1. #16026
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    So an open question. Will Drumpf exempt his and his daughter Ivanka's products that are made in China? All his hats, ties and the flags at his rallies are made in China. All the clothes in Ivanka's clothing line are made in China. So will he put tariffs on himself and his family?

    After all he has said that his next step is to tariff $550 billion in Chinese goods. That is more than the US imports annually.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bsnub View Post
    So an open question. Will Drumpf exempt his and his daughter Ivanka's products that are made in China? All his hats, ties and the flags at his rallies are made in China. All the clothes in Ivanka's clothing line are made in China. So will he put tariffs on himself and his family?
    He might find those products attract some kind of tariff and additional red tape from the Chinese not to mention the brands Ivanka registered.
    They have ways of making life difficult.

  3. #16028
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cujo View Post
    They have ways of making life difficult.
    I sure hope so.

    That said...




  4. #16029
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    Quote Originally Posted by mark45y View Post
    Dems blast booming jobs report, Trump worker agenda, ‘reckless'


    Democrats saw nothing positive in the new June jobs report that highlighted 213,000 new jobs added.
    Instead, the Democratic Party issued a statement criticizing President Trump’s jobs agenda as “reckless.”

    Jobs, Supreme court, Trade war, he is doing what he said he'd do. Happily for President Trump, the pros agree with him. A recent survey of economists suggest it is President Trump, and not Obama, who should be taking a bow. Economists agree: Trump, not Obama, gets credit for economy | TheHill
    This bill for this "boom", which is pouring money into the pockets of the wealthy, has to be paid by someone eventually. No prizes for guessing who.


    When Mr. Trump took office on Jan. 20, 2017, the national debt was $19.9 trillion, according to U.S. Treasury data. Since then, the GOP-led Congress has passed a $1.5 trillion tax cut bill and a two-year spending deal which, together, are expected to drive the deficit and debt further upward. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates annual deficits could top $2.1 trillion per year in the next decade, which would send the national debt soaring even higher.
    And even before you look at what baldy orange cunto has done to the Debt, the deficits are even worse.

    The U.S. Federal deficit was $587 billion in Obama’s last year and it grew to $666 billion in Trump’s first year of his presidency. I’ve been reviewing a report from the U.S. Treasury Department, which shows that the U.S. Federal Deficit will probably increase this year (fiscal 2018), could come close to if not exceed $1 trillion in fiscal 2019 and will likely exceed $1 trillion in fiscal 2020 and beyond. And this is before the additional deficits created by the tax reform bill and the just passed two year budget.
    So, as they did prior to the last global financial disaster they caused, the Republican administration and its mates are trousering as much cash as they can and they'll leave the fucking mess to the next bloke again.

    This is why most people think American voters are so fucking stupid. ***




    *** Yes and that includes the numpties that didn't bother voting and let this happen.

  5. #16030
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    jobs report
    BLS jobs reports have been BS from about the early 1980s...if not earlier. Even moreso since they stopped counting people as unemployed whose unemployment benefits have ended.

    And how about some talk about the wage levels of all these wondrous jobs...a lot of them part-time jobs. Many of them pay an hourly wage that I was making as starting pay in 1983(about $10.00/hour).

    Yippee-ki-ay! Obviously I'm not referring to the incomes of the well-connected paper pushers.

  6. #16031
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    President Donald Trump-screenshot_2018-07-07-kohler-report-abc
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails President Donald Trump-screenshot_2018-07-07-kohler-report-abc  

  7. #16032
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    Quote Originally Posted by SKkin View Post
    BLS jobs reports have been BS from about the early 1980s...if not earlier. Even moreso since they stopped counting people as unemployed whose unemployment benefits have ended.

    And how about some talk about the wage levels of all these wondrous jobs...a lot of them part-time jobs. Many of them pay an hourly wage that I was making as starting pay in 1983(about $10.00/hour).

    Yippee-ki-ay! Obviously I'm not referring to the incomes of the well-connected paper pushers.
    The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics measures employment and unemployment for individuals over the age of 16. The unemployment rate is measured using two different labor force surveys. The Current Population Survey (CPS): also known as the “household survey” the CPS is conducted based on a sample of 60,000 households. It is accurate within 1 or 2% I forgot exactly but you can google it unless your a nutter and doesn't believe in statistical accuracy that the entire economic world depends on. Thailand also figures unemployment by the survey method as does Australia and the UK since 1966 I believe.

  8. #16033
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    ^I'd put more faith in Shadowstats' numbers...

