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  1. #151
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chico View Post
    Snub do you know the russians make parts for your Tesla,careful sweety they may have your Fantasy car bugged........
    Put up the link. not the one to snubs meme..

  2. #152
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    family makes political ad so that voters don't re-elect their brother to congress....


  3. #153
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    Close family then.


  4. #154
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    Republicans Alienating Women Voters Ahead of Midterms With Kavanaugh Debacle, Analysts Warn


    As many top Republicans stand-by and defend Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh in the face of several allegations of sexual assault, analyst have warned they will see a backlash, particularly from women, during the upcoming midterm elections.

    “The emotions surrounding this have been extremely high, and most Republicans are on record already showing they wanted to go forward with a vote. Those things can’t be walked back,” Grant Reeher, a professor of political science at Syracuse University’s Maxwell School told The Hill for an article published Saturday.

    Reeher said he doubts Senator Jeff Flake’s (R-Arizona) last-minute push for an FBI investigation will be enough to placate angry voters.

    “Women are not going to forget what happened yesterday – they are not going to forget it tomorrow and not in November,” Karine Jean-Pierre, a senior adviser and national spokeswoman for the progressive group MoveOn said on Friday, according to the Washington, D.C. newspaper.

    On Friday morning, protestors chanted “November is coming!” as they demonstrated in the hallway of the Senate as the Republicans controlling the Judiciary Committee chose to move forward with Kavanaugh’s nomination despite the testimony of Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, Mic reported.

    “Democratic enthusiasm and motivation is going to be off the chart,” Stu Rothenberg, a nonpartisan political analyst, told the news site. “People are saying it’s already been high; that’s true. But it could be higher, particularly among swing women voters in the suburbs and younger voters, 18- to 29-year-olds, who while they don’t like the president, often don’t vote.”

    Even before Ford’s public testimony detailing her allegations of sexual assault against the Supreme Court nominee, analysts suggested a backlash could follow if Republicans pushed forward with the confirmation.

    “This has become a muddled mess for the GOP,” said Michael Steele, former chairman of the Republican National Committee, early last week, according to NBC News.

    “It’s just not about the committee vote or the final vote or whether Kavanaugh is put on the bench, it’s also about the way Republicans have handled this and how they have treated her,” Guy Cecil, director of Priorities USA, a group that helps to elect Democrats, pointed out to the news channel.

    However, Americans appear to be somewhat split over who to believe in the wake of Ford’s and Kavanaugh’s testimonies, with slightly more siding with the latter. A new poll from YouGov shows that 41 percent of respondents definitely or probably believed Ford’s testimony, while 35 percent said they definitely or probably believed Kavanaugh. Additionally, 38 percent said they thought Kavanaugh has probably or definitely lied during his testimony, while just 30 percent said the same about Ford.

    After the push from Flake, the FBI is currently investigating the allegations brought forward by Ford as well as at least one other accuser, Deborah Ramirez, The Guardian reported. Ford testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee under oath last week that Kavanaugh drunkenly assaulted her at the age of 17. Ramirez alleges that the Supreme Court nominee exposed his genitals to her while they attended a party during their time studying at Yale in the 1980s.

    https://www.newsweek.com/republicans...alysts-1145326

  5. #155
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    IMO, this is the best ad of the cycle so far...






    btw, it was directed by richard linklater

  6. #156
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    'We’ve never seen anything like this': GOP overwhelmed by Democratic cash

    https://www.politico.com/story/2018/...esponse-898162

  7. #157
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    cruz is probably going to win, but i'm really enjoying these linklater ads...


  8. #158
    Thailand Expat tomcat's Avatar
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    ...c'mon...Ted...

  9. #159
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    US midterm elections: Your guide to what to look for as the USA goes to the polls




    Key points


    • The US midterms will determine how easily Donald Trump can push his policy agenda
    • The midterms are seen as a referendum on Mr Trump and the direction of the country
    • Issues like healthcare, immigration, and reproductive rights will drive voters to the polls






    Five close races to watch


    • Florida's 26th district (House) - Republican held district that overwhelmingly supported Hillary Clinton in 2016
    • Texas (Senate) - MrTrump's nemesis turn ally Ted Cruz faces stiff opposition from three-time congressman Beto O'Rourke in the traditionally Republican state
    • North Dakota (Senate) - DemocratHeidi Heitkamp faces a difficult challenge in a state Mr Trump won by double digits in 2016
    • Texas' 23rd district (House) - Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones is trying to become first woman to represent district in a seat held by Republicans by just 1.3 per cent in 2016
    • Maine's 2nd district - 102 years since an incumbent has been toppled, but strong state Democrat Jared Golden could change history






    Why do midterms matter?

