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  1. #1
    Thailand Expat
    Whiteshiva's Avatar
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    SET - Who can assemble the most profitable portfolio in 2007?

    There appears to be a few individuals here who invest in the SET, so here is a challenge for y'all. Put together a virtual portfolio of Thai shares that you believe will be the winner in 2007, and let's see if anyone can beat the SET index.

    The rules are as follows:

    1) You assemble a portfolio of up to 10 shares listed on the SET, and give the amount of (virtual) money you will spend on each share.

    2) Shares will be "bought" at the last traded price at the closing of the market on December 29th 2006.

    3) No further trading will be allowed during 2007 (in other words you have to take a long-term view).

    4) The winner is the poster with the most (virtual) cash when the (virtual) shares are sold on the last trading day of 2007 (December 28th).
    Any error in tact, fact or spelling is purely due to transmissional errors...

  2. #2
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    OK, here is my portfolio for 2007:

    Thai Airways 25%
    Land & House 15%
    Siam Cement 15%
    PTT 25 %
    Siam Commercial Bank 20%

    Very conservative, I know!

  3. #3
    I am in Jail
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    I think William tried this game before but nobody played, too complex. Your rules seems a bit more simple.

    The best way to play a game like that is to pick the newspaper stock listing and throw darts at it.

    Using calendar dates to set your portfolio and holdings for one year is a recipe for disaster IMO. Portfolios have to be dynamic and have to be rebalanced every month, every week to take profits or pursue new opportunities. You can't expect decent performance by holding your stock in the same proportion for 1 full year.

    But since this is a game, why not

    I will pick the newspaper and try the dart method, which is always successful.

    Comments on your holdings: You are overexposed to blue chips. Industry doesn't matter much in diversification, it's the company size that has the desired effect for diversification. Just my 2 cents. And 5 stocks, it's not enough, try choosing 10 instead.

  4. #4
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    Amazing - our resident SET specialists have gone completely silent. And here I was hoping to trick them into giving us some hot investment tips for 2007......

    It is funny how some people will be very happy to tell you how they made fortunes on stock movements in the past, but at the same time are so reluctant to make predictions. Never mind, I guess in a year's time they will be back here on this thread telling us how we should have compiled our 2007 portfolios. Hindsight is such a wonderful thing......
    Last edited by Whiteshiva; 26-12-2006 at 09:44 AM.

  5. #5
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    I won!

  6. #6
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    ^ no you didn't

    Keda thread titled "SET" had a few predictions, a few of mine actually went 140% over a bit more than 12 months


  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Butterfly View Post
    ^ no you didn't

    Keda thread titled "SET" had a few predictions, a few of mine actually went 140% over a bit more than 12 months

    But of course they did. That was precisely why I started this thread in the first place. Anyone can make a number of predictions and later pick the successful ones and then claim to be a stock wizard. Hindsight is such a wonderful thing.....

    Certain posters here (not naming anyone in particular) frequently brag about how clever they are, so this thread was created to see how good they would be at creating a successful long term portfolio. I put together an extremely conservative portfolio, yet none of the braggarts here dared to challenge it. Hell, you even criticised my portfolio, yet were unable to come up with a better one yourself.

    It was a walkover - but I still won!

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