    • Private Labor-Market Surveying Showed Continued Retrenchment in June 2018
    • June Labor-Market Stress Remained at High Levels, Consistent with Headline Unemployment Much Closer to a Record High than Just Off a Record Low
    • June U.3 Unemployment Rate Rose to 4.05% from 3.75% in May, Up by 0.30%; Headline Gain of 0.2% Was a Rounding Artefact of 4.0% versus 3.8%
    • June U.6 Unemployment Rose to 7.79% from 7.65% in May
    • June ShadowStats-Alternate Unemployment Rose to 21.5% from 21.4% in May
    • June Payroll Jobs Gained 213,000 (up by 250,000 Net of Revisions), but with Annual Growth of 1.62% Still in Recession-Signal Territory
    • Household Survey Lost 89,000 (-89,000) Full-Time Employed, but Gained 145,000 Part-Time Employed
    • May 2018 Nominal Balance-of-Payments Trade Deficit Shrank for Third-Straight Month
    • Second-Quarter Real Merchandise Trade Deficit Is on Track for a Sharp Narrowing
    No. 959-A: June 2018 Labor Conditions, May Trade Deficit



    The seasonally-adjusted SGS Alternate Unemployment Rate reflects current unemployment reporting methodology adjusted for SGS-estimated long-term discouraged workers, who were defined out of official existence in 1994. That estimate is added to the BLS estimate of U-6 unemployment, which includes short-term discouraged workers.

    The U-3 unemployment rate is the monthly headline number. The U-6 unemployment rate is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) broadest unemployment measure, including short-term discouraged and other marginally-attached workers as well as those forced to work part-time because they cannot find full-time employment.
    Alternate Unemployment Charts



    Then there's the whole BLS "birth death model" and "seasonal adjustments" massaging of the numbers. What a joke.

    Some commentary on that here:

    Birth Death model | Investment Research Dynamics
    Last edited by SKkin; 07-07-2018 at 08:41 PM.

  9. #16034
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    Quote Originally Posted by mark45y View Post
    unless your a nutter and doesn't believe in statistical accuracy that the entire economic world depends on.
    you mean like this guy 2 years ago?


  10. #16035
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    Quote Originally Posted by SKkin View Post
    ^I'd put more faith in Shadowstats' numbers...



    No. 959-A: June 2018 Labor Conditions, May Trade Deficit





    Alternate Unemployment Charts



    Then there's the whole BLS "birth death model" and "seasonal adjustments" massaging of the numbers. What a joke.

    Some commentary on that here:

    Birth Death model | Investment Research Dynamics
    John Williams explained in a private phone call that Shadowstats does not actually recalculate BLS data, rather, the Shadowstats CPI merely adds a constant to the officially reported numbers.
    I’m not going back and recalculating the CPI. All I’m doing is going back to the government’s estimates of what the effect would be and using that as an ad factor to the reported statistics.
    https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Shadow...ent_Statistics

    Do any financial institutions use Williams numbers? They are in business to make money and would use the best numbers they can get. The world runs on numbers produced by trusted governments. The USA and UK are trusted China is not. The world bank does not loan billions based on your numbers and no one of any importance does. So it is a tin hat org. Google John Williams Debunked for further information.

  11. #16036
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    Quote Originally Posted by raycarey View Post
    you mean like this guy 2 years ago?

    Yes. He is a nutter.

  12. #16037
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    Quote Originally Posted by mark45y View Post
    Yes. He is a nutter.
    No he's not, he's just a fucking bullshitter.

    And the idiots that support him are too stupid to realise.

  13. #16038
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    Quote Originally Posted by mark45y View Post
    Do any financial institutions use Williams numbers? They are in business to make money and would use the best numbers they can get. The world runs on numbers produced by trusted governments. The USA and UK are trusted China is not. The world bank does not loan billions based on your numbers and no one of any importance does.
    We saw how all that worked out a decade ago. There will be another chapter of that debacle in the future. Will quantitative easing, taxpayer financed bailouts and all that sort of claptrap bring it back from the brink again?

    Trusted govts, trusted institutions and financial experts...


    edit: I think what will happen in the end is that Trump will end up becoming Herbert Hoover 2.0. A perfect scapegoat for a bigger crash than the last.


    ...debunking you say.

    Debunking US unemployment numbers
    https://globalriskinsights.com/2014/...yment-numbers/
    Last edited by SKkin; 08-07-2018 at 01:58 AM.

