Originally Posted by
sabang
For over five years of the past decade, Thailand has only had a government preoccupied with struggling to maintain or justify it's own survival and tenure. The last year or so of the Thaksin administration was a time of trumped up civil unrest and disruption- with governance and reform brought to it's knees, the military Junta was laughably inept, the PPP government was never allowed to function before being drummed out of office, and then there were the Abhisit years. As a result, no government has been willing or able to focus on the several issues- very real and important issues- facing Thailand. Wages have stagnated, the rural sector has grown increasingly uncompetitive, wealth concentration predictably increased, and FDI has dropped markedly from the cracking pace being set in the late 90's and early noughties. Thailand has only gone backward in real terms, a stark contrast to it's neighbours. Thailand has rejoined the Phillipines as an Asian basket case, and the reasons why are very similar.
Addressing minimum wages is one thing, and will have somewhat predictable and necessary flow on effects in domestic consumption, investment and productivity. How it is introduced is indeed important, because on an industry specific basis there is bound to be some dislocation. Capital and knowledge intensive industries will shrug it off, because it is nothing to them. Low wage and labor intensive industries have some adjusting to do. At the end of the day though, we know exactly what to expect from the oligarchic sector that the Democrats owe their fealty to, being to delay and stymie it as much as they possibly can. The reason, quite simply, is naked and short sighted Greed.
It's a start, and an actual policy initiative that exceeds anything broached or considered during the stagnant, fractious Abhisit years. But there is much more to be addressed-
The rural sector is increasingly and hopelessly uncompetitive, because it is totally innefficient- and not just at the farm level. It desperately needs change- it is being propped up with unsustainable subsidies, even while indebtedness on the part of the average farmer is growing, and returns and wages are abysmal. Improving minimum 'official' wages will only make the plight of the small farmer worse in the short term actually.
The Thai Bureaucracy is a major drag on reform of any kind. They require more accountability, outside governance, promotion based on merit, and open hiring policies based on merit and diversity, rather than family and skin color. The 'Club' or cartel needs to be smashed, to call a spade a spade.
The educational sector patently does not meet the requirements of an emerging industrialised economy- in fact it is farcical, and that even extends to the so called prestigious alma maters. It urgently requires reform- I was in Cambodia a month ago and holy cow, the contrast in the people there I found hard to believe- yet fundamentally, they are the same people and their society faces several of the same problems and impediments. A lot of the reason for this lies with Bureacratic ineptitude and intransigence, but it is also systemic and self fulfilling- the people themselves do not believe in education, in a society where so much is determined by family and skin color, ones predetermined position on the ladder being much more important than merit. Cheating, skiving and corruption are rampant in a system where nobody fails, and 'success' is largely preordained. The Notebooks are a promising initiative, if implemented effectively.
Then theres the 'judiciary', innacountabilty, selective justice and impunity, rampant corruption and, underpinning it all, the entrenched attitudes of an insular, spectacularly greedy oligarchy.
Oh boy, a load of catching up to do just to get back to the starting gate. Take a deep breath. And there is a destructive cadre of existing privilege that will battle and attempt to stymie you every step of the way Thailand.