http://www.tannetwork.tv/tan/ViewData.aspx?DataID=1038846
Bangkok Bank Foresees Slower Econ Growth in 2011
UPDATE : 23 December 2010
Bangkok Bank is making several projections on the Thai economy next year, while advising the business sector to brace for price and exchange rate fluctuations.
Bangkok Bank's Chairman of the Executive Board, Kosit Panpiemras, said the Thai economy is expected to slow to 4 to 5 percent growth in 2011, compared to 7 percent this year.
He added that growth will be driven by factors other than exports, such as domestic consumption and agricultural investments.
Kosit said that although export is likely to slow down, there will not be a severe contraction, since demand in Asian markets is still robust.
The Bangkok Bank executive expressed little concern about inflation, but recommended that businesses prepare and adapt to fluctuations in prices and exchange rates.
In addition, Kosit revealed that due to high liquidity risks, financial institutions will likely spread their investments into international markets.
He predicts a loan growth of 5 to 7 percent next year, adding that the proportion of foreign loans in the bank's loan portfolio currently stands at 18 percent.
Kosit went on to say that public investment will take over exports as a key driver for economic growth in 2011.
He reported that his bank has been able to maintain the non-performing loan or NPL ratio at 4 percent, and will continue to keep it at this level, noting that new bad debts are very few due to the bank's stricter control of loan approvals.
The Bangkok Bank board chairman said the interest rate is on an upward trend, as the benchmark interest rate could go up from the current 2 percent to 2.5 percent.