  14. #16039
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    Quote Originally Posted by SKkin View Post
    edit: I think what will happen in the end is that Trump will end up becoming Herbert Hoover 2.0. A perfect scapegoat for a bigger crash than the last.
    Why shouldn't he take the blame? He's signed every rollback they've thrown at him, signed the tax cuts that swelled the debt, and he'll probably approve the budget that guts medicare and social security if given the chance.

    He's getting his share of the fucking loot and no mistake.

  15. #16040
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    China's first step seems to be to gut the US soybean mkt.
    They're mostly a red state product.

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    Quote Originally Posted by uncle junior View Post
    They're mostly a red state product.
    That's exactly what they'll be targetting.

  17. #16042
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    “I have broken more Elton John records, he seems to have a lot of records. And I, by the way, I don’t have a musical instrument. I don’t have a guitar or an organ. No organ. Elton has an organ. And lots of other people helping. No we’ve broken a lot of records. We’ve broken virtually every record.

    Because you know, look, I only need this space. They need much more room. For basketball, for hockey and all of the sports, they need a lot of room. We don’t need it. We have people in that space. So we break all of these records


    Really we do it without like, the musical instruments. This is the only musical: the mouth. And hopefully the brain attached to the mouth. Right? The brain, more important than the mouth, is the brain. The brain is much more important.”

    As I read these eloquent words from our commander in chief, I can’t help but be reminded of Lincoln’s Gettysburg address, and MLK’s “I have a dream” speech. Thanks





  19. #16044
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    The debt clock lots of info on there whether it is accurate I dont know.

    U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time

  20. #16045
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    It is difficult to see how company tax cuts are going to help the economy. They will certainly increase the deficit. Australia is going through the same thing now with tax cuts to companies. Many of which use so many loopholes now they dont pay tax. From memory google and apple are two examples of the top 36% of companies in Australia that pay no tax. The last paper I saw on the benefit of company tax cuts was an increase of 0.2% of GDP over the next 10 years.We are sold a lot of pups by the govt this is one of them along wih free trade agreements. I would imagine one reason why Trump exempted Australia from the steel tarriff. Someone must have pointed out that America benefits by about 10 billion dollars surplus in our supposed "free trade agreement".

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    Double whammy for soybean farmers....a tariiff followed by PRC growing more of their own beans....even if the tariffs are lifeted the market share is reduced.....


    “Soybeans are the top agriculture export for the United States, and China is the top market for purchasing those exports,” Heisdorffer said in the statement. “The math is simple. You tax soybean exports at 25-percent, and you have serious damage to U.S. farmers.”
    Soybeans are among the U.S. products, along with orange juice, whiskey, electric cars and others, that are threatened by retaliatory tariffs from China.

    China is aiming to boost domestic production of soybeans by calling on its vast army of farmers to expand soybean acreage and offering greater subsidies to growers such as Rao. It is also diversifying imports away from America..

    http://thehill.com/policy/finance/39...serious-damage

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/china/c...ar-u-s-n888951



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    Quote Originally Posted by uncle junior View Post
    Double whammy for soybean farmers....a tariiff followed by PRC growing more of their own beans....even if the tariffs are lifeted the market share is reduced.....


    “Soybeans are the top agriculture export for the United States, and China is the top market for purchasing those exports,” Heisdorffer said in the statement. “The math is simple. You tax soybean exports at 25-percent, and you have serious damage to U.S. farmers.”
    Soybeans are among the U.S. products, along with orange juice, whiskey, electric cars and others, that are threatened by retaliatory tariffs from China.

    China is aiming to boost domestic production of soybeans by calling on its vast army of farmers to expand soybean acreage and offering greater subsidies to growers such as Rao. It is also diversifying imports away from America..

    http://thehill.com/policy/finance/39...serious-damage

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/china/c...ar-u-s-n888951


    So, do you think China is happy to pay more for it's soybeans from Brazil? Or that China is the only US market? Check out soybean futures prices beginning with April and going to 2019.

  23. #16048
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    Classic Trump.
    "The Washington Post on Friday published a report detailing Twitter’s increased rates of suspending “fake and suspicious accounts.” The next day, President Donald Trump cited the Post’s article—while simultaneously decrying the newspaper as fake news that ought to be banned from Twitter."


    https://wokesloth.com/trump-washingt...t/distributor/

  24. #16049
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    Derp.......



    You know what? Putin’s fine. He’s fine. We’re all fine. We’re people," Trump told the crowd. "Will I be prepared? Totally prepared. I’ve been preparing for this stuff my whole life."

  25. #16050
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    So his nominee for SCOTUS doesn't think presidents should be investigated or indicted while in office.

    How very convenient for him.

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