan with more to come. Good info.

Rattanaburi · 27-09-2009, 10:29 AM

Here's one of happyman's links live. Hopefully it updates.

kingwilly · 27-09-2009, 10:31 AM

Crap, I'm flying to Sulewesi today,looks like loads of rain...

Tom Sawyer · 27-09-2009, 11:41 AM

What's the trajectory after landfall over VN? Issan for sure, I guess. Will it make it as far as Central Thailand?

Rattanaburi · 27-09-2009, 04:46 PM

Looks pretty darn menacing. Seems to be going west but BBC was saying southern China this morning; the remnants usually end up in Northeastern Thailand a lot fo the time. This time it looks like Vietnam is going to get a good washing down.

Tom Sawyer · 27-09-2009, 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rattanaburi

Looks pretty darn menacing. Seems to be going west but BBC was saying southern China this morning; the remnants usually end up in Northeastern Thailand a lot fo the time. This time it looks like Vietnam is going to get a good washing down.

Thanks Rattanaburi - that was a really useful thread.. The kind of original info that is vital to many in travel..

StrontiumDog · 28-09-2009, 03:51 AM

Ketsana will make typhoon strength, maybe category 2, before landfall. It will still be a rapidly dissipating tropical depression by the time it arrives in Isaan. This according to the JTWC. I'd expect a buttload of rain. It has unusually high cloud tops over a large area (which caused the flooding in the Philippines). I've been watching its development over the last week.

Tropical depression 18 and another (likely to be tropical depression 19) are heading towards the Philippines now. Tropical depression 18 is highly likely to be at typhoon strength before it makes landfall there.

The end result is, I'd expect the Philippines to have more serious flooding...and north eastern Thailand is odds on to experience at least 2 more bouts of unpleasant torrential periods of prolonged rainfall. Lots of flooding over the next 10 days or so is very likely....and there's still quite a while until things should start to calm down. This can all change of course.

Rattanaburi · 28-09-2009, 12:43 PM

Great detail, StrontiumDog. Keep us up to date if you find anything interesting.

StrontiumDog · 29-09-2009, 02:46 AM

Latest is Ketsana is now a typhoon and just off the Vietnam coast. Will achieve cat 2 before landfall I think.

The projected track is the same. Isaan should experience a remnant low/tropical depression. It wont be as windy, but such events can still produce a lot of rain. On a positive note, as an eye wall has formed, some of the intense far reaching cloud mass has lessened.

Tropical depression 18 looks like it will hit the Philippines as a typhoon. The newly formed tropical depression 19 looks to be tracking north at the moment, avoiding land. This could of course change, they are near each other and may interact to a degree.

Rattanaburi · 29-09-2009, 05:42 PM

Quote:

some of the intense far reaching cloud mass has lessened

It sure doesn't look like it from the sat pic.

lom · 29-09-2009, 05:52 PM

Hmm, that fukker is getting closer, it is quite windy at Samui right now.

StrontiumDog · 30-09-2009, 04:17 AM

It's rather cool and a little windy in Bangkok. I think Samui will get more rain than here, a large band of clouds headed into the gulf earlier. Looks like Isaan got a fair bit of rain though.

Ketsana has all but dissipated, the JTWC has issued its final warning.

Going to be cloudy and wet tomorrow, but the worst has passed.

Rattanaburi · 30-09-2009, 08:22 AM

Well, looks like its faded away; it's lost its form anyways.

StrontiumDog · 30-09-2009, 12:52 PM

Yeah, just cloud here. No idea how things went in the north/north-east, but no rain here.

Norton · 30-09-2009, 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StrontiumDog

No idea how things went in the north/north-east, but no rain here.

Steady rain here in Roiet for the last 12 hours. Not much wind. Rain is steady but not super heavy yet. Expect heavier rain in late afternoon and this evening if the Typhoon continues on it's current path.

The Fresh Prince · 30-09-2009, 01:26 PM

So from what I've just seen on the map, does it mean that its now only a Tropical Storm that's going to skim past Bangkok?

Norton · 30-09-2009, 05:10 PM

^Seems so. Looks like center will be in Isaan.

The Fresh Prince · 30-09-2009, 05:16 PM

Sweet! I hope so. I've not sorted out my drain problem yet.

baldrick · 30-09-2009, 06:02 PM

^ 2 sandbags

normally after they calm down to a tropical rain depression they dump a shitload over a wide area.

is the rain coming to BKK ?

27-09-2009, 08:29 AM	#1 (permalink)
Rattanaburi Thailand Expat Last Online: 12-11-2009 12:42 PM Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,962	Weather Sat for SEA Satellite for SEA. This is updating from the net so what you see, should be a pic of the present. http://aviationweather.gov/data/obs/..._ICAO-E_bw.jpg Some other weather links that were posted by happyman on another thread... Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) for long-range forecasts of hurricane, typhoon and cyclone worldwide http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/re.../xxirmet5n.GIF

28-09-2009, 03:51 AM	#8 (permalink)
StrontiumDog Thailand Expat Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 2,607	Ketsana will make typhoon strength, maybe category 2, before landfall. It will still be a rapidly dissipating tropical depression by the time it arrives in Isaan. This according to the JTWC. I'd expect a buttload of rain. It has unusually high cloud tops over a large area (which caused the flooding in the Philippines). I've been watching its development over the last week. Tropical depression 18 and another (likely to be tropical depression 19) are heading towards the Philippines now. Tropical depression 18 is highly likely to be at typhoon strength before it makes landfall there. The end result is, I'd expect the Philippines to have more serious flooding...and north eastern Thailand is odds on to experience at least 2 more bouts of unpleasant torrential periods of prolonged rainfall. Lots of flooding over the next 10 days or so is very likely....and there's still quite a while until things should start to calm down. This can all change of course. __________________ Eat plutonium death, mutant scum...

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27-09-2009, 09:18 AM	#2 (permalink)
mackayae Rayong Last Online: Today 02:42 PM Join Date: May 2007 Location: Udon Posts: 212	So that's why we are getting so much rain in Isaan with more to come. Good info.

27-09-2009, 10:29 AM	#3 (permalink)
Rattanaburi Thailand Expat Last Online: 12-11-2009 12:42 PM Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,962	Here's one of happyman's links live. Hopefully it updates.

27-09-2009, 10:31 AM	#4 (permalink)
kingwilly Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 33,758	Crap, I'm flying to Sulewesi today,looks like loads of rain...

27-09-2009, 11:41 AM	#5 (permalink)
Tom Sawyer Rayong Last Online: Yesterday 10:22 PM Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 211	What's the trajectory after landfall over VN? Issan for sure, I guess. Will it make it as far as Central Thailand?

27-09-2009, 04:46 PM	#6 (permalink)
Rattanaburi Thailand Expat Last Online: 12-11-2009 12:42 PM Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,962	Looks pretty darn menacing. Seems to be going west but BBC was saying southern China this morning; the remnants usually end up in Northeastern Thailand a lot fo the time. This time it looks like Vietnam is going to get a good washing down.

28-09-2009, 12:43 PM	#9 (permalink)
Rattanaburi Thailand Expat Last Online: 12-11-2009 12:42 PM Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,962	Great detail, StrontiumDog. Keep us up to date if you find anything interesting.

29-09-2009, 02:46 AM	#10 (permalink)
StrontiumDog Thailand Expat Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 2,607	Latest is Ketsana is now a typhoon and just off the Vietnam coast. Will achieve cat 2 before landfall I think. The projected track is the same. Isaan should experience a remnant low/tropical depression. It wont be as windy, but such events can still produce a lot of rain. On a positive note, as an eye wall has formed, some of the intense far reaching cloud mass has lessened. Tropical depression 18 looks like it will hit the Philippines as a typhoon. The newly formed tropical depression 19 looks to be tracking north at the moment, avoiding land. This could of course change, they are near each other and may interact to a degree.

29-09-2009, 05:52 PM	#12 (permalink)
lom #&§~ Last Online: Today 04:14 PM Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dark side of the room Posts: 5,161	Hmm, that fukker is getting closer, it is quite windy at Samui right now.

30-09-2009, 04:17 AM	#13 (permalink)
StrontiumDog Thailand Expat Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 2,607	It's rather cool and a little windy in Bangkok. I think Samui will get more rain than here, a large band of clouds headed into the gulf earlier. Looks like Isaan got a fair bit of rain though. Ketsana has all but dissipated, the JTWC has issued its final warning. Going to be cloudy and wet tomorrow, but the worst has passed.

30-09-2009, 08:22 AM	#14 (permalink)
Rattanaburi Thailand Expat Last Online: 12-11-2009 12:42 PM Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,962	Well, looks like its faded away; it's lost its form anyways.

30-09-2009, 12:52 PM	#15 (permalink)
StrontiumDog Thailand Expat Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 2,607	Yeah, just cloud here. No idea how things went in the north/north-east, but no rain here.

30-09-2009, 01:26 PM	#17 (permalink)
The Fresh Prince Sprayed On Member Last Online: 21-11-2009 05:02 PM Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Not in the willage Posts: 4,668	So from what I've just seen on the map, does it mean that its now only a Tropical Storm that's going to skim past Bangkok?

30-09-2009, 05:10 PM	#18 (permalink)
Norton Days Work Done! Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Roiet Posts: 11,548	^Seems so. Looks like center will be in Isaan.

30-09-2009, 05:16 PM	#19 (permalink)
The Fresh Prince Sprayed On Member Last Online: 21-11-2009 05:02 PM Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Not in the willage Posts: 4,668	Sweet! I hope so. I've not sorted out my drain problem yet.

30-09-2009, 06:02 PM	#20 (permalink)
baldrick BkkAndrw rapes passengers Last Online: Today 03:25 PM Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Lord Black Adders gutter Posts: 5,005	^ 2 sandbags normally after they calm down to a tropical rain depression they dump a shitload over a wide area. is the rain coming to BKK ?

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