    They matter because whichever party controls Congress control the passage of laws.
    Basically, if the Democrats win big, Mr Trump's right-wing agenda would be hampered and he would struggle to enact his desired tax cuts, immigration restrictions, and anti-abortion policies.
    But, if the Republicans hold onto both houses, it would embolden the 45th President.





    Outside of Congress, the races for Governor also have an underlying importance.

    Governors will be in control of drawing electoral district maps following the 2020 US Census.
    Sitting governors will be able to manipulate district lines to align with their voter bases — a process known as 'gerrymandering' — which would provide crucial advantages to their party in every state and national election until the 2030 US Census.


    More? Search ABC your-guide-to-the-united-states-midterms/10383492
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    Our fingerprints never fade from the lives we touch

  10. #160
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    It is looking increasingly likely that the Democrats will take the house by a large margin but that the GOP will just hold on to the senate. The Dems will also make good inroads picking up several governorship's as well. That is the conservative take on it. This is shaping up to be a high turnout election and historically the GOP does poorly when there is a large turnout. This is why they are so actively engaged in voter suppression.

    Here is some of the most accurate data out there by Nate Silver and the 538 crew;

    House

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo

    Senate

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header

    Governors

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header

  11. #161
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    Well it is on. We are hours away from the polls opening on the east coast. Look to Florida as an early bellwether. Gonna be a hell of ride in the morning. The links in the thread above have been updated multiple times a day and are the most comprehensive to look to those for how things may go...

    A staggering 36 million people have voted early, setting the stage for big midterm turnout


    A staggering 36 million voters cast their ballots ahead of Election Day this year, setting the stage for much-higher-than-usual turnout for a midterm — and, potentially, big surprises on Tuesday night.

    Republican enthusiasm for President Donald Trump and Democrats’ itch to repudiate him at the ballot box have driven people to the polls far faster than in 2014, when 27.2 million people voted early, according to Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor who tracks voter turnout.

    And that trend is expected to extend into Election Day. Early voters in three states — Texas, Nevada and Arizona — have already surpassed total turnout in the last midterm election, McDonald’s data shows, and more states will blow past their normal non-presidential turnout with just a handful more votes on Election Day. The high voting rates have transformed expectations about who will show up in the midterms — and they could inspire results that diverge from any pre-election polls that did not reckon with this year’s unusually high enthusiasm.

    “This is not a normal election,” McDonald told POLITICO. “The best guess is that we’re looking at some sort of hybrid midterm/presidential election” in terms of turnout.

    McDonald predicted that by the time all of the early votes are compiled, every state could surpass its 2014 totals. Tom Bonier, CEO of the Democratic data firm TargetSmart, projected that early voting could surpass 40 million when all the ballots are received.

    Analysts cautioned against drawing broad conclusions about which party could gain an advantage from the high early vote totals. But they did note that pre-election polls make built-in assumptions about how many people will vote, and pollsters who leaned too heavily on past midterm turnout may have misfired.

    McDonald and the team at Edison Media Research, which is conducting a revamped exit poll this election after stumbling in 2016, predict that 105.5 million people will vote this year — about 45 percent of the voting eligible population. That’s up from 2014, an unusually low-turnout year in which fewer than 82 million people voted for the highest office on their ballot, but still lower than 2016, when about 137 million people voted for president.

    “I think we’ve all made a very safe assumption that 2018 will look nothing like 2014,” Bonier said, noting that underestimating certain demographics by even a few percentage points in a poll could have an outsized effects on the results.

    Some pollsters, like Monmouth University and the New York Times/Siena College, have adjusted this year by publishing multiple results for each poll, detailing how the results would change under different turnout scenarios. And the baseline estimates have gone up in recent weeks: The first Times/Siena poll of Rep. Pete Sessions’ (R-Texas) contested reelection race, for example, projected that about 194,000 people would turn out, while the second poll projected 211,000 voters would cast ballots in that slice of the Dallas suburbs.

    Over 188,000 voters have already cast early ballots in the Dallas County portion of the battleground district, according to county data. (Another 7 percent of the district’s population is in another county that has not published early vote totals by congressional seat.)
    Higher-than-expected turnout helped Democrats in some but not all of the Times/Siena polling models.

    Mara Suttmann, a professor of government at Connecticut College, noted that it’s hard to predict which party will benefit from early voting because many voters would have voted whether or not early voting was an option — “cannibalizing” the Election Day vote instead of adding many new voters to the electorate.

    Bonier noted that there has been in a surge in non-usual voters, including young people and people voting for the first time, which could favor Democrats. But even this does not guarantee electoral success for Democrats on Tuesday.

    “The open question that won’t be answered until [results are in]: Do those early vote trends carry on through Election Day?” Bonier asked. “Or are they reversed? In 2016, in a lot of cases, they were reversed. I don’t think you can bet one way or another at this point.”

    These low-propensity voters still make up a proportionally small portion of both the early voter electorate and the expected overall electorate. Data from TargetSmart shows that early voters younger than 39 are still easily outnumbered by voters aged 50-64, and even more so by voters over the age of 65.

    And even in states where Democrats lead Republicans in early ballots cast — like Florida, where there’s a tight gubernatorial and Senate election — the election is still far from over.

    “We know Election Day is going to come in strong for the Republicans,” McDonald said. “That’s a very traditional thing in most states that have early voting options.”

    And there’s still a likely majority of votes to be cast on Election Day.

    “We may see another 60 million votes cast [on Election Day]. Most people who will have ended up voting in this election have still not voted,” Bonier said. “In the end, what happens on Election Day turnout will, to some extent, swamp what happened in the early vote.”

    https://www.politico.com/story/2018/...idterms-963149

  12. #162
    Thailand Expat tomcat's Avatar
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    ...I don't think I can weather another shock on the order of 2016...the Dems had better do something...

  13. #163
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tomcat View Post
    ...I don't think I can weather another shock on the order of 2016...the Dems had better do something...

    agreed.

    AFAIC, worst case scenario would be a 2016 presidential election redux......dem house candidates get a few million more votes than republicans but don't flip enough seats in the house due to gerrymandering.

  14. #164
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    ^^ I would not be too worried. The polls on the east coast open in 13 minutes. The high turnout bodes well for us and the fact that Andrew Gilliam is money in the bank in Florida. He has ran rings around DeSantis every time they have met in public. Gilliam may just deliver the Senate race there as well. We shall know soon enough.

  15. #165
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bsnub View Post
    Andrew Gilliam is money in the bank in Florida.
    hope you're right, but there are loads of racists in florida who will go out of their way to vote against him.

  16. #166
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  17. #167
    disturbance in the Turnip baldrick's Avatar
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    Malagasy Presidential election is tomorrow - if of course you were interested

  18. #168
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    Quote Originally Posted by baldrick View Post
    Malagasy Presidential election is tomorrow
    There are 36 candidates in the race, including four of the five most recent Presidents of Madagascar

  19. #169
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  20. #170
    Thailand Expat raycarey's Avatar
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    jump to 8:00 to see ted cruz suddenly regret talking to triumph...he's thinks he got in a good dig, but ends up getting destroyed...


  21. #171
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    One outcome apart from the millions spent on ads bunting posters and silly hats is America is more divided by race by class by newcomers versus later arrivals.

    Seems little vision on how to heal and make a better America in harmony with other nations in a better environment.

    A failed democracy is of course great news for the bloody tyrants demagogues unelected heads of state that comprise so much of Asia
    Last edited by david44; 06-11-2018 at 08:52 PM.
    I used to have a job at a calendar factory.
    I got the sack because
    I took a couple of days off.

  22. #172
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    Who's winning?

  23. #173
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    Quote Originally Posted by harrybarracuda View Post
    Who's winning?
    As if the result will make any difference. Just more crying.

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  24. #174
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    Foxconn May Bring Chinese Workers To Its New Wisconsin Facility

    "Back in the summer of 2017, to much fanfare President Donald Trump announced that Taiwanese electronics giant Foxconn, best known for making the iPhone, would build a new plant producing LCD panels in Wisconsin that will "bring thousands of jobs to the state."

    On the surface it was great deal: in what's being called the "largest economic development project in state history", Foxconn said it would build a $10 billion plant that will eventually employ as many as 13,000 people, the White House and Gov. Scott Walker promised. To be sure, it was a quid pro quo: to help lure the manufacturer, the state pledged $3 billion in tax and other “performance-based” incentives and local authorities added $764 million. Foxconn must meet hiring, wage and investment targets by various dates to receive most of those benefits.

    And while many - including this site - accused the project of being a giant taxpayer-funded boondoggle, calculating that every job created would cost some $230,000 in incentives, a little over a year later and even more disturbing "glitch" in the plan has emerged: according to the WSJ, instead of hiring local talent, Foxconn is considering bringing in personnel from China "to help staff the large facility under construction in southern Wisconsin as it struggles to find engineers and other workers in one of the tightest labor markets in the U.S."

    According to the report, the company has been quietly trying to tap Chinese engineers through internal transfers to supplement staffing for the Wisconsin plant.

    And while Foxconn did promise that it would invest $10 billion to build a 22-million-square-foot liquid-crystal display panel plant, hiring 13,000 employees - primarily factory workers along with some engineers and business support positions - it apparently never specified if the workers hired would be American... or Chinese."

    More here:

    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-...onsin-facility

    Such irony.
    A tray full of GOLD is not worth a moment in time.

  25. #175
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    "All I know is that I went to the grocery this morning, and the ATM/debit-card machine said my bill was $35.62, but before I could pay it automatically changed to "Hillary Clinton